For two years running, the Hardman & Co Healthcare index has declined, underperforming both the FTSE 100 and the FTSE All-Share indices. This is quite unusual for healthcare stocks. Apart from the general economic influences, which have made institutions more risk-averse, there was a common knowledge that several companies were in need of additional working capital; so, share prices were marked down in anticipation of equity raises. However, the small- and mid-cap life sciences sector has alway...
Feature article: Two worlds divided by a common language Summary Few people would deny that raising capital in 2023 and 2024 has been very challenging. The key components of the market, the “two worlds” of corporates and investors, are nowadays often far apart in how they assess value – pre-COVID, this was much less of an issue. This has resulted in frustration and inertia, which, on a sustained basis, can have a significant negative impact on companies and the economy. This issue needs urgen...
Feature article: Is silver the cheapest asset on the planet? Silver is a precious metal, a monetary metal and an industrial metal with a surprisingly wide range of uses. It’s not that well understood by investors and tends to get overshadowed by gold – but, perhaps, not for much longer. We think that the provocative title of this article is justified by silver’s attractive fundamentals. The “official figures” from the Silver Institute estimate that the silver market has been in deficit for the...
Feature article: Steady as she goes, but could be better: A review of investment company liquidity since 2016 Liquidity is the lifeblood of equity markets. The measurement of liquid asset availability to a market or company is a way of gauging a market’s health. This article builds on our previous work, which analysed the liquidity data for non-financial trading companies, by applying the same analytical techniques to the investment companies (IC) space. We analyse liquidity for ICs as a whol...
Feature article: Streamed content takes over…after the Great Correction of 2022 Streaming is a disruptive, content-led, subscription-based technology. Challenging all video distribution business models, it opens up global opportunities for a growing variety of content, including gaming and sport. The Great Correction of 2022 saw the share prices of streamers plunge after market leader Netflix reported slowing subscriber growth. The slowdown in growth of subscribers led investors to refocus on ...
Feature article: 2023 was an annus horribilis for Quoted UK Infrastructure and Renewable Energy - Consolidation is the new mantra. The focus of Hardman & Co Research is on the nine quoted Infrastructure Investment Companies (IICs) and on the 22 Renewable Energy Infrastructure Funds (REIFs): the stocks analysed are all members of the Association of Investment Companies (AIC). We are updating our publication of January 2023, assessing both the lacklustre share price performances during 2023 and t...
The Hardman & Co Healthcare Index (HHI) has been running since 2009. Its main function is to highlight the attractions of life sciences investments over the long term. For the second year running, apart from global economic influences affecting world markets, performance in 2023 was dented by the capital-intensive nature of the sector. The HHI fell 3.7%, to 483.8, underperforming the main London markets – FTSE 100 (+3.8%) and FTSE All-Share (3.8%) but outperforming the FTSE AIM All-Share Index (...
The main function of the HHI is to monitor the performance, and to highlight the attractiveness, of life sciences investments over the long term, and to try to identify those stocks that have disruptive technologies that consistently allow them to outperform both the index and the markets. Many of the 52 constituents of the index are high-risk, still being in the development stage, with micro-capitalisations and a long way from profitability. Despite this, some companies can still make extremely...
This month's feature article is entitled 'Gold and a Chinese Credit Event'. A Western phenomenon? If you own, or are considering owning, gold or gold equities, it’s likely that you’re concerned about protecting your wealth, or the performance of your fund, in the expectation of some kind of financial instability. Maybe your confidence in policymakers is ebbing, or you’ve researched debt bubbles in history and concluded that physical gold and silver have been the safest places to be invested whe...
Feature article: Liquidity – shrinking when it’s most needed A review of liquidity in London since 2016 Summary ► Liquidity is the lifeblood of equity markets. ► Following the events at the Woodford Equity Income Fund (WEIF) in 2019, professional investors, increasingly, focus on liquidity when making investment decisions. ► However, this paper shows that liquidity declined significantly between 2016 and 2022. Our work demonstrates that, in 2016, the total value traded of trading companies lis...
Feature article: Equity Income – UK or Global? Should investors widen their horizons? Introduction: ► The UK Equity Income sector (UKEI) is the fourth-largest investment company (IC) sector in the Association of Investment Companies’ (AIC) universe, with £12.5bn of assets (as at August 2023), and is the traditional home for investors looking for income in the equity market. ► The UKEI not only provides investors with a better dividend yield than the ge...
Feature article: UK interest rates and “risk-free” gilts at their peak? Infrastructure stocks struggle Executive summary Infrastructure/Renewable Energy Funds ► The share price performances of the nine Infrastructure Investment Companies (IICs) and of the 22 Renewable Energy Infrastructure Funds (REIFs) have been dire over the past year. Undoubtedly, the sharp rise in interest rates has presented the sector with serious challenges, especially since the yield on “risk-free” 10-year gilts has r...
This month, we feature a contribution by Stephen Isaacs, who is known in the hedge fund world for his, often, thought-provoking commentaries about markets, economics and politics. It goes without saying that the thoughts expressed in this article are those of Stephen, and do not necessarily reflect Hardman & Co’s views. Feature article: UK/OK – muddling through The past few years have seen previously unheard-of constitutional risks – from threats to the Union to the departure from the EU. Brit...
Feature article: UK Water – making waves Over the past year, UK utility share prices have been volatile, especially within the electricity sub-sector. The combination of the war in Ukraine and the associated impact of fluctuating gas prices, along with sharply higher inflation and the consequential rise in interest rates, have destabilised much of the sector. Indeed, most sector constituents have seen their share pieces fall (although not seriously), while Centrica, the UK’s leading gas company...
Feature article: 2022 Pharma Statistics - 8.7% growth – but worrying signs An efficient reporting system has seen all the listed multinational pharmaceutical companies announcing results for 2022, which has given us the opportunity to update our industry statistics and drug database. This report provides the first snapshot of the global and US rankings of the top 20 drug companies for 2022. 2022 was characterised by 8.7% underlying growth, offset by a large forex impact (-12%), due to USD stren...
Feature article: Higher interest rates overshadow IIC/REIF prospects We focus on the nine quoted infrastructure investment companies (IICs) and on the 22 renewable energy infrastructure funds (REIFs), most of which saw their share prices fall during 2022, while the FTSE 100 rose by just 0.9%. In our ‘Quoted UK Infrastructure and Renewable Energy – Prospects for 2023’ publication, we have addressed the three key issues of recent months – higher inflation, extremely volatile power prices and risin...
Feature article: Asset manager valuations Asset managers had a poor 2022: the S&P Composite 1500 Asset Management Index was down 22% and, according to the Investment Company Institute (ICI), worldwide mutual funds fell by 20%, from $76tr to $60tr. When bond and equity markets fall, the results are unlikely to be pretty: with revenues trending down and multiples contracting, there is a double whammy to contend with. So how do valuations shape up now, after a bullish start to the new year?
Hardman & Co Research Hardman & Co Research: Q&A on Advanced Oncotherapy (AVO): Current EV significantly below cumulative investment to date 27-Jan-2023 / 16:53 GMT/BST Analyst interview | Life Sciences Q&A on Advanced Oncotherapy (AVO) | Current EV significantly below cumulative investment to date Advanced Oncotherapy (AVO) was the topic of conversation when Dr Martin Hall joined DirectorsTalk. Martin updates us on some of the recent developments at the company, explains why the share price is languishing, and discusses the demand for the project, shares his thoughts on th...
Hardman & Co Research Hardman & Co Research on Advanced Oncotherapy (AVO): Understanding the significance of 230MeV 17-Jan-2023 / 15:10 GMT/BST Hardman & Co Research on Advanced Oncotherapy: Understanding the significance of 230MeV AVO’s goal is to deliver an affordable and novel PT system, called LIGHT, based on state-of-the-art technology, developed originally at the world-renowned CERN. The complex assembly of the first LIGHT accelerator in Daresbury (UK) has been completed and demonstrated to generate a full-energy proton beam (230MeV) required to treat deep-seated tumours...
Feature article: Hardman & Co Healthcare Index - Review of 2022 The main function of the HHI is to monitor the performance, and to highlight the attractiveness, of life sciences investments over the long term, and to try to identify those stocks that have disruptive technologies that consistently allow them to outperform both the index and the markets. Many of the 53 constituents of the index are high-risk, still being in the development stage, with micro-capitalisations and a long way from sal...
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