>Facts, outlook and perception - Facts: we now have a complete picture of Q1 top line trends. The perfect symmetry in trends, between the two heavyweights dominating soft luxury on the one hand (LVMH Fashion & Leather) and hard luxury on the other (Richemont Jewellery Maisons), was once again confirmed with Jewellery Maisons growing as anticipated +3% y-o-y at cc close to the +2% growth reported for F&L. The symmetry goes a long way: growth versus 2019 ended up at 113...
>Facts, outlook and perception - Facts: we now have a complete picture of Q1 top line trends. The perfect symmetry in trends, between the two heavyweights dominating soft luxury on the one hand (LVMH Fashion & Leather) and hard luxury on the other (Richemont Jewellery Maisons), was once again confirmed with Jewellery Maisons growing as anticipated +3% y-o-y at cc close to the +2% growth reported for F&L. The symmetry goes a long way: growth versus 2019 ended up at 113...
>Topic of the week: momentum still reigns supreme - We look this week at the YTD performance of the luxury sector and more importantly of its main constituents. There is no longer a sharp message to read in the YTD performance of the sector as a whole by now as the 10% progression broadly witnessed looks similar to the one recorded for the Stoxx 600 and the S&P 500) or in its standing versus pre-Covid in terms of multiples (we are close to parity). It is in the perfor...
>Topic of the week: momentum still reigns supreme - We look this week at the YTD performance of the luxury sector and more importantly of its main constituents. There is no longer a sharp message to read in the YTD performance of the sector as a whole by now as the 10% progression broadly witnessed looks similar to the one recorded for the Stoxx 600 and the S&P 500) or in its standing versus pre-Covid in terms of multiples (we are close to parity). It is in the perfor...
>Topic of the week: the good, the not good and the worrying - From the batch of Q1 results, one outstanding performance stands out, the one of Miu Miu that again grew in excess of 80% this quarter. Astutely combining quiet luxury with fantasy, the sister brand of Prada together with Loewe - part of LVMH F&L - are probably the franchises encapsulating the most the current zeitgeist among young luxury shoppers. It stands for only 22% of the group sales and the reaction ...
>Topic of the week: the good, the not good and the worrying - From the batch of Q1 results, one outstanding performance stands out, the one of Miu Miu that again grew in excess of 80% this quarter. Astutely combining quiet luxury with fantasy, the sister brand of Prada together with Loewe - part of LVMH F&L - are probably the franchises encapsulating the most the current zeitgeist among young luxury shoppers. It stands for only 22% of the group sales and the reaction ...
EPS growth prospects are brighter in the US than in Europe, which is justified given the differential in the growth and inflation outlook between the two regions. However, the adjustment that has taken place on EPS in Europe is a positive factor: we are now "at the price" ahead of the cyclical recovery that is taking shape for the rest of 2024. Sector-wise, the ongoing upward revision of EPS in travel & leisure, banks and media is expected to continue apace and provide support for sec...
Les perspectives de croissance des BPA sont supérieures aux Etats-Unis qu’en Europe, ce qui est justifié étant donné le différentiel de perspectives de croissance et d’inflation entre les deux zones. L’ajustement qui a eu lieu sur les BPA en Europe est toutefois un facteur positif : nous sommes désormais « au prix » avant la reprise cyclique qui se dessine pour la suite de 2024. Sectoriellement, la révision à la hausse en cours des BPA sur le Travel & Leisure, les banques et les Media...
>Topic of the week: what we know, what we need - At least we now know with good precision what we need in order for the sector’s perception to improve again. Reporting Q1 sales that featured 2% growth at cc for its soft luxury division, LVMH indicated that over the quarter spending from the Chinese cluster grew 10% while the local demand from Europeans, Americans and Japanese taken together was down in low single digit. To get to the reacceleration, we and the consens...
>Topic of the week: what we know, what we need - At least we now know with good precision what we need in order for the sector’s perception to improve again. Reporting Q1 sales that featured 2% growth at cc for its soft luxury division, LVMH indicated that over the quarter spending from the Chinese cluster grew 10% while the local demand from Europeans, Americans and Japanese taken together was down in low single digit. To get to the reacceleration, we and the consens...
>Swiss watch exports: March down -16.1% leads to a Q1 at -6.3% y-o-y (luxury category also negative over the quarter at -2.8%) - - Over March 2024, exports amounted to CHF 2,002m down 16.1% y-o-y after -3.6% in February and +3.1% in January. This is a very weak figure but was obviously impacted to a good extent by a negative working days effect. On the whole, Q1 was down -6.3% (as a reminder: Q4 2023 witnessed +4.7% growth, FY 2023 growth ended at +7.6%). The l...
>Swiss watch exports: March down -16.1% leads to a Q1 at -6.3% y-o-y (luxury category also negative over the quarter at -2.8%) - - Over March 2024, exports amounted to CHF 2,002m down 16.1% y-o-y after -3.6% in February and +3.1% in January. This is a very weak figure but was obviously impacted to a good extent by a negative working days effect. On the whole, Q1 was down -6.3% (as a reminder: Q4 2023 witnessed +4.7% growth, FY 2023 growth ended at +7.6%). The l...
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