Credit Morning 07/15/2025

Levi Strauss & Co. is preparing a new offering of euro-denominated unsecured notes (5NC2).|Finnair: agreement reached with IAU|

Morning Crédit 15/07/2025

Levi Strauss & Co. prépare une nouvelle émission obligataire unsecured en euros (5NC2)|Finnair: agreement reached with IAU|

WOOD Daily: ASELS TI; RO Macro; WIZZ LN; PEO PW; GPP PW; LAMDA GA; MON...

HEADLINES: • Aselsan: to tap DIRCM market POSITIVE • Romania macro: Government survives vote of no confidence, as expected • Wizz Air: to exit Abu Dhabi by the end of the summer • Bank Pekao: to book PLN 417m of extra provisions related to various legal risks in 2Q25E NEUTRAL • Grupa Pracuj: new job ads on Pracuj.pl at 395,000 in 1H25, flat yoy NEUTRAL • Lamda Development: completes early repayment of EUR 230m retail bond NEUTRAL • MONETA Money Bank: 2Q25E preview (due on 24 July) • Bank Millenn...

WOOD Daily: RO Banks; KOMB CP; MONET CP; PCO PW; BELA GA; PL Utilities...

HEADLINES: • Romanian Banks: fishing in Romania’s murky waters (Banca Transilvania stays BUY, BRD-GSG stays HOLD) • Komercni Banka: closing the rerating bet (downgraded to HOLD) • MONETA Money Bank: priced for perfection, but needs to deliver (stays HOLD) • Pepco Group: 3Q25 revenues of New Pepco up 8% yoy, in line with expectations; FY25E guidance maintained; EUR 50m buyback NEUTRAL • Jumbo: 1H25 sales up by a solid 8% yoy, as largely expected NEUTRAL • Polish utilities: Ministry of State Asset...

MONETA Money Bank: priced for perfection, but needs to deliver (stays ...

We have increased our 12M price target (PT) for MONETA Money Bank to CZK 149.4/share (from CZK 116.2/share), while we keep our HOLD rating on the stock, due to its dividend angle. However, with a 2025E P/E and P/BV of 11.4x and 2.2x, respectively, we see its valuation as full, with no room for a multiples rerating, and we consider MONETA as one of our least preferred names in the CE3 banking space. On the one side, if there is any issue with the bank’s equity story, e.g., political risks after t...

Komercni Banka: closing the rerating bet (downgraded to HOLD)

We have downgraded Komercni Banka to HOLD (from Buy), and we set our updated 12M price target (PT) at CZK 1,108 (up from CZK 959/share), 7% upside. We see the c.9% annual dividend yield as the key return for shareholders in the next 12 months. We believe that the high yield should be sustainable over the next two years, as we have prolonged our assumption of a 100% dividend payout ratio by one year, beyond management’s explicit current guidance. Komercni Banka is trading at our 2025-26E P/Es of ...

WOOD Daily: OMV AV; SNP RO; MIL PW; APR PW; TL Macro; TITC GA

HEADLINES: • OMV: 2Q25 trading statement NEUTRAL • OMV Petrom: 2Q25 trading statement NEUTRAL • Bank Millennium: 2Q25E FX mortgage saga provisions information NEUTRAL • Auto Partner: monthly sales disappoint again – limited 8% yoy growth in June NEGATIVE • Türkiye macro: June budget data shows stable, but wide, deficit • Titan: invests in fly-ash processing facility in the UK NEUTRAL

WOOD Daily: ASELS TI; EU Oil and Gas Monthly; BCG LN; TXT PW; SNP RO; ...

HEADLINES: • Aselsan: growth prism – new angles, brighter future (stays BUY) • European oil and gas monthly: June 2025 – bullish cues from Hormuz • Baltic Classifieds Group: solid FY 2H25 results, affected by one-offs NEUTRAL • Text: key takeaways from the preliminary 1Q25-26 earnings call NEUTRAL • OMV Petrom: makes new natural gas discovery POSITIVE • Arabian Drilling: secures contract extensions for four rigs POSITIVE

Aselsan: growth prism – new angles, brighter future (stays BUY)

Following Aselsan’s 110% rally in USD terms over the past 12M, we are revisiting our investment case, as the company’s growth engines multiply and gear up. As expected, following a period of muted growth in 2020-22, Turkish defence spending and defence procurement activity gained momentum in 2023-24 and, as Türkiye’s largest defence contractor and defence electronics powerhouse, Aselsan secured new contracts of an unprecedented size (USD 5-6.5bn in 2023/24). The company’s (mainly domestic contra...

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: rebound in Türkiye

EME Equity Market – June 2025 All EME indices in the green in June, with a rebound in Türkiye. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced by 3.2% mom in EUR terms and 6.9% in USD terms. The Turkish ISE 30 Index was the best performer in our region, recouping the losses from the previous month and adding +6.6% mom in EUR terms. The Hungarian BUX and the Polish WIG indices added 3.1% and 2.8% mom in EUR terms, respectively, followed closely by the Romanian BET and the Greek ASE, with both adding 2.0% mom i...

MBank S.A.: 2 directors

Two Directors at MBank S.A. sold 499 shares at between 802.480PLN and 805.800PLN. The significance rating of the trade was 54/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last t...

WOOD Daily: BRISA TI; MBK PW; Polish telecoms; MYTIL GA

HEADLINES: • Brisa: takeaways from the virtual CMD, and FY25E guidance • mBank: 2Q25 FX mortgage saga costs at PLN 539.6m NEUTRAL • Polish telecoms: T-Mobile Poland announces new 2P mobile & fibre bundle POSITIVE • Metlen: details of the 1-for-1 share exchange offer • Short News (CEZ)

WOOD Daily: EMEA Airlines; RO Banks; MOL HB; GSPARK HB; CEZ CP; SNP RO...

HEADLINES: • EMEA airlines: disruption in Middle East operations • Romanian banks: draft government plan suggests new tax on banks is being considered • MOL: to acquire Budapest University of Technology and Economics NEGATIVE • Graphisoft Park: sells residential land plot POSITIVE • CEZ: AGM approves dividend of CZK 47/share NEUTRAL • OMV Petrom: to invest in solar power plant in Bulgaria NEUTRAL • OPAP: Greece invites bidders for State lotteries licence NEUTRAL • Short News (BFT, CDR)

Bank Pekao SA : Summary of the follow-up meeting regarding the planned...

WOOD Daily: ALPHA GA; EUROB GA; ETE GA; TPEIR GA; PGE PW; PEO PW; PZU ...

HEADLINES: • Greek banks: take a bow (Alpha downgraded to HOLD, Eurobank stays HOLD, NBG stays BUY and Piraeus upgraded to BUY) • PGE: new strategy assumes PLN 30bn of EBITDA in 2035E and PLN 235bn in capex in 2025-35E NEUTRAL • Bank Pekao/PZU: call for analysts and investors to discuss potential merger • CCC: final 1Q25 results spot on the prelims NEUTRAL • Romania macro: inflation jumps in May • GEK Terna: clinches EUR 1bn of Romanian railway projects POSITIVE • Athens Exchange Group: AGM appr...

WOOD Daily: WIZZ LN; MAVI TI; CCOLA TI; CEZ CP; DOC AV; RICHT HB

HEADLINES: • Wizz Air: despite setbacks, upside risks may prevail (stays BUY) • Mavi: strong set of results in 1Q25, share buyback programme initiated POSITIVE • Coca-Cola Içecek: investigations launched into the company NEGATIVE • CEZ: ANO proposes State subsidises power prices NEUTRAL • DO & CO: dividend proposal of EUR 2.00/share NEUTRAL • Richter: to voluntarily restrict price of one OTC drug NEUTRAL • Short News (CAR, MBR, SHO)

Wizz Air: despite setbacks, upside risks may prevail (stays BUY)

Despite our estimates consistently being lower than both consensus and the company guidance last year, we are cutting our F26E forecasts materially once more. The mismatch between major maintenance and aircraft returns is poorly timed, and the resulting pressure on ex. fuel CASK (caskx) could be significant. Given Wizz Air’s weak track record on guidance and the risk of further surprises, we now assume that caskx rises by another c.10% yoy, to EUR 3.1/ASK. On our estimates, with fuel and RASK st...

Wizz Air Holdings: 2 directors

Two Directors at Wizz Air Holdings bought 8,243 shares at between 1,206p and 1,206p. The significance rating of the trade was 52/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the las...

Morning Crédit 05/06/2025

Credit Morning 06/05/2025

ZF issues EUR 1.25bn 2030 notes|Hanwha sells its 5.4% stake in Eutelsat|