reports
- Andreas Riemann
- Jean Danjou
- Marc Lavaud
- Youssef Besbes
ZIL2 ELRINGKLINGER AG
A1XEH4 CROSSJECT SA
TNG TRANSGENE SA
CGM CEGEDIM SA
BOSS HUGO BOSS AG
NANO NANOBIOTIX SA
SESL SES-IMAGOTAG SA
XIL XILAM ANIMATION SA
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
JUN3 JUNGHEINRICH AG PREF
DMP DERMAPHARM HOLDING SE
TGN SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE TRANSPORT GAZE NATURALE TRANSGAZ S.A.
VOS VOSSLOH AG
2CRSI 2CRSI SA
GRE GRENERGY RENOVABLES
CLA CLARANOVA SE
SFQ SAF-HOLLAND SE
MRX MISTER SPEX SE
ENER GRUPO ECOENER S.A.
LOUP SOCIETE L.D.C.
- Andreas Riemann
- Jean Danjou
- Marc Lavaud
- Youssef Besbes
ZIL2 ELRINGKLINGER AG
A1XEH4 CROSSJECT SA
TNG TRANSGENE SA
HCO HIGHCO SA
CGM CEGEDIM SA
BOSS HUGO BOSS AG
NANO NANOBIOTIX SA
SESL SES-IMAGOTAG SA
XIL XILAM ANIMATION SA
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
JUN3 JUNGHEINRICH AG PREF
DMP DERMAPHARM HOLDING SE
TGN SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE TRANSPORT GAZE NATURALE TRANSGAZ S.A.
VOS VOSSLOH AG
2CRSI 2CRSI SA
GRE GRENERGY RENOVABLES
CLA CLARANOVA SE
SFQ SAF-HOLLAND SE
MRX MISTER SPEX SE
ENER GRUPO ECOENER S.A.
LOUP SOCIETE L.D.C.
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: PL Banks; ACP PW; INPST NA; KTY PW; HSBK LI; TITC GA; GPP ...
HEADLINES: • Polish banks: pricing and believing (PKO BP, Bank Pekao, Santander BP, mBank, ING BSK, Bank Millennium, Alior Bank, Bank Handlowy) • Asseco Poland: 4Q24 review – net profit up 9% yoy, 9% above the consensus POSITIVE • InPost: 4Q24 in line with expectations; FY25E EBITDA growth guidance in the mid-20%s, but a slow start to the year POSITIVE • Kety: solid full 4Q24 results, with EBITDA 12% above preliminaries POSITIVE • Halyk Bank: 4Q24 review and 2025E guidance highlights • Titan Cem...
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
CIMSA CIMENTO SANYAI VE TICARET A.S.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
KSPI KASPI KZ
INPST INPOST S.A.
GPP GRUPA PRACUJ DA
- Jovan Sikimic
- Marta Jezewska-Wasilewska
- Miguel Dias
Polish Banks: pricing and believing (PKO BP, Bank Pekao, Santander BP,...
The Polish banks have rallied 35% ytd, but the median total return for the LTM has arrived at 18%+ for the Polish banks under our coverage. We feel that the market is currently in a similar place to exactly a year ago. The banks have performed well since the end of last year, but valuations remain attractive, with our 2025-26E median P/Es of 9.0-8.2x, at discounts to the long-term valuation levels and with solid single-digit dividend yields in 1H25E. Our upgraded forecasts imply a 10% median EPS...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: OPL PW; IGN1L LH; PZU PW; GPP PW; CZG CP; PPC GA; LAMDA GA...
HEADLINES: • Orange Polska: strategy focused on growth (stays BUY) • Ignitis Group: making headway (BUY - transfer of coverage) • PZU: 4Q24 well ahead of expectations, holding structure to be created within PZU group POSITIVE • Grupa Pracuj: 4Q24 results – EBITDA up 9% yoy, 9% above our forecast and 1% above the consensus POSITIVE • Colt CZ Group SE: FY24 results review NEUTRAL • Public Power Corporation: 4Q24 earnings, and preview of a potential mega data centre NEUTRAL • Lamda Development: 4Q2...
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
LAMDA LAMDA DEVELOPMENT S.A.
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
ENA ENEA S.A.
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
ECH ECHO INVESTMENT
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
IGN1L IGNITIS GRUPE
GPP GRUPA PRACUJ DA
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: WPL PW; ALR PW; TEN PW; WPS LN; PL Retail; CEZ CP; PL Macr...
HEADLINES: • Wirtualna Polska: 4Q24 results review – adjusted EBITDA up 17% yoy, 8% above the consensus POSITIVE • Alior Bank: 2027E targets – PLN 2.6bn of net profit; ROE above 18%; payout ratio above 50% POSITIVE • Ten Square Games: mixed newsflow – solid 4Q24 adjusted EBITDA, strong dividend recommendation, but disappointing trading update POSITIVE • Eurowag: 2H24 operating results in line, special dividend announced NEUTRAL • Polish retail: Zabka's 4Q24 below the consensus NEGATIVE • CEZ: up...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: PL Banks; DAT PW; TL Macro; EME Macro/Strategy Weekly; GTC...
HEADLINES: • Polish banks: Financial Stability Committee mentions sanction of free credit risk for consumer loans portfolio NEGATIVE • DataWalk: preliminary 4Q24 results – sales up 19% yoy, to PLN 9.09m POSITIVE • Türkiye macro: putting the CBRT’s emergency rate hike into context • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (17-23 March) • GTC: solvency of controlling investor in question, after State Audit Office of Hungary's report • Banca Transilvania: dividend proposal from the 2024 profits NEUTRA...
- Jakub Caithaml
WOOD Flash – GTC: solvency of controlling investor in question, after ...
The State Audit Office of Hungary has compiled a report on the foundation set up by the National Bank of Hungary. The foundation, which is, among others, the controlling shareholder of GTC, is reportedly on the brink of insolvency. In addition to GTC, the foundation also invested in Ultima, the owner of luxury chalets and lodges in Switzerland and France. Initially, the foundation tried to buy Ultima using GTC's balance sheet (as we reported in 2023 in a flash note), but that transaction did not...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: PL Banks; SIPCHEM AB; TL Macro; KAP LI; JMT PL; ALR PW; PC...
HEADLINES: • Polish banks: first politician to suggest additional military tax for the banks NEGATIVE • Sipchem: preliminary 4Q24 results, net profit down, on maintenance NEGATIVE • Türkiye macro: CBRT tightens policy with surprise corridor hike • Kazatomprom: 4Q24 results – well above the market’s estimates POSITIVE • Jeronimo Martins: key takeaways from the 4Q24 call NEGATIVE • Alior Bank: CEO Żabski’s interview with Puls Biznesu, ahead of strategic update (due on 25 March) • Sipchem: to mothb...
MBank S.A.: 1 director
A director at MBank S.A. sold 1,609 shares at 795.600PLN and the significance rating of the trade was 73/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly show...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: DSPW CP; ESLT IT; CBF PW; KAP LI; VRC PW; OPL PW; PEO PW; ...
HEADLINES: • Doosan Škoda Power: steaming ahead (BUY - initiation of coverage) • Elbit Systems: 4Q24 – strong results, record FCF generation POSITIVE • cyber_Folks: 4Q24 results review – 27% yoy EBITDA growth, in line with our estimates and the consensus POSITIVE • Kazatomprom: 4Q24 results POSITIVE • Vercom: key takeaways from the 4Q24 earnings call NEUTRAL • Orange Polska: 2025-28E strategy announcement – at least PLN 1.2bn FCF in 2028E POSITIVE • Bank Pekao: recommends DPS of PLN 12.6 and des...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: BIMAS TI; BHW PW; SOKM TI; GEV CP; BFT PW; GPP PW; BDX PW;...
HEADLINES: • BIM: strong operating results in 4Q24 POSITIVE • Bank Handlowy: 4Q24 results do not bring much new to the table NEUTRAL • Sok Marketler Ticaret: recovery in operating results masked by bottom-line loss in 4Q24 NEUTRAL • GEVORKYAN: 4Q24 results – lower than expected, due to one-off expenses NEUTRAL • Benefit Systems: key takeaways from the call on the MAC Group acquisition in Türkiye POSITIVE • Grupa Pracuj: PLN 28.6m revaluation of Beamery to harm 2024 results NEGATIVE • Budimex: an...
- Ahmed Ben Salem
- Baptiste Lebacq
SCHP SECHE ENVIRONNEMENT
BMW BAYERISCHE MOTOREN WERKE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
TKA THYSSENKRUPP AG
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
BEKB BEKAERT SA
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
RNO RENAULT SA
APAML APERAM SA
OUT1V OUTOKUMPU OYJ
EO FAURECIA SA
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
DAI DAIMLER AG
POM PLASTIC OMNIUM SE
SCR SCOR SE
SZG SALZGITTER AG
TYRES NOKIAN RENKAAT OYJ
EKI EKINOPS SA
MTU MANITOU BF SA
GLO GL EVENTS SA
VOE VOESTALPINE AG
ACX ACERINOX SA
FR VALEO SE
BON BONDUELLE SCA
SOLB SOLVAY SA
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
ERA ERAMET SA
ELIS ELIS SA
TUB TUBACEX S.A.
NDA AURUBIS AG
PAL PALFINGER AG
CIE CIE AUTOMOTIVE S.A.
AMG AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
WAF SILTRONIC AG
ZAG ZUMTOBEL GROUP AG
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
SPIE SPIE SA
RACE FERRARI NV
COPN COSMO PHARMACEUTICALS NV
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
MAU ETABLISSEMENTS MAUREL & PROM SA
BHP BHP GROUP LTD
DUE DURR AG
PIRC PIRELLI & C. S.P.A.
AMAG AMAG AUSTRIA METALL AG
GEST GESTAMP AUTOMOCION S.A.
FQT FREQUENTIS AG WIENER
GRP GREENCOAT RENEWABLES
COP COMPUGROUP MEDICAL SE & CO. KGAA
AML ASTON MARTIN LAGONDA GLOBAL HOLDINGS
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
FUR FUGRO NV
EAPI EUROAPI
ML COMPAGNIE GENERALE DES ETABLISSEMENTS MICHELIN
P911 DR. ING. H.C. F. PORSCHE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
AF AIR FRANCE - KLM
ALIV SDB AUTOLIV INC.
BRE BREMBO S.P.A.
HAVAS HAVAS N.V
- Ahmed Ben Salem
- Baptiste Lebacq
SCHP SECHE ENVIRONNEMENT
BMW BAYERISCHE MOTOREN WERKE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
TKA THYSSENKRUPP AG
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
BEKB BEKAERT SA
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
RNO RENAULT SA
APAML APERAM SA
OUT1V OUTOKUMPU OYJ
EO FAURECIA SA
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
DAI DAIMLER AG
POM PLASTIC OMNIUM SE
SCR SCOR SE
SZG SALZGITTER AG
TYRES NOKIAN RENKAAT OYJ
EKI EKINOPS SA
MTU MANITOU BF SA
GLO GL EVENTS SA
VOE VOESTALPINE AG
ACX ACERINOX SA
FR VALEO SE
BON BONDUELLE SCA
SOLB SOLVAY SA
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
ERA ERAMET SA
ELIS ELIS SA
TUB TUBACEX S.A.
NDA AURUBIS AG
PAL PALFINGER AG
CIE CIE AUTOMOTIVE S.A.
AMG AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
WAF SILTRONIC AG
ZAG ZUMTOBEL GROUP AG
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
SPIE SPIE SA
RACE FERRARI NV
COPN COSMO PHARMACEUTICALS NV
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
MAU ETABLISSEMENTS MAUREL & PROM SA
BHP BHP GROUP LTD
DUE DURR AG
PIRC PIRELLI & C. S.P.A.
AMAG AMAG AUSTRIA METALL AG
GEST GESTAMP AUTOMOCION S.A.
FQT FREQUENTIS AG WIENER
GRP GREENCOAT RENEWABLES
COP COMPUGROUP MEDICAL SE & CO. KGAA
AML ASTON MARTIN LAGONDA GLOBAL HOLDINGS
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
FUR FUGRO NV
EAPI EUROAPI
ML COMPAGNIE GENERALE DES ETABLISSEMENTS MICHELIN
P911 DR. ING. H.C. F. PORSCHE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
AF AIR FRANCE - KLM
ALIV SDB AUTOLIV INC.
BRE BREMBO S.P.A.
HAVAS HAVAS N.V
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: BCG LN; KLKIM TI; MGROS TI; PGE PW; PCO PW; TLV RO; EU Oil...
HEADLINES: • Baltic Classifieds Group: good opportunity to act (upgraded to BUY) • Kalekim: strong results in 4Q24 POSITIVE • Migros: a good set of operating results for 4Q24 POSITIVE • PGE: preliminary 4Q24 EBITDA 11% above our forecast and 27% above the consensus POSITIVE • Pepco Group: strategy update ahead of Capital Markets Day – focus on Pepco banner and CEE region; EUR 200m buyback in 2025-27E; Poundland dragging on FY25E EBITDA guidance POSITIVE • Banca Transilvania: 2025E guidance analy...
- Miguel Dias
WOOD Flash – Banca Transilvania: 2025E guidance analysis
Banca Transilvania (TLV) held its 4Q24 results conference call yesterday afternoon (5 March), and provided its guidance for 2025E on a stand-alone basis. We have run the numbers, and tried to estimate the consolidated numbers and stack them against our 2025E forecasts. On our initial analysis, the guidance implies material upside for our 2025E forecasts, which is aligned with the Bloomberg consensus. Banca Transilvania is trading at 7.3x P/E and 1.4x P/BV on our 2025E figures, while the implied ...
- Jovan Sikimic
- Research Team
WOOD Morning (5 March 2025)
HEADLINES: • GEK Terna: it’s a new dawn, it’s a new day, it’s a new GEK (BUY – transfer of coverage) • Alior Bank: solid 4Q24; dividend guidance implies 10% yield; market awaiting strategic update, due on 25 March POSITIVE • Coca-Cola Icecek: significant miss in the 4Q24 results NEGATIVE • Pegasus Airlines: 4Q24 – better RASK, higher CASKX, decent guidance • OMV: agrees on Borealis, Borouge and Nova Chemicals deal with ADNOC POSITIVE • Alpha Services and Holdings: Paulson entity offers 57m share...
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
ALPHA ALPHA BANK AE
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
BOROUGE BOROUGE
- Research Team
The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: Poland outperforms; Türkiye declin...
EME Equity Market – February 2025 Poland outperforms, again; Türkiye declines. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced by 3.1% in EUR terms and 2.9% mom in USD terms in February. The Polish WIG20 was, once again, the best performer, adding 7.3% mom in February; followed by the Czech PX Index (+6.1% mom); while Greece (+3.8% mom), Hungary (+3.5% mom) and Romania (+3.0% mom) all reported rather similar performances. The Turkish ISE30 was the worst performer, declining 4.5% mom.
EUROB EUROBANK ERGASIAS SERVICES & HOLDINGS SA
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
KRU KRUK S.A.
MOL MOL NYRT
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL AG
OMV OMV AG
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
BIMAS BIM BIRLESIK MAGAZALAR A.S.
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
MYTIL MYTILINEOS S.A.
AKCNS AKCANSA CIMENTO
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
BRISA BRISA-BRIDGESTONE SABANCI LASTIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CIMSA CIMENTO SANYAI VE TICARET A.S.
LOGO LOGO YAZILIM SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CCC CCC SA
2310 SAHARA INTERNATIONAL PETROCHEMICAL COMPANY
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
TKNSA TEKNOSA IC VE DIS TICARET AS
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
ALPHA ALPHA BANK AE
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
TUPRS TURKIYE PETROL RAFINERILERI A.S.
GSPARK GRAPHISOFT PARK SE
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
SAB1L SIAULIU BANKAS
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
SNP PETROM S.A.
PBK PATRIA BANK SA
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
BVB S.C. BURSA DE VALORI BUCURESTI S.A.
GEB BANK OF GEORGIA
RICHT RICHTER
19XX NEPI ROCKCASTLE PLC
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
R22 R22
MCOV B MEDICOVER AB
ADNOCDIST ADNOC DISTRIBUTION PJSC
CGEO GEORGIA CAPITAL
EAT AMREST HOLDINGS SE
NLBR NLB GROUP
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
DUNAHOUSE DUNA HOUSE
KSPI KASPI KZ
HUGE HUUUGE
4IG 4IG NYRT
CTPNV CTP NV
GPP GRUPA PRACUJ DA
GIG GAMING INNOVATION GROUP
ADNOCDRILL ADNOC DRILLING CO
2381 ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
7202 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
ELPE HELLENIQ ENERGY
BOROUGE BOROUGE
7203 ELM CO
AQ AQUILA PART PROD COM
TRESTATES TRADE ESTATES REIC SA
AIRA AIR ASTANA JSC
NOVAL NOVAL PROPERTY
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