reports
- Emmanuel Matot
- Marc Lavaud
- Michael Foundoukidis
- Emmanuel Matot
- Marc Lavaud
- Michael Foundoukidis
- Baptiste Lebacq
Subsea 7 : 2024 EBITDA guidance increased by 5% and great confidence f...
>Outperform rating and target price of NOK 250 - Following the earnings release and the conference call, we leave our earnings sequence unchanged (and are more confident that the group will achieve our estimates). Subsea 7 is in our view well placed to ride: 1/ the ongoing acceleration in offshore/subsea capex (we are looking for average annual market growth of more than 15% over 2024-2026e); 2/ and that in investment in renewables in the UK (post elections) to reduc...
- Baptiste Lebacq
Subsea 7 : Guidance d’EBITDA 2024 relevée de 5% et grande confiance su...
>Opinion Surperformance et OC 250 NOK réitérés - Post publication et conférence call, nous maintenons inchangée notre séquence de résultats (et sommes plus confiants quant à leur atteinte par le groupe). Subsea 7 est, selon nous, bien positionné pour surfer 1/sur l’accélération en cours des Capex en offshore/subsea (nous tablons sur un marché en croissance annuelle moyenne de plus de 15% sur 2024/2026e) ; 2/ ainsi que sur celle des investissements dans les renouvelabl...
- ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
- Haakon Amundsen
- John Olaisen
Subsea 7 S.A. Announces Third Quarter 2024 Results
Subsea 7 S.A. Announces Third Quarter 2024 Results Luxembourg – 21 November 2024 – Subsea 7 S.A. (Oslo Børs: SUBC, ADR: SUBCY, ISIN: LU0075646355, the Company) announced today results of Subsea7 Group (the Group, Subsea7) for the third quarter which ended 30 September 2024. Highlights Third quarter Adjusted EBITDA of $321 million, up 59% on the prior year period, equating to a margin of 18% Robust free cash flow of $138 million in the third quarter, leading to a reduction in net debt of $170 millionAdjusted EBITDA in the first nine months of 2024 of $775 million, exceeding the prior fu...
- Martin Huseby Karlsen
Subsea 7 (Buy, TP: NOK260.00) - All eyes on 2025 guidance
We are in line with consensus on Q3e adj. EBITDA and expect 2025 revenue guidance to be the key focus (margin guidance already provided). Our 2025e revenue of USD7.1bn is in line with consensus, with YOY growth supported by an already-secured backlog (69% backlog coverage versus 55% historically), higher dayrates for its PLSVs, and two new fleet additions in 2025. We reiterate our BUY and NOK260 target price.
- Steffen Evjen
- ABGSC Energy Research
- Åsne Holsen
- Daniel Vårdal Haugland
- Haakon Amundsen
- John Olaisen
- Oliver Dunvold
- Stian Wibstad
- ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
- Haakon Amundsen
- John Olaisen
- Steffen Evjen
US shale: limited revisions and colour on 2025 activity levels
Our Q3 survey of the US shale universe showed limited revisions to guidance for 2024, and we still expect muted 2024 production growth of ~4–5% YOY (+8% YOY in 2023). Our survey also suggests capex down ~2% YOY, as the companies continue to guide for flat activity. Limited colour was provided on 2025 activity levels and associated capex, which we will know more about in the Q4 results season. For Q3, our universe marginally underspent its cash flow, albeit with net debt continuing to build QOQ a...
- Steffen Evjen
BlueNord (Buy, TP: NOK680.00) - The next chapter
Following the scheduled Tyra ramp-up to plateau production towards year-end, we expect the first dividend announcement in January. For 2025–2026, we calculate DPS of NOK352, equal to ~60% of its market cap. Moreover, we see a compelling equity story after 2026e, supported by the Danish Continental Shelf (DCS), a high-value basin with strong prospectivity. We reiterate our BUY and have raised our target price to NOK680 (610).
- Steffen Evjen
- ABGSC Energy Research
- Åsne Holsen
- Daniel Vårdal Haugland
- Haakon Amundsen
- John Olaisen
- Stian Wibstad
Subsea7 share repurchases
Subsea7 share repurchases Luxembourg – 11 November 2024 - Subsea 7 S.A. (Oslo Børs: SUBC, ADR: SUBCY) today announced transactions made in accordance with its share repurchase programme during the week commencing 4 November 2024. Date on which the share repurchase programme was announced: 25 July 2019, with a two-year extension announced on 19 April 2023. The duration of the share repurchase programme: until 18 April 2025. In the period from 4 November 2024 until 8 November 2024 Subsea 7 S.A. has repurchased a ...
- Steffen Evjen
Weekly news, topics & discussion
This week, DNO reported Q3 underlying results fairly in line with our estimates. It also introduced a long-term production guidance for its North Sea operations, which we find a bit too aggressive. Still, we estimate the North Sea net production to increase from 15kboed in 2024 to >20kboed in 2027. In other news, Equinor acquired a 11.8% stake from Sval Energi in the Halten East development, and BlueNord’s preliminary October production figures were at the lower end of its Q4 base production gui...
- ABGSC Energy Research
- Åsne Holsen
- Daniel Vårdal Haugland
- Haakon Amundsen
- John Olaisen
- Stian Wibstad
Seaway7 awarded offshore wind contract in the UK
Seaway7 awarded offshore wind contract in the UK Luxembourg – 6 November 2024 - Subsea 7 S.A. (Oslo Børs: SUBC, ADR: SUBCY) today announced the award to Seaway7, part of the Subsea7 Group, of a substantial1 contract by ScottishPower Renewables for the transport and installation of the inter-array cables of the East Anglia TWO offshore wind project. ScottishPower Renewables’ £4 billion East Anglia TWO offshore windfarm will be located around 33 kilometres from the east coast of England in the Southern North Sea. Successful in the UK Government’s contracts for difference (CfD) allocation rou...
- Steffen Evjen
Subsea7 share repurchases
Subsea7 share repurchases Luxembourg – 4 November 2024 - Subsea 7 S.A. (Oslo Børs: SUBC, ADR: SUBCY) today announced transactions made in accordance with its share repurchase programme during the week commencing 28 October 2024. Date on which the share repurchase programme was announced: 25 July 2019, with a two-year extension announced on 19 April 2023. The duration of the share repurchase programme: until 18 April 2025. In the period from 28 October 2024 until 1 November 2024 Subsea 7 S.A. has repurchased a t...
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