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Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: PL Utilities; MIL PW; AKBNK TI; KTY PW; OPL PW; PKN PW; TL...

HEADLINES: • Polish utilities: a flash in the pan (Enea and Tauron stay HOLD, PGE stays SELL) • Bank Millennium: posts solid 3Q25, all priced in NEUTRAL • Akbank: 3Q25 highlights – no major surprises, but NIM recovery remains slow and 2026E COR guidance appears cautious NEUTRAL • Kety: 3Q25 conference call highlights NEUTRAL • Orange Polska: key takeaways from the 3Q25 earnings call NEUTRAL • Orlen: wins USD 146m from Gazprom POSITIVE • Türkiye macro: CBT delivers 100bps cut, in line with the co...

Bram Buring ... (+3)
  • Bram Buring
  • CFA
  • Jakub Bronicki

Polish Utilities: a flash in the pan (Enea and Tauron stay HOLD, PGE s...

We have updated our forecasts for the Polish utilities, following the companies’ new strategies, and the strong results in 1H25, which are likely to deteriorate in 2H25E and 2026E. All three are planning record-high capex until 2035E (PGE PLN 235bn; Enea PLN 107.5bn; Tauron PLN 100bn), mitigated partly by the favourable regulated returns and the new support for conventional generation, plus the low-cost National Recovery Plan financing (0.5% interest). This supports the ambitious investment plan...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: H2O RO; MONET CP; OPL PW; KTY PW; SAR GA; MOL HB; GPW PW; ...

HEADLINES: • Hidroelectrica: water should yield more (SELL - transfer of coverage) • MONETA Money Bank: posts solid 3Q25 results NEUTRAL • Orange Polska: 3Q25 results – EBITDAaL up 4% yoy, 2% above the consensus; 2025E guidance reiterated POSITIVE • Kety: full 3Q25 results fully in line with the preliminaries NEUTRAL • Sarantis: 3Q trading update slightly below expectations; FY25E guidance maintained NEGATIVE • MOL: to become a holding company NEUTRAL • Warsaw Stock Exchange: CEO favours Poland ...

Jovan Sikimic
  • Jovan Sikimic

ODDO : Healthy operational outlook absorbs higher tax beyond 2026

We think that the robust outlook for Polish economic growth should offset mid-term uncertainty on fiscal policy and political risk. We have made a slight upward revision to our forecasts for pre-tax profit (by 1% to 4%) but lowered our EPS forecasts by 21% for 2026e and 4% for 2027e. After factoring in the full impact of the new tax bill, we have adjusted our target prices but remain cautiously positive on Polish banks. We favour mBank (upgrade to Outperform) for its upbeat long-term outlook and...

Bank Polska Kasa Opieki S.A.: Update following ratings affirmation, ou...

Our credit view of this issuer reflects its large liquidity buffers, relatively weak asset quality and good profitability.

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Morning (21 October 2025)

HEADLINES: • Duna House: good momentum in all three key markets (stays BUY) • Tofas: amendments to two agreements with Stellantis NEUTRAL • Cyfrowy Polsat: UKE launches consultations on 900MHz band extension NEUTRAL • Erste Bank: 3Q25E preview (due on 31 October) • CCC: 3Q25E prelims preview – 11% yoy EBITDA drop expected (due on 6 November, TBC) NEUTRAL • PKO BP: 3Q25E preview (due on 6 November) • LPP: 3Q25E results preview – 31% yoy EBITDA growth expected (due on 11 December) NEUTRAL

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: PKN PW; VGO PW; Poland macro; BDX PW; PZU PW; SFG RO; CEZ ...

HEADLINES: • Orlen: makes an offer to buy Grupa Azoty Polyolefins NEGATIVE • VIGO Photonics: 3Q25 sales up 48.5% yoy to PLN 23.3m POSITIVE • Poland macro: August balance of payments data underscores weak exports • Budimex: PLN 2.6bn bid from Budimex's consortium scored highest in the PKP PLK tender POSITIVE • PZU: the new CEO gives one of his first interviews, discussing the potential PZU–Pekao merger NEUTRAL • Sphera Group: Hard Rock Cafe joining the company’s brand portfolio POSITIVE • CEZ: AN...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: PKO PW; MONET CP; ZAB PW

HEADLINES: • PKO BP: announces PLN 1.15bn of FX mortgage saga losses in 3Q25E NEUTRAL • MONETA Money Bank: 3Q25E preview (due on 23 October) • Zabka: 3Q25E results preview – 13% yoy EBITDA growth expected (due on 28 October) NEUTRAL • Short News (PEO)

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: DIA PW; PZU PW; PEO PW; TEN PW; PL Telecoms; GTC PW; TPEIR...

HEADLINES: • Diagnostyka: risk of the gradual loss of key customer, Luxmed NEGATIVE • PZU / Bank Pekao: potential merger continuing • Ten Square Games: 3Q25 bookings up 4.5% qoq, better than Sensor Tower's estimates POSITIVE • Polish telecoms: mobile number portability in 3Q25 NEUTRAL • GTC: prices EUR 455m bond with an 8% yield POSITIVE • Piraeus Financial Holdings: prices EUR 600m AT1 bond POSITIVE • Czech Republic macro: elections – forced cooperation should keep the economy strong • EME Macr...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: DSPW CP; DIA PW; DOM PW; GTC PW; TXT PW; EU Oil and Gas Mo...

HEADLINES: • Doosan Škoda Power: high steam pressure needs to cool off (downgraded to SELL) • Diagnostyka: testing positive (downgraded to HOLD) • Dom Development: 3Q25 – record sales, strong handovers, optimistic outlook POSITIVE • GTC: prices EUR 455m bond on 3 October POSITIVE • Text: key takeaways from the 2Q25-26 preliminary earnings call NEUTRAL • European Oil and Gas Monthly: September 2025 – droning on about margins • 4iG: signs letter of intent with Axiom Space NEUTRAL • Athens Exchange...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: CZ Macro; TXT PW; GTC PW; ACP PW; TL Automotive; Rear-View...

HEADLINES: • Czech macro: parliamentary elections – 3-4 October • Text: preliminary 2Q25-26 (calendar 3Q25) results – MRR of USD 7.06m (down 1.5% qoq, up 0.3% yoy) NEGATIVE • GTC: launches a landmark bond refinancing with a 6.5% EUR 455m 2030 tranche POSITIVE • Asseco Poland: TSS sends open letter to ACP's shareholders and proposes new incentive scheme NEUTRAL • Turkish automotive: strong momentum in light vehicle sales continued in September • The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: Romanian BET in...

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: Romanian BET in the lead in Septem...

EME Equity Market – September 2025 Romanian BET led in September, while Türkiye and Hungary lagged. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 0.7% mom in EUR terms and 1.1% in USD terms. The Romanian BET was the top performer, adding 3.6% in EUR terms; followed by the Czech PX (+3.2% mom) and the Polish WIG20 (+1.1% mom) (all in EUR terms); while there was a muted performance from the Greek ASE (+0.6% mom in EUR terms). The Turkish ISE30 and the Hungarian BUX were the worst performing indices in September(...

BRE MBANK SA
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
MOL MOL NYRT
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
OMV OMV AG
TITK TITAN CEMENT CO. SA
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
LAMDA LAMDA DEVELOPMENT S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
KTY GRUPA KETY SA
MYTIL MYTILINEOS S.A.
SAR GR. SARANTIS S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
CCC CCC SA
GTC GLOBE TRADE CENTRE S.A.
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
RBW RAINBOW TOURS S.A.
ENA ENEA S.A.
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
ECH ECHO INVESTMENT
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
BELA JUMBO S.A.
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
SNP PETROM S.A.
PBK PATRIA BANK SA
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
TGN SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE TRANSPORT GAZE NATURALE TRANSGAZ S.A.
MAVI MAVI GIYIM SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
R22 R22
ADNOCDIST ADNOC DISTRIBUTION PJSC
CGEO GEORGIA CAPITAL
EAT AMREST HOLDINGS SE
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
DUNAHOUSE DUNA HOUSE
INPST INPOST S.A.
HUGE HUUUGE
WPS W.A.G PAYMENT SOLUTIONS PLC
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
CTPNV CTP NV
VRC VERCOM SA
BCG BALTIC CLASSIFIEDS GROUP PLC
7202 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
9526 JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
ELPE HELLENIQ ENERGY
SHO SHOPER SA
MUR2 MURAPOL SA
TRESTATES TRADE ESTATES REIC SA
THEON THEON INTERNATIONAL PLC
AIRA AIR ASTANA JSC
GEV GEVORKYAN A.S.
NOVAL NOVAL PROPERTY
BOCHGR BANK OF CYPRUS
ZAB ZABKA GROUP
DSPW DOOSAN SKODA POWER A.S.
DIAG DIAGNOSTYKA SA
PE RO PREMIER ENERGY
Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: ZAB PW; PCF PW; RBW PW; Polish utilities; TEN PW; HUG PW; ...

HEADLINES: • Zabka Group: 2026-28E rollout targets raised to 1.3k stores p.a.; dividend policy announced POSITIVE • PCF Group: 2Q25 losses deeper qoq on lower revenue and material write-offs • Rainbow Tours: consolidated August sales +17.6% yoy, driven by Paralela 45 acquisition; stand-alone sales +7.9% yoy POSITIVE • Polish utilities: electricity sales tariffs for 4Q25 set at PLN 573/MWh POSITIVE • Ten Square Games: September Sensor Tower bookings estimates flat mom, improvement in core games N...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: PCO PW; BELA GA; THEON NA; Czech Republic macro; EWG LN; P...

HEADLINES: • Pepco: lfl recovery continued in 4Q25, with Poland falling behind W. Europe; another EUR 50m buyback announced POSITIVE • Jumbo: 1H25 earnings slightly lower than expected - adj. EBITDA +7% yoy to EUR 165m NEGATIVE • Theon International: wins another sizeable OCCAR contract POSITIVE • Czech Republic macro: CNB on hold • Eurowag: TA Associates completes GBP 56m ABB • PZU: new acting CEO appointed, pending PFSA approval NEUTRAL • Banca Transilvania: proposes an extraordinary DPS of RO...

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