reports
- Baptiste Lebacq
- Jean-François Granjon
ODDO : What if the water deficit undermined energy security?
>Alberta: drought in Canada’s leading oil province - The province of Alberta (Canada) is in a situation of water stress for the fourth consecutive year. On a scale of 1 to 5, the region is currently at stage 4 and if stage 5 were reached the government would be obliged to use directives in order to manage the situation. This province generates significant revenues from the oil and gas industry (around 15% of GDP) and agriculture (wheat, beef, etc.) which are extr...
- Baptiste Lebacq
- Jean-François Granjon
ODDO : Et si le déficit en eau mettait à mal l’Energy Security ?
>L’Alberta : sécheresse dans la principale province pétrolière canadienne - La province de l’Alberta (Canada) fait face à un stress hydrique pour la 4ème année consécutive. Sur une échelle de 1 à 5, la région est actuellement au stade 4 et si le stade 5 était atteint, le gouvernement serait alors amené à gérer par des directives. Cette province bénéficie de revenus importants en provenance de l’industrie du Oil&Gas (environ 15% du PIB) et de l’agriculture (blé, b...
- Baptiste Lebacq
- Jean-François Granjon
ODDO : Shareholder returns gearing up
>Supercycle and shareholder returns in the oil & gas sector - After several challenging years in which a number of players were in survival mode, the start of a supercycle signals an acceleration in free cash flow generation for certain players and thus in shareholder returns. This is particularly justified as the groups boast strengthened financial situations as well as good visibility thanks to their backlogs. Sector companies are not yet facing a problem of ab...
- Baptiste Lebacq
- Jean-François Granjon
ODDO : Des retours aux actionnaires qui s’enclenchent
>Supercycle et retours à l’actionnaire dans le secteur du Oil&Gas - Après plusieurs années difficiles dans un mode « survival » pour de nombreux acteurs, l’entrée dans un mouvement de supercycle est pour certains acteurs synonymes d’accélération de la génération de free cash-flow et in-extenso du retour aux actionnaires. Ceci est d’autant plus justifié que les groupes disposent d’une situation financière renforcée ainsi que d’une bonne visibilité via leurs carnets d...
- Jean Danjou
- Jean-Baptiste Rouphael
- Marc Lavaud
- Oliver Metzger
BEKB BEKAERT SA
SOP SOPRA STERIA GROUP SA
ACX ACERINOX SA
EBRO EBRO FOODS SA
FR VALEO SE
BON BONDUELLE SCA
FIE FIELMANN AG
SOC SUBSEA 7 S.A.
AIXA AIXTRON SE
VIS VISCOFAN S.A.
FCC FOMENTO DE CONSTRUCCIONES Y CONTRATAS S.A.
BPOST BPOST SA
EDR EDREAMS ODIGEO SA
A3TV ATRESMEDIA CORPORACION DE MEDIOS DE COMUNICACION SA
ENC ENCE ENERGIA Y CELULOSA SA
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
CSM CORBION NV
LRE LAR ESPANA REAL ESTATE SOCIMI SA
TLGO TALGO SA
MEL MELIA HOTELS INTERNATIONAL S.A.
TRE TECNICAS REUNIDAS SA
IBG IBERPAPEL GESTION S.A.
PSG PROSEGUR COMPANIA DE SEGURIDAD SA
CASH PROSEGUR CASH SA
BFSA BEFESA SA
VK VALLOUREC SA
TE TECHNIP ENERGIES NV
EXN EXCLUSIVE NETWORKS SA
SPM SAIPEM S.P.A.
ENER GRUPO ECOENER S.A.
- Jean Danjou
- Jean-Baptiste Rouphael
- Marc Lavaud
- Oliver Metzger
BEKB BEKAERT SA
SOP SOPRA STERIA GROUP SA
ACX ACERINOX SA
EBRO EBRO FOODS SA
FR VALEO SE
BON BONDUELLE SCA
FIE FIELMANN AG
SOC SUBSEA 7 S.A.
AIXA AIXTRON SE
VIS VISCOFAN S.A.
FCC FOMENTO DE CONSTRUCCIONES Y CONTRATAS S.A.
BPOST BPOST SA
EDR EDREAMS ODIGEO SA
A3TV ATRESMEDIA CORPORACION DE MEDIOS DE COMUNICACION SA
ENC ENCE ENERGIA Y CELULOSA SA
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
CSM CORBION NV
LRE LAR ESPANA REAL ESTATE SOCIMI SA
TLGO TALGO SA
MEL MELIA HOTELS INTERNATIONAL S.A.
TRE TECNICAS REUNIDAS SA
IBG IBERPAPEL GESTION S.A.
PSG PROSEGUR COMPANIA DE SEGURIDAD SA
CASH PROSEGUR CASH SA
BFSA BEFESA SA
VK VALLOUREC SA
TE TECHNIP ENERGIES NV
EXN EXCLUSIVE NETWORKS SA
SPM SAIPEM S.P.A.
ENER GRUPO ECOENER S.A.
- Baptiste Lebacq
Tecnicas Reunidas : 4% target
>Neutral rating maintained - target price of € 9 (vs € 10 previously) - Following the release and the conference call, we revised down our 2024-2026 EPS sequence by an average of 10%. We adjust our target price to € 9 and reiterate our Neutral rating on the share. There are still many more attractive stocks in the sector with leading positions in key markets and with greater upside (upside for E&C companies: 35%). Financially, Tecnicas Reunidas is in good shape and h...
- Baptiste Lebacq
Tecnicas Reunidas : Objectif 4%
>Opinion Neutre maintenue - OC 9 € (vs 10 € avant) - Post publication et conférence call, nous avons revu en baisse notre séquence de BPA 2024/26 de 10% en moyenne. Nous ajustons notre OC à 9 € et réitérons notre recommandation Neutre sur le titre. Il demeure dans le secteur de nombreux dossiers plus attractifs avec des positions de leader sur des marchés clefs et avec un upside plus important (potentiel de hause du côté des sociétés d’E&C : 35%). Financièrement Tecn...
- Ahmed Ben Salem
- Baptiste Lebacq
- Thijs Berkelder
ODDO : Namibia: the place to be
The emergence of Namibia as a new oil-producing country offers opportunities for players in the sector. Regarding the oil companies, although at this stage the volumes discovered by TotalEnergies and Shell have not been quantified, the zone seems to be a real game-changer for GALP, leading to an upgrade to our rating (Outperform vs Underperform, target price € 16.5). In the medium term, it could also represent a new El Dorado for oil services despite the challenges of starting up...
FP TOTAL SE
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
SLB.N SCHLUMBERGER NV
GTT GAZTRANSPORT & TECHNIGAZ SA
SBMO SBM OFFSHORE NV
EURN EURONAV NV
PGS PGS ASA
ENI ENI S.P.A.
P2F PETROFAC LIMITED
REP REPSOL SA
SOC SUBSEA 7 S.A.
SBO SCHOELLER-BLECKMANN OILFIELD EQUIPMENT AG
TRE TECNICAS REUNIDAS SA
DR0 DEUTSCHE ROHSTOFF AG
TEC TECHNIPFMC PLC
BP. BP P.L.C.
CGG CGG
ENOG ENERGEAN PLC
VK VALLOUREC SA
TE TECHNIP ENERGIES NV
FUR FUGRO NV
SHEL SHELL PLC
SPM SAIPEM S.P.A.
TEN TENARIS S.A.
- Ahmed Ben Salem
- Baptiste Lebacq
- Thijs Berkelder
ODDO : Namibie : the place to be
L’émergence de la Namibie en tant que nouveau pays pétrolier offre des opportunités pour les acteurs du secteur. Côté compagnies pétrolières, même si, à ce stade, les volumes découverts par TotalEnergies et Shell n’ont pas été quantifiés, il semblerait que cette zone soit un véritable game changer pour GALP d’où le relèvement de notre recommandation (Surperformance vs Sous-performance, OC 16.5 €). Elle pourrait aussi constituer à MT un nouvel eldorado pour les services pétroliers...
FP TOTAL SE
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
SLB.N SCHLUMBERGER NV
GTT GAZTRANSPORT & TECHNIGAZ SA
SBMO SBM OFFSHORE NV
EURN EURONAV NV
PGS PGS ASA
ENI ENI S.P.A.
P2F PETROFAC LIMITED
REP REPSOL SA
SOC SUBSEA 7 S.A.
SBO SCHOELLER-BLECKMANN OILFIELD EQUIPMENT AG
TRE TECNICAS REUNIDAS SA
DR0 DEUTSCHE ROHSTOFF AG
TEC TECHNIPFMC PLC
BP. BP P.L.C.
CGG CGG
ENOG ENERGEAN PLC
VK VALLOUREC SA
TE TECHNIP ENERGIES NV
FUR FUGRO NV
SHEL SHELL PLC
SPM SAIPEM S.P.A.
TEN TENARIS S.A.
- Baptiste Lebacq
- Jean-François Granjon
ODDO : Gust of wind
>Sector down 5% in Europe and by close to 2% in the US - The oil services sector was impacted by the combination of an incident on a project in Australia, which reminded investors that the sector could face execution difficulties/risks, and Saudi Aramco's announcement that it would maintain its production capacity at 12 mb/d (compared with a previous target of 13 mb/d). We believe the correction to be excessive, given that the pipeline of new projects remains substa...
- Baptiste Lebacq
- Jean-François Granjon
ODDO : Coup de vent
>Secteur en baisse de 5% en Europe et de près de 2% aux USA - Le secteur des services pétroliers a été affecté par la conjonction d’un incident sur un projet en Australie qui rappelle aux investisseurs que le secteur peut être confronté à des difficultés / risques d’exécution et de l’annonce par Saudi Aramco d’un maintien de ses capacités de production à 12 Mb/j (vs un objectif de 13 Mb/j auparavant). Nous jugeons la correction excessive alors que le pipeline de nou...
- Ahmed Ben Salem
ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 29/01/2024 Date Performance dep...
Après 5 années compliquées pour l’univers small caps, les raisons d’espérer sont plus tangibles en 2024 (retour à la collecte, valorisations cohérentes et prime de croissance vs large caps) mais le timing reste encore incertain et le couple momentum/visibilité restera encore clé pour la performance. Notre liste European Nextcap S1 2024 intègre : Compagnie des Alpes, Ence, Esker, Exail Technologies, Schoeller Bleckmann, SFC Energy, TFF Group, et Xior Student Housing. - ...
FP TOTAL SE
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
SLB.N SCHLUMBERGER NV
GTT GAZTRANSPORT & TECHNIGAZ SA
SBMO SBM OFFSHORE NV
EURN EURONAV NV
PGS PGS ASA
ALCAR CARMAT SA
ENI ENI S.P.A.
P2F PETROFAC LIMITED
REP REPSOL SA
COR CORTICEIRA AMORIM SGPS SA
SOC SUBSEA 7 S.A.
KRN KRONES AG
SBO SCHOELLER-BLECKMANN OILFIELD EQUIPMENT AG
CSM CORBION NV
TRE TECNICAS REUNIDAS SA
DR0 DEUTSCHE ROHSTOFF AG
TEC TECHNIPFMC PLC
BP. BP P.L.C.
SMCP SMCP SA
CGG CGG
ENOG ENERGEAN PLC
VK VALLOUREC SA
TE TECHNIP ENERGIES NV
NXFIL NX FILTRATION HLDG BV
FUR FUGRO NV
SHEL SHELL PLC
SPM SAIPEM S.P.A.
STM STABILUS SE
SCHOTT PHARMA AG
TEN TENARIS S.A.
- Ahmed Ben Salem
ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 01/29/2024 Date Performance sin...
After five challenging years for the small cap universe, the reasons for hope should be more perceptible in 2024 (return to inflows, consistent valuations and growth premium vs large caps) but the timing is still uncertain, and the momentum/visibility pair will still be key to performance. Our H1 2024 European Nextcap list includes: Compagnie des Alpes, Ence, Esker, Exail Technologies, Schoeller Bleckmann, SFC Energy, TFF Group, and Xior Student Housing. - ...
FP TOTAL SE
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
SLB.N SCHLUMBERGER NV
GTT GAZTRANSPORT & TECHNIGAZ SA
SBMO SBM OFFSHORE NV
EURN EURONAV NV
PGS PGS ASA
ALCAR CARMAT SA
ENI ENI S.P.A.
P2F PETROFAC LIMITED
REP REPSOL SA
COR CORTICEIRA AMORIM SGPS SA
SOC SUBSEA 7 S.A.
KRN KRONES AG
SBO SCHOELLER-BLECKMANN OILFIELD EQUIPMENT AG
CSM CORBION NV
TRE TECNICAS REUNIDAS SA
DR0 DEUTSCHE ROHSTOFF AG
TEC TECHNIPFMC PLC
BP. BP P.L.C.
SMCP SMCP SA
CGG CGG
ENOG ENERGEAN PLC
VK VALLOUREC SA
TE TECHNIP ENERGIES NV
NXFIL NX FILTRATION HLDG BV
FUR FUGRO NV
SHEL SHELL PLC
SPM SAIPEM S.P.A.
STM STABILUS SE
SCHOTT PHARMA AG
TEN TENARIS S.A.
- Ahmed Ben Salem
- Bruno Cavalier
LHN LAFARGEHOLCIM LTD.
FP TOTAL SE
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
WCH WACKER CHEMIE AG
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
KNEBV KONE OYJ CLASS B
SLB.N SCHLUMBERGER NV
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
GTT GAZTRANSPORT & TECHNIGAZ SA
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
RCO REMY COINTREAU SA
SBMO SBM OFFSHORE NV
EURN EURONAV NV
AGS AGEAS SA/NV
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KER KERING SA
PGS PGS ASA
ZAL ZALANDO SE
ENI ENI S.P.A.
RWE RWE AG
RY4C RYANAIR HOLDINGS PLC
P2F PETROFAC LIMITED
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
REP REPSOL SA
SOC SUBSEA 7 S.A.
BKT BANKINTER SA
SBO SCHOELLER-BLECKMANN OILFIELD EQUIPMENT AG
FDR FLUIDRA S.A.
MONC MONCLER SPA
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
TRE TECNICAS REUNIDAS SA
LIVS AUTOLIV INC. SDR
DR0 DEUTSCHE ROHSTOFF AG
TEC TECHNIPFMC PLC
BP. BP P.L.C.
CGG CGG
ENOG ENERGEAN PLC
VK VALLOUREC SA
TE TECHNIP ENERGIES NV
FUR FUGRO NV
SHEL SHELL PLC
SPM SAIPEM S.P.A.
SGSN SGS SA
TEN TENARIS S.A.
- Bruno Cavalier
- Oliver Metzger
- Wim Gille
LHN LAFARGEHOLCIM LTD.
FP TOTAL SE
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
WCH WACKER CHEMIE AG
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
KNEBV KONE OYJ CLASS B
SLB.N SCHLUMBERGER NV
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
GTT GAZTRANSPORT & TECHNIGAZ SA
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
RCO REMY COINTREAU SA
SBMO SBM OFFSHORE NV
EURN EURONAV NV
AGS AGEAS SA/NV
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
PHIA KONINKLIJKE PHILIPS N.V.
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KER KERING SA
PGS PGS ASA
ZAL ZALANDO SE
ENI ENI S.P.A.
RWE RWE AG
RY4C RYANAIR HOLDINGS PLC
P2F PETROFAC LIMITED
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
REP REPSOL SA
SOC SUBSEA 7 S.A.
BKT BANKINTER SA
SBO SCHOELLER-BLECKMANN OILFIELD EQUIPMENT AG
FDR FLUIDRA S.A.
MONC MONCLER SPA
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
TRE TECNICAS REUNIDAS SA
LIVS AUTOLIV INC. SDR
DR0 DEUTSCHE ROHSTOFF AG
TEC TECHNIPFMC PLC
BP. BP P.L.C.
CGG CGG
ENOG ENERGEAN PLC
VK VALLOUREC SA
TE TECHNIP ENERGIES NV
FUR FUGRO NV
SHEL SHELL PLC
SPM SAIPEM S.P.A.
SGSN SGS SA
TEN TENARIS S.A.
- Ahmed Ben Salem
- Baptiste Lebacq
ODDO : US halts the granting of new LNG permits, with a limited impact...
>The decision concerns 17 projects in the USA, which has become the world's largest exporter of LNG. - The Biden administration has just announced that it will pause the granting of permits for new LNG plants in the US. This decision affects 17 projects currently awaiting approval. However, projects under construction, those that have received their permits or that are in production are not affected by this measure. This measure comes at a time when the US which began...
FP TOTAL SE
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
SLB.N SCHLUMBERGER NV
GTT GAZTRANSPORT & TECHNIGAZ SA
SBMO SBM OFFSHORE NV
EURN EURONAV NV
PGS PGS ASA
ENI ENI S.P.A.
P2F PETROFAC LIMITED
REP REPSOL SA
SOC SUBSEA 7 S.A.
SBO SCHOELLER-BLECKMANN OILFIELD EQUIPMENT AG
TRE TECNICAS REUNIDAS SA
DR0 DEUTSCHE ROHSTOFF AG
TEC TECHNIPFMC PLC
BP. BP P.L.C.
CGG CGG
ENOG ENERGEAN PLC
VK VALLOUREC SA
TE TECHNIP ENERGIES NV
FUR FUGRO NV
SHEL SHELL PLC
SPM SAIPEM S.P.A.
TEN TENARIS S.A.
- Ahmed Ben Salem
- Baptiste Lebacq
ODDO : Les USA arrêtent l’octroi de nouveaux permis de GNL, un impact ...
>La décision concerne 17 projets aux USA, devenus premier exportateur de GNL - L’administration Biden vient d’annoncer qu’elle va mettre en pause l’octroi les autorisations pour les nouvelles usines de GNL aux USA. 17 projets en cours d’attente des autorisations sont concernés par cette décision. En revanche, les projets en cours de construction, ceux qui ont reçus leurs autorisations ou qui sont en production ne sont pas concernés par cette mesure. Cette mesure arriv...
FP TOTAL SE
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
SLB.N SCHLUMBERGER NV
GTT GAZTRANSPORT & TECHNIGAZ SA
SBMO SBM OFFSHORE NV
EURN EURONAV NV
PGS PGS ASA
ENI ENI S.P.A.
P2F PETROFAC LIMITED
REP REPSOL SA
SOC SUBSEA 7 S.A.
SBO SCHOELLER-BLECKMANN OILFIELD EQUIPMENT AG
TRE TECNICAS REUNIDAS SA
DR0 DEUTSCHE ROHSTOFF AG
TEC TECHNIPFMC PLC
BP. BP P.L.C.
CGG CGG
ENOG ENERGEAN PLC
VK VALLOUREC SA
TE TECHNIP ENERGIES NV
FUR FUGRO NV
SHEL SHELL PLC
SPM SAIPEM S.P.A.
TEN TENARIS S.A.
- Jean-Baptiste Rouphael
- Maissa Keskes
- Marc Lavaud
- Stephane Houri
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 12/13/2023
After several years of underinvestment, meeting the energy security challenge will require an upturn in investment. Backlogs for services companies have been replenished and the sector should, as of 2024, post an EBITDA level close to the peak in 2014. The sector provides good visibility further out via backlogs and valuations are still attractive, while the newsflow is set to remain buoyant. We favour pure players such as TechnipFMC, Subsea 7 and Vallourec (implementation of the new ...
FP TOTAL SE
TKA THYSSENKRUPP AG
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
DG VINCI SA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
SLB.N SCHLUMBERGER NV
GTT GAZTRANSPORT & TECHNIGAZ SA
SBMO SBM OFFSHORE NV
EURN EURONAV NV
HNR1 HANNOVER RUECK SE
NOKIA NOKIA OYJ
COLR ETABLISSEMENTEN FRANZ COLRUYT N.V.
PGS PGS ASA
ENI ENI S.P.A.
TW11 TENARIS S.A.
P2F PETROFAC LIMITED
REP REPSOL SA
SOC SUBSEA 7 S.A.
SBO SCHOELLER-BLECKMANN OILFIELD EQUIPMENT AG
TRE TECNICAS REUNIDAS SA
DR0 DEUTSCHE ROHSTOFF AG
TEC TECHNIPFMC PLC
BP. BP P.L.C.
CGG CGG
ENOG ENERGEAN PLC
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
VK VALLOUREC SA
TE TECHNIP ENERGIES NV
FUR FUGRO NV
SHEL SHELL PLC
SPM SAIPEM S.P.A.
- Jean-Baptiste Rouphael
- Jean-François Granjon
- Marc Lavaud
ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 12/13/2023
After several years of underinvestment, meeting the energy security challenge will require an upturn in investment. Backlogs for services companies have been replenished and the sector should, as of 2024, post an EBITDA level close to the peak in 2014. The sector provides good visibility further out via backlogs and valuations are still attractive, while the newsflow is set to remain buoyant. We favour pure players such as TechnipFMC, Subsea 7 and Vallourec (implementation of the new ...
SCHP SECHE ENVIRONNEMENT SA
FP TOTAL SE
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
SLB.N SCHLUMBERGER NV
GTT GAZTRANSPORT & TECHNIGAZ SA
SBMO SBM OFFSHORE NV
EURN EURONAV NV
FGA FIGEAC AERO SA
PGS PGS ASA
ENI ENI S.P.A.
TW11 TENARIS S.A.
P2F PETROFAC LIMITED
REP REPSOL SA
SOC SUBSEA 7 S.A.
SBO SCHOELLER-BLECKMANN OILFIELD EQUIPMENT AG
GNFT GENFIT SA
XIL XILAM ANIMATION SA
TRE TECNICAS REUNIDAS SA
DR0 DEUTSCHE ROHSTOFF AG
TEC TECHNIPFMC PLC
BP. BP P.L.C.
CGG CGG
ENOG ENERGEAN PLC
VK VALLOUREC SA
FAST FASTNED
TE TECHNIP ENERGIES NV
FUR FUGRO NV
SHEL SHELL PLC
SPM SAIPEM S.P.A.
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