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Chris Evans
  • Chris Evans

Fear and Volatility

​We often have a problem comparing one environment with another when it comes to studying fear. Certainly 2008 was an outlier but if we put it aside for a minute we can study the other so-called normal conditions where the market swings between fear and greed. Vix acts as a fair measure of fear. Our problem doesn’t go away however since Vix is bounded at the low end (around 12-13) but easily spikes up to somewhat random levels between 17 and 30.

Chris Evans
  • Chris Evans

Volatility Liftoff

​After months of dull sideways movement, we finally got a breakout in volatility (Vix). It came as it usually does by virtue of a decline in S&P futures. There are a number of questions to consider: 1.Should we wait a day or two? 2.is it big enough to justify buying S&P 500 (futures)? 3.Is it better to buy after a sustained period of monotony?

Chris Evans
  • Chris Evans

Leaving Early for the Labor Day Weekend

​If you devote your time to taking risk that correlates at all with the S&P 500 then you must always be asking - What are the risk/reward conditions in the S&P 500? If S&P conditions are poor, then it makes no difference if you have found a cheap spread or a superior market. You should at least consider a hedge and understand how your favorite position behaves when US stock indices decline.

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