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Nicolas David
  • Nicolas David

Alten : Much more challenging year-end in 2024 because of automotive a...

>Q2 2024 revenues slightly lower than expected due to auto and aerospace - Alten yesterday evening reported Q3 revenues of € 1,009m, stable y-o-y in organic terms, and close to expectations (ODDO BHF: € 1,017m up 0.9%: css: € 1,015m, growth of 0.6%). France still showed a robust performance (+5.9% organic), admittedly helped by a very positive calendar effect. Stripping out the calendar effect, growth was 2.9%, slower than in Q2 (+5.4% organic), penalised by the stron...

Nicolas David
  • Nicolas David

Alten : Fin d’année 2024 nettement plus difficile à cause de l’Auto et...

>CA T3 2024 légèrement inférieur aux attentes à cause de l’Auto et l’Aero - Alten a publié hier soir un CA T3 de 1 009 M€, stable y/y en organique, un chiffre proche des attentes (ODDO BHF : 1 017 M€ en hausse de 0.9% : css : 1 015 M€, en hausse de 0.6%). La France affiche toujours une performance solide (+5.9% org) certes aidée par un effet calendaire très positif. Hors effet calendaire, la croissance est de 2.9%, en ralentissement par rapport auT2 (+5.4% org) pénali...

Nicolas David ... (+2)
  • Nicolas David
  • Nicolas Thorez

ODDO : The sector recovery will be slower than expected in H2 2024 and...

The recovery in growth in the IT & engineering services sector is undermined by the still mixed macroeconomic climate and the setbacks in the automotive and aerospace sectors. The improvement in sector momentum will therefore be minimal in H2 2024 with a growing decorrelation between the US which should be robust and a stagnating Europe. This leads us to adopt a more cautious approach on companies in our sector (revision to our 2025 growth estimates for 12 companies) and to prefe...

Nicolas David ... (+2)
  • Nicolas David
  • Nicolas Thorez

ODDO : La recovery du secteur sera plus lente qu’attendu au S2 2024 et...

La reprise de la croissance du secteur IT & Engineering Services est mise à mal par un contexte macro toujours mitigé et par les déboires des secteurs Auto et Aéro. Ainsi, l’amélioration de la dynamique du secteur sera minimale au S2 2024 et probablement aussi au S1 2025, avec une décorrélation grandissante entre les US qui devraient être solides et une Europe stagnante. Ceci nous amène à adopter une approche plus prudente pour les sociétés de notre secteur (révision de croissanc...

Baptiste Salaville ... (+3)
  • Baptiste Salaville
  • Charlotte Vaisse
  • Fehmi Ben Naamane

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 09/23/2024

CF Alba, the March family holding company, invests in listed and unlisted companies where it identifies strong potential, regardless of the investment horizon. Since 1993, it has achieved a total annualized shareholder return of +11%, beating the EuroStoxx index by 3pp. The company currently trades at a c.50% discount to its NAV which is close to its historical maximum. We initiate coverage with an Outperform rating and a target price of € 68, representing a discount to its NAV of 35...

Baptiste Salaville ... (+3)
  • Baptiste Salaville
  • Charlotte Vaisse
  • Fehmi Ben Naamane

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 23/09/2024

CF Alba, the March family holding company, invests in listed and unlisted companies where it identifies strong potential, regardless of the investment horizon. Since 1993, it has achieved a total annualized shareholder return of +11%, beating the EuroStoxx index by 3pp. The company currently trades at a c.50% discount to its NAV which is close to its historical maximum. We initiate coverage with an Outperform rating and a target price of € 68, representing a discount to its NAV of 35...

Nicolas David
  • Nicolas David

Alten : Greater caution on the auto and aerospace sectors and lack of ...

>H1 results under control in a challenging context - The H1 2024 results published on Thursday evening and detailed on Friday morning contained few surprises after the indications already given at the Q2 sales release in July. The operating margin on activity was down -80bp, with -30bp reflecting the unfavourable calendar effect. The balance mainly reflects the -60bp y-o-y decline in the utilisation rate and (non-billable) investments made to structure the group’s int...

Nicolas David
  • Nicolas David

Alten : Davantage de prudence concernant les secteurs Auto et Aero et ...

>Résultats S1 sous contrôle dans un contexte difficile - Les résultats S1 2024 publiés jeudi soir et détaillés vendredi matin ont révélé peu de surprises après les indications déjà données lors de la publication du CA T2 en juillet dernier. La marge opérationnelle d’activité est en baisse de 80 pb, dont 30 pb liés à l’effet calendaire défavorable. Le solde est essentiellement lié à la baisse de 60 pb y/y du taux d’utilisation et aux investissements (non facturables) r...

Damien Choplain ... (+3)
  • Damien Choplain
  • Marc Lavaud
  • Oussema Denguir

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 09/20/2024

Tubacex is a solutions provider for the energy and mobility sectors through high value-added products (seamless stainless-steel tubes) and services. It has recently completed a successful transformation which should result in a much more stable results and cash flow profile going forward (EBITDA margin c.15% vs 10-year historical average of 9%) although 2024 will be a transition year ahead of the completion of the ADNOC contract and the closing of Mubadala’s transaction (acquisition o...

Nicolas David
  • Nicolas David

Alten : H1 2024 results a shade above expectations but adjusted organi...

>H1 margin and FCF a shade above expectations… - Alten reported its H1 2024 results after the close yesterday, after releasing sales figures back in July. Operating profit on activity came to € 177m, down -6% y-o-y and 2% above the consensus expectations (ODDO BHF: € 172m; consensus: € 174m). This implies an operating margin on activity of 8.4%, down -80bp y-o-y and 10bp ahead of expectations (ODDO BHF: 8.1%, consensus: 8.3%). This margin erosion is explained by a low...

Nicolas David
  • Nicolas David

Alten : Résultats S1 2024 légèrement supérieurs aux attentes mais guid...

>Marge et FCF S1 légèrement au-dessus des attentes … - Alten a publié hier après Bourse ses résultats S1 2024, après avoir déjà annoncé son CA en juillet dernier. Le ROA ressort à 177 M€, en baisse de -6% y/y et 2% supérieur aux attentes du css (ODDO BHF : 172 M€ ; css : 174 M€). Cela implique une MOA de 8.4%, en baisse de -80 pb y/y et 10 pb au-dessus des attentes (ODDO BHF : 8.1% ; css : 8.3%). Cette érosion de marge s’explique par un nombre de jours ouvrés et un ta...

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