reports
- Carole Braudeau
- Carole Braudeau
- Cedric Rossi
- Clement Genelot
- Loic Morvan
On the shelves now: Consumer Weekly #61
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at how Trump's hectic trade policy impacts US consumer sentiment. Happy read
- Clement Genelot
Carrefour: further deterioration in the French franchising crisis
A week after our downgrade to Sell in view of the unsustainable nature of three unsolved French topics (price positioning, franchising crisis, lease-management), the franchising crisis has hit a new stage, with unhappy franchisees launching an initiative to bypass Carrefour for part of their procur
- Loic Morvan
Ferragamo: visibility on 2025 still poor
2024 results were in line with market expectations. Adjusted EBIT fell 56% to EUR35m, implying a further profitability erosion (-350bp to 3.3%). During yesterday's analysts' call, management stated that the 2025 consensus is achievable (for both top line and EBIT). Given the lack of visibility, we
- Cedric Rossi
adidas: Well on track to reach FY26 margin target
Yesterday's market reaction confirms that the CSS was not disappointed by the cautious margin guidance and was mindful of ADS’ traditional caution at this stage of the year. Therefore, we are leaving our FY25 estimates broadly unchanged, and similarly, we do not expect any material downward revisio
- Emira Sagaama
- Olfa Taamallah
- Thomas Zlowodzki
- Yan Derocles
SREN SWISS RE AG
ADS ADIDAS AG
GFC GECINA SA
LISN CHOCOLADEFABRIKEN LINDT & SPRUENGLI AG
BAYN BAYER AG
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
EVK EVONIK INDUSTRIES AG
INW INFRASTRUTTURE WIRELESS ITALIANE S.P.A.
INX IMCD N.V.
VACN VAT GROUP AG
ABI ANHEUSER-BUSCH INBEV SA/NV
NEOEN NEOEN S.A.
CPR DAVIDE CAMPARI-MILANO N.V.
AM DASSAULT AVIATION
- Emira Sagaama
- Olfa Taamallah
- Thomas Zlowodzki
- Yan Derocles
SREN SWISS RE AG
ADS ADIDAS AG
GFC GECINA SA
LISN CHOCOLADEFABRIKEN LINDT & SPRUENGLI AG
BAYN BAYER AG
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
EVK EVONIK INDUSTRIES AG
INW INFRASTRUTTURE WIRELESS ITALIANE S.P.A.
INX IMCD N.V.
VACN VAT GROUP AG
ABI ANHEUSER-BUSCH INBEV SA/NV
NEOEN NEOEN S.A.
CPR DAVIDE CAMPARI-MILANO N.V.
AM DASSAULT AVIATION
- Andreas Riemann
- Arancha Pineiro
ADIDAS AG: RDOS. 2024 (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
Rdos. 4T'24 vs 4T'23: Ventas: 5.965 M euros (+24,0% vs +10,5% BS(e) y +11,3% consenso); EBIT: 57,0 M euros (-377,0 M euros en 2023 vs -105,0 M euros BS(e) y -60,0 M euros consenso). Rdos. 2024 vs 2023: Ventas: 23.683 M euros (+10,5% vs +7,5% BS(e) y +7,7% consenso); EBIT: 1.337 M euros (+398,9% vs +338,4% BS(e) y +355,2% consenso).
- Cedric Rossi
adidas: we are not worried by ADS' prudent margin outlook for 2025
Definitive 2024 results released this morning are in line with the stronger-than-expected numbers pre-released on 22nd January. As a reminder, Q4 sales showed a 12% beat, while EBIT came in at EUR57m versus the CSSe at -EUR62m. All eyes are now on the FY25 outlook: we are not surprised by the relat
- Cedric Rossi
Fielmann: unlocking margin potential
The stronger-than-expected margin delivery in FY24 unveiled yesterday has two positive outcomes: 1/ Fielmann USA demonstrated its capacity to improve profitability while maintaining a strong operating performance (+11% LFL) and 2/ it lends greater credibility to its reiterated FY25 aEBITDA margin t
- Research Department
INFORME DIARIO 05 MARZO + RDOS. EUROPA 4T’24. PREVIEWS (ANÁLISIS BANCO...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: INDITEX, NATURGY, OHLA, REPSOL. EUROPA: ADIDAS, BAYER. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 4T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. La segunda guerra comercial de Trump se pone en marcha Jornada de aversión al riesgo en las bolsas mundiales y, sobre todo, europeas después ...
- Cedric Rossi
- Clement Genelot
- Loic Morvan
On the shelves now: Consumer Weekly #60
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at the relative catch-up by European stocks. Happy reading!
- Bruno Cavalier
- Emmanuel Matot
- Louis Boujard
- CFA
- Marc Lavaud
- Roy Külter
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
LI KLEPIERRE SA
COV COVIVIO SA
EO FAURECIA SA
GFC GECINA SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
MERY MERCIALYS SA
ITP INTERPARFUMS
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
INTO INTERVEST OFFICES & WAREHOUSES SA
BLND BRITISH LAND COMPANY PLC
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
KER KERING SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
ACX ACERINOX SA
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
G24 SCOUT24 AG
DEQ DEUTSCHE EUROSHOP AG
ICAD ICADE SA
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
FAE FAES FARMA S.A.
BYG BIG YELLOW GROUP PLC
COFB COFINIMMO SA
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
VLK VAN LANSCHOT KEMPEN NV CERT. OF SHS
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
VASTB VASTNED RETAIL BELGIUM NV
LPP LPP S.A.
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
UBS UBM DEVELOPMENT AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
CARM CARMILA SAS
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
MONC MONCLER SPA
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
SAFE SAFESTORE HOLDINGS PLC
ARG ARGAN SA
VGP VGP NV
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
FLU FLUGHAFEN WIEN AG
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
TLGO TALGO SA
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
TRE TECNICAS REUNIDAS SA
IBG IBERPAPEL GESTION S.A.
PSG PROSEGUR COMPANIA DE SEGURIDAD SA
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
IMP IMPACT DEVELOPER & CONTRACTOR S.A.
LAND LAND SECURITIES GROUP PLC
MVC METROVACESA SA
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
THEP THERMADOR HOLDING SA
ZEL PHARMA MAR SA
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
CTPNV CTP NV
ONE ONE UNITED PROPERTIES SA
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
EXENS EXOSENS
CO CASINO GUICHARD-PERRACHON
LANV PRIMAVERA CAP ACQUISITION CORP
- Bruno Cavalier
- Emmanuel Matot
- Louis Boujard
- CFA
- Marc Lavaud
- Steven Boumans
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
LI KLEPIERRE SA
COV COVIVIO SA
EO FAURECIA SA
GFC GECINA SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
MERY MERCIALYS SA
ITP INTERPARFUMS
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
BLND BRITISH LAND COMPANY PLC
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
KER KERING SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
ACX ACERINOX SA
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
G24 SCOUT24 AG
ICAD ICADE SA
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
FAE FAES FARMA S.A.
BYG BIG YELLOW GROUP PLC
COFB COFINIMMO SA
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
VLK VAN LANSCHOT KEMPEN NV CERT. OF SHS
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
VASTB VASTNED RETAIL BELGIUM NV
LPP LPP S.A.
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
UBS UBM DEVELOPMENT AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
CARM CARMILA SAS
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
MONC MONCLER SPA
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
SAFE SAFESTORE HOLDINGS PLC
ARG ARGAN SA
VGP VGP NV
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
TLGO TALGO SA
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
TRE TECNICAS REUNIDAS SA
IBG IBERPAPEL GESTION S.A.
PSG PROSEGUR COMPANIA DE SEGURIDAD SA
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
IMP IMPACT DEVELOPER & CONTRACTOR S.A.
LAND LAND SECURITIES GROUP PLC
MVC METROVACESA SA
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
THEP THERMADOR HOLDING SA
ZEL PHARMA MAR SA
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
CTPNV CTP NV
ONE ONE UNITED PROPERTIES SA
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
EXENS EXOSENS
CO CASINO GUICHARD-PERRACHON
LANV PRIMAVERA CAP ACQUISITION CORP
- Geoffroy Michalet
- Geoffroy Michalet
- Clement Genelot
Casino: covenants still look unsustainable from late 2026
Post-FY 2024, we have cut our FY 2025-27e sales / EBITDA / FCF by 2% / 12% / >6% respectively to reflect a softer-than-expected 2024 landing. Our updated estimates still point to net debt and a gross cash covenants breach from late 2026 with the same old concern around the stock: the dilution ri
- Clement Genelot
Carrefour: No further downside? Look at the dust under the carpet
France has become a house of cards with three unaddressed topics that the market forgot too quickly (overstated price repositioning, unresolved franchising crisis and deteriorating lease-management model). With such a low share price, rising shareholder anger, an ongoing strategic review, mounting
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