We are putting our coverage of the following stocks UNDER REVIEW, with immediate effect. We caution against using the forecasts, ratings and price target guidance issued previously on these stocks: Addiko Bank Alro Arion banki Bogdanka Cognor Holding DataWalk Gradus Grenevia Islandsbanki Kety TeraPlast
HEADLINES: • Greek oil refiners: working in a Margin Wonderland (HELLENiQ Energy and Motor Oil Hellas upgraded to BUY) • Hungary macro: MNB signalling more optimism • Colt CZ Group SE: conference call on S&B acquisition POSITIVE • Raiffeisen Bank International: acquires a 27.8% stake in Strabag • TeraPlast: acquires pipe manufacturer Palplast, based in Republic of Moldova POSITIVE • PCF Group: CEO maintains release date plans for Bifrost and Victoria NEUTRAL • Short News (BFT, TEN, SNG)
HEADLINES: • WOOD's Winter Wonderland EME Conference 2023: postcards from Prague • CEZ: postcard from Prague • Colt CZ Group SE: postcard from Prague • Eurowag: postcard from Prague • Pilulka Lekarny: postcard from Prague • Athens Exchange Group: postcard from Prague • Elbit Systems: postcard from Prague • Siauliu Bankas: postcard from Prague • Budimex: postcard from Prague • CD Projekt: postcard from Prague • Cyber_folks: postcard from Prague • Cyfrowy Polsat: postcard from Prague ...
EME Equity Market – October 2023 Market performance – election results prompt stellar market reaction in Poland; sell-off in Turkey. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 1.7% mom in EUR terms and 2.0% mom in USD in October. Poland staged a massive rebound, post the elections, with the WIG20 advancing 16.4% mom in EUR terms. Apart from Turkey, where October was a sell-off, with the ISE30 declining 13.7% mom in EUR terms, there were relatively muted performances everywhere else (BUX +2.1% / PX +0.4% / B...
HEADLINES: • Alior Bank: strong beat on headline profit as LLPs keep giving low readings POSITIVE • MONETA Money Bank: strong 3Q23 results, but medium-term outlook broadly unchanged NEUTRAL • Tupras: 3Q23 results - EBITDA better than expected • Ford Otosan: strong beat in 3Q23 financials POSITIVE • Tofas: better-than-expected results in 3Q23 POSITIVE • Shoper: 3Q23 adjusted EBITDA up 32% yoy, as expected NEUTRAL • Romgaz: 3Q23 trading update • Electrica: 3Q23 operational indicators NEUTRAL • M...
HEADLINES: • Purcari Wineries: growth uninterrupted (stays BUY) • Otokar: 3Q23 - strong beat, with accelerated deliveries and improved sales mix POSITIVE • Orange Polska: 3Q23 results - EBITDAaL up 2% yoy, in line with the consensus NEUTRAL • Kaspi.kz: 3Q23 highlights - strong quarter, with a boost from the marketplace POSITIVE • TeraPlast: 3Q23 results in line, FY23E EBITDA guidance lowered NEUTRAL • Polish banks: current government preparing draft bill on credit holiday extension into 2024E ...
HEADLINES: • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (16-22 October) • Kalekim: 3Q23 - strong set of results, but failed to meet expectations NEGATIVE • Arcelik: 3Q23 results - in line NEUTRAL • Enea: sees PLN 264m maximum impact from cut in retail tariff NEUTRAL • Banca Transilvania: ICCJ rejects revision of Volksbank case • TeraPlast: 3Q23E earnings preview (due out tomorrow) • Ford Otosan: 3Q23E earnings preview (due on 25 October) • Tofas: 3Q23E earnings preview (due on 25 October) • Tupra...
EME Equity Market – August 2023 Market performance – Turkey the top performer in August, once again. The MSCI EM Europe Index lost 0.7% mom in EUR terms and 2.2% mom in USD in August. Turkey, yet again, outperformed its peers, with the ISE30 gaining 9.4% mom in EUR terms. The Hungarian BUX index saw a solid performance in August, adding 6.1% mom in EUR terms, while the Romanian BET had a lacklustre month, barely making any gains (0.1% mom in EUR terms). Elsewhere, the index performances were neg...
EME Equity Market – July 2023 Market performance – gains keep on rolling in all geographies, with special mention of Turkey’s stellar performance. The MSCI EM Europe Index gained 8.6% mom in EUR terms and 9.5% mom in USD in July. Turkey clearly outperformed its peers, gaining 18.6% mom in EUR terms. Most other geographies performed more or less at similar levels, with the Polish WIG20 in the upper part of the range, advancing 7.3% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Romanian BET and Czech PX indic...
HEADLINES: • Yapi Kredi: 2Q23 highlights - lacklustre on most core lines • Kaspi.kz: 2Q23 highlights before the call - guidance upgrade and classified acquisition • TeraPlast: weak sales performance in 2Q23, company expects recovery in 2H23E NEGATIVE • PKO BP: PFSA not allowing dividend payment from the 2022 net profit NEUTRAL • Ford Otosan: production suspension due to annual holiday NEUTRAL • Verbund: 2Q23E results preview (due on 27 July) • Telecom Egypt: 2Q23E results preview (due in mid-...
HEADLINES: • Arcelik: 2Q23 results - in line operationally, but bottom line misses expectations NEUTRAL • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (17-23 July) • Kruk: buys another portfolio in Spain POSITIVE • Cyfrowy Polsat: acquires naEKRANIE.pl website and 4FUN channels NEUTRAL • TeraPlast: 2Q23E earnings preview (due out tomorrow) • Tofas: 2Q23E earnings preview (due on 26 July) NEUTRAL • Ford Otosan: 2Q23E earnings preview (due on 27 July) NEUTRAL • Migros: 2Q23E earnings preview (due on 2 A...
EME Equity Market – April 2023 Market performance – in the black across all geographies, except for Turkey. The MSCI EM Europe Index gained 3.4% mom in EUR terms and 4.9% mom in USD in April. The Polish WIG20 Index saw the biggest gains (+11.5% mom in EUR terms), followed by the Hungarian BUX Index (+7.8% mom in EUR terms) and the Greek ASE Index (+2.9% mom in EUR terms). More muted performances were witnessed in the Czech PX Index and Romanian BET Index, both adding 1.7% mom in EUR terms for th...
HEADLINES: • Bank Pekao: 1Q23 results beat expectations by 12%, solidifying our positive view on the stock POSITIVE • MONETA Money Bank: solid beat vs. 1Q23 forecasts, bodes well for FY guidance POSITIVE • Kruk: posts solid 1Q23 results, implying management is betting even more on Italy and Spain NEUTRAL • LPP: 4Q22 below expectations on weaker sales; decent start to the year, bullish guidance for FY23E POSITIVE • Shoper: 1Q23 results broadly in line with our and the market's expectations NEUTRA...
HEADLINES: • Alior Bank: reports beat in 1Q23 delivery and trading cheap POSITIVE • Orange Polska: 1Q23 results - EBITDAaL up 6% yoy, 2% above the consensus POSITIVE • TeraPlast: weaker-than-expected sales and net losses in 1Q23 NEGATIVE • Romgaz: 1Q23 key operational results NEGATIVE • Hungary macro: MNB kickstarts the easing cycle • Richter: AGM rejects higher dividend proposal NEUTRAL • OTP Bank: changes to the windfall tax for Hungarian banks favourable on the margin • Ford Otosan: 1Q23E e...
HEADLINES: • Al Arabia Outdoor Advertising: Saudi Arabia's outdoor advertising champion • Ten Square Games: MB reshuffle, 2Q23 provisioning for collective redundancies of PLN 5.3m NEUTRAL • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one - 17-23 April • TeraPlast: 1Q23E earnings preview (due out tomorrow) • Short News (RO Utilities)
EME Equity Market – February 2023 Market performance – Greece and Czechia continue with good momentum; Turkey resumes rally. The MSCI EM Europe Index gained 4.9% mom in EUR terms and 2.4% mom in USD in February. The Greek ASE and the Czech PX were, again, the best performers, adding 10.4% mom and 7.6% mom in EUR terms, respectively; while the rally resumed in Turkey, with the ISE 30 index gaining 7.3% mom in EUR terms. There was a somewhat muted performance in Hungary and Romania, with the BUX a...
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