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Nadège Tillier
  • Nadège Tillier

Redeia/Gloomy 2024 but hope for improved regulation

Redeia's[de] 2024 results were negatively impacted by the end of the remuneration of its pre-1998 built assets. The sale of Hispasat resulted in an accounting loss that added to the gloomy 2024 results. This being said, the group's credit metrics remained relatively strong. The discussions and actions taken during 2024 regarding regulation brings hope to a better remuneration for Redeia from 2026 onward. Before that, the company will benefit from some regulatory refunds and subsidies. We revise ...

Baptiste Salaville ... (+4)
  • Baptiste Salaville
  • Bruno Cavalier
  • Maissa Keskes
  • Stephane Houri
CON CONTINENTAL AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
BMW BAYERISCHE MOTOREN WERKE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
RNO RENAULT SA
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
LI KLEPIERRE SA
COV COVIVIO SA
EO FAURECIA SA
GFC GECINA SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
DAI DAIMLER AG
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
POM PLASTIC OMNIUM SE
MERY MERCIALYS SA
NOKIA NOKIA OYJ
TYRES NOKIAN RENKAAT OYJ
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
BLND BRITISH LAND COMPANY PLC
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
KER KERING SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
REE RED ELECTRICA CORP. SA
FR VALEO SE
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
RWE RWE AG
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
ICAD ICADE SA
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
COFB COFINIMMO SA
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
VASTB VASTNED RETAIL BELGIUM NV
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
CIE CIE AUTOMOTIVE S.A.
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
CARM CARMILA SAS
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
MONC MONCLER SPA
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
SKF B SKF AB CLASS B
ARG ARGAN SA
CABK CAIXABANK SA
IBE IBERDROLA SA
VGP VGP NV
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
LRE LAR ESPANA REAL ESTATE SOCIMI SA
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
RACE FERRARI NV
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
PIRC PIRELLI & C. S.P.A.
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
BBVA BANCO BILBAO VIZCAYA ARGENTARIA S.A.
LAND LAND SECURITIES GROUP PLC
MVC METROVACESA SA
DWS DWS GROUP GMBH & CO. KGAA
GEST GESTAMP AUTOMOCION S.A.
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
AML ASTON MARTIN LAGONDA GLOBAL HOLDINGS
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
CTPNV CTP NV
ML COMPAGNIE GENERALE DES ETABLISSEMENTS MICHELIN
P911 DR. ING. H.C. F. PORSCHE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
ALIV SDB AUTOLIV INC.
BRE BREMBO S.P.A.
Baptiste Salaville ... (+4)
  • Baptiste Salaville
  • Bruno Cavalier
  • Maissa Keskes
  • Stephane Houri
CON CONTINENTAL AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
BMW BAYERISCHE MOTOREN WERKE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
RNO RENAULT SA
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
LI KLEPIERRE SA
COV COVIVIO SA
EO FAURECIA SA
GFC GECINA SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
DAI DAIMLER AG
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
POM PLASTIC OMNIUM SE
MERY MERCIALYS SA
NOKIA NOKIA OYJ
TYRES NOKIAN RENKAAT OYJ
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
BLND BRITISH LAND COMPANY PLC
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
KER KERING SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
REE RED ELECTRICA CORP. SA
FR VALEO SE
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
RWE RWE AG
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
ICAD ICADE SA
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
COFB COFINIMMO SA
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
VASTB VASTNED RETAIL BELGIUM NV
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
CIE CIE AUTOMOTIVE S.A.
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
CARM CARMILA SAS
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
MONC MONCLER SPA
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
SKF B SKF AB CLASS B
ARG ARGAN SA
CABK CAIXABANK SA
IBE IBERDROLA SA
VGP VGP NV
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
LRE LAR ESPANA REAL ESTATE SOCIMI SA
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
RACE FERRARI NV
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
PIRC PIRELLI & C. S.P.A.
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
BBVA BANCO BILBAO VIZCAYA ARGENTARIA S.A.
LAND LAND SECURITIES GROUP PLC
MVC METROVACESA SA
DWS DWS GROUP GMBH & CO. KGAA
GEST GESTAMP AUTOMOCION S.A.
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
AML ASTON MARTIN LAGONDA GLOBAL HOLDINGS
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
CTPNV CTP NV
ML COMPAGNIE GENERALE DES ETABLISSEMENTS MICHELIN
P911 DR. ING. H.C. F. PORSCHE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
ALIV SDB AUTOLIV INC.
BRE BREMBO S.P.A.
Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 24 JANUARY + 4Q’24 RESULTS. PREVIEWS (ANÁLISIS BANCO SAB...

NEWS SUMMARY: INDRA, REDEIA, TALGO. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 4Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. The earnings season kicked off in the Ibex It was a session of moderate gains for European stock markets, with the Ibex leading gains and trading near 12,000 points again, fuelled by banks and despite the poor start to the earnings sea...

Konrad Zomer ... (+2)
  • Konrad Zomer
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 30/10/2024

Le scrutin présidentiel US reste incertain, mais le momentum semble être du côté de Donald Trump depuis début octobre : le candidat est désormais en tête dans 6 des 7 swing states, vient de dépasser Kamala Harris dans le vote national et est donné gagnant à 63% chez les parieurs. Nous rappelons les valeurs européennes à privilégier ou à éviter en cas de victoire de Donald Trump, et avons également listé les valeurs européennes ayant une base de production aux US, par nature moins expo...

Konrad Zomer ... (+2)
  • Konrad Zomer
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 10/30/2024

The outcome of the US presidential election hangs in the balance, but the momentum seems to be with Donald Trump since the beginning of October: the candidate is now in the lead in six of the seven swing states, has just overtaken Kamala Harris in the national vote while 63% of punters are tipping him to win. We recap in the present note on the European stocks to play or avoid in the event of Donald Trump's victory and have also listed European stocks with a production base in the US,...

Luis de Toledo Heras
  • Luis de Toledo Heras

Redeia : 9M 2024 results in line with estimates, regulatory milestones...

>Results broadly in line with estimates. Growth excluding regulatory effects - Results were in line with our estimates (-0.6% at EBITDA, -2% vs consensus) marked by the end of the regulatory useful life of the pre-1998 assets with an estimated impact of € 260m in 2024 (€ 187m impact in 9M 2024). Excluding this effect, revenues grew by +1.9%. Domestic electricity transmission accounted for 76% of revenues and 71% of EBITDA in 9M 2024 with sales and EBITDA declining by,...

Nicolas David
  • Nicolas David

ODDO : Iberian Forum – Day 2

We hosted our 4th ODDO BHF Iberian Forum on the 1st and 2nd of October 2024, virtually. In total, 63 companies were present. In the following note, we provide some initial feedback from the companies on day 2. - >ACS (=): good operating momentum maintained, Abertis and its dividends on the front page - Atresmedia (=): Q3 should be challenging but outlook reiterated - Befesa (=): zinc prices held up well, offsetting the negative impact of maintenance on Q3 volumes - CaixaBank ...

Luis de Toledo Heras
  • Luis de Toledo Heras

Redeia : H1 24 results in line with estimates, investment acceleration...

>H1 results aligned with FY 24 guidance - Decent set of results, slightly above our estimates (+2% in Q2 24 EBITDA), which reflect the end of the regulatory life of pre-1998 assets (with an estimated annual impact in revenues of € 260m: H1 24 Sales decline by -11.5%) and well positioned to meet the group’s annual guidance (EBITDA H1 24 of € 681m, -13.7% y-o-y, vs FY 24 guidance of > € 1.3bn and net profit H1 24e of € 269m, -24% y-o-y, vs FY 24 guidance). As we expecte...

Luis de Toledo Heras
  • Luis de Toledo Heras

Redeia : Well aligned to meet annual targets, regulatory newsflow expe...

>Results in line with estimates, adequate progress towards FY guidance - Results in line with our estimates marked by the loss of pre-1998 regulated assets (end of the useful remunerative life of the pre-98 assets with a FY impact estimated at € 260m in 2024) as widely anticipated. Domestic electricity infrastructure accounted for 76% of total revenues and 70% of total EBITDA recording a decline of 16% and 22% compared to last year levels in each category, fully expla...

Luis de Toledo Heras
  • Luis de Toledo Heras

Redeia : Regulatory impact kicking in

>Regulatory impact drives results decline - Redeia will release Q1 2024 results on 30 April. Results are marked by the loss of pre-1998 regulated assets (estimated annual impact of € 260m in 2024: € 307m remuneration impact, partially offset by € 47m revenues from the start of extension of useful life of those assets) as widely anticipated by the company and consensus estimates. As a result, domestic electricity infrastructure is expected to reduce its contribution to...

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