EME Equity Market – March 2024 Market performance – mixed performances in March, with the Romanian BET outperforming. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 0.3% mom in EUR terms and 0.4% mom in USD in March. The Romanian BET reported the strongest performance, adding 7.1% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Czech PX and the Polish WIG20 (+4.1% and 1.0% mom, in EUR terms, respectively). Greece saw a relatively muted performance (-0.2% mom in EUR terms), while Hungary (-1.1% mom in EUR terms) and Tür...
HEADLINES: • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (18-24 March) • Richter: proposes dividend of HUF 423/share POSITIVE • Romgaz: makes two dividend proposals NEGATIVE • TBC Bank: notes from the Uzbekistan webinar POSITIVE • Banca Transilvania: AGM convocation NEUTRAL • Short News (HUG)
HEADLINES: • PKO BP: posts solid 4Q23/2023 results NEUTRAL • Poland macro: NBP on hold, with a cautious bias • CTP: 4Q23 – yet another quarter with a strong, positive revaluation gain POSITIVE • Jeronimo Martins: 4Q23 in line with expectations; FY24E guidance for possibly deeper margins erosion NEGATIVE • Electrica: rather disappointing 2024E budget NEGATIVE • Electrica: proposes RON 0.1178 DPS and looking to issue green bonds NEUTRAL • PGE: weaker qoq EBITDA in 4Q23, but expected NEUTRAL • Data...
EME Equity Market – February 2024 Market performance – a positive February, with the Polish WIG20 outperforming. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 4.2% mom in EUR terms and 3.7% mom in USD in February. The Polish WIG20 saw the strongest performance, adding 6.4% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Greek ASE (+4.2% mom), the Turkish ISE30 (+4.0% mom) and the Romanian BET (+2.6% mom) (all in EUR terms). There was a relatively muted performance in Hungary (+0.6% mom in EUR terms) and a decline in the Cze...
HEADLINES: • Patria Bank: strong bottom-line beat, but lacking quality • Turkey macro: 4Q GDP expands by 4% • 4iG: 4Q23 results review – solid results, with 19% yoy pro-forma EBITDA growth NEUTRAL • AUGA Group: 4Q23 – positive gross profit in all segments, but liquidity risk on the horizon • HELLENiQ Energy: 4Q23 results – dividend proposal NEUTRAL • Sphera Group: 4Q23 above our expectations POSITIVE • AmRest: key takeaways from the 4Q23 call POSITIVE • Richter: takeaways from the 4Q23 earnings ...
HEADLINES: • Polish Auto Parts Distribution: sound recurrent growth prospects (Auto Partner downgraded to HOLD; Inter Cars stays BUY) • Kruk: 4Q23/2023 results – solid, but in line NEUTRAL • Alior Bank: books solid 2023, issues positive guidance on 2024E COR, and pays dividend one year earlier than expected POSITIVE • Romgaz: FY23 net profit 12% above profit reported with 2024E budget POSITIVE • Transelectrica: FY23 net result slightly below preliminary reported with 2024 budget NEUTRAL • KazMun...
EME Equity Market – January 2024 Market performance – Turkey off to the races in January. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 4.2% mom in EUR terms and 2.2% mom in USD in the first month of the year. There was a V-shape recovery in the Turkish ISE30, with the index adding 12.6% mom in EUR terms. The Greek ASE and Hungarian BUX indices also reported strong performances, adding 5.7% and 5.3% mom, respectively, in EUR terms. The Czech PX Index advanced by 2.2% mom, while the Romanian BET 0.9% mom in EUR...
HEADLINES: • Al Arabia Outdoor Advertising: exclusivity in a growing market (stays BUY) • Santander Bank Polska: publishes neutral 4Q23 results, supporting continuation of high ROEs, in line with expectations NEUTRAL • Raiffeisen Bank International: posts preliminary 4Q23 results, guides for 2023 EUR 1.25 DPS and shares initial 2024E guidance NEUTRAL • Romgaz: preliminary figures in line with estimates, conservative 2024E budget NEUTRAL • ADNOC Distribution: full-year 2023 operational results...
HEADLINES: • Bank Millennium: solid 4Q23; how quickly FX mortgage saga costs can drop is key for the future NEUTRAL • Garanti Bank: 4Q23 results and 2024E guidance – flat 2024E margin, despite headwinds • Romgaz: 4Q23 trading update NEUTRAL • Richter: takes 9.08% stake in Formycon via capital increase NEUTRAL • Short News (AQ)
HEADLINES: • Cimsa: announces the completion of the 10.1% SBS shares transfer POSITIVE • InPost: PPF executes only part of the option, at this stage NEUTRAL • Inter Cars: 2024E revenue growth target at 13-15% yoy NEUTRAL • Inter Cars: November sales growth decelerated to a limited 10% yoy NEGATIVE • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (4-10 December) • Hidroelectrica: signs agreement to acquire assets and personnel from manufacturer of hydro equipment NEUTRAL • WOOD's Winter Wonderland EME Con...
EME Equity Market – November 2023 Market performance – Greeks in the lead, in a month with only green across the region. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 5.6% mom in EUR terms and 8.7% mom in USD in November. The Greek ASE Index was the top performer in our region (+6.9% mom), followed by the Polish WIG20 (+5.5% mom) and the Hungarian BUX (+4.0% mom). The Czech PX Index saw the most muted performance, advancing 2.8% mom.
HEADLINES: • GTC: 3Q23 - decides not to pursue Ultima deal POSITIVE • Dom Development: 3Q23 in line, management concerns about the sustainability of subsidised mortgages NEUTRAL • Inter Cars: 3Q23 results broadly in line with expectations NEUTRAL • NEPI Rockcastle: 9M23 trading update sees continued growth in footfall and average spend per visit POSITIVE • ONE United Properties: 3Q23 - staying the course, covering ground • Romgaz: 3Q23 conference call takeaways • Patria Bank: 3Q23 results - we...
Romgaz reported its 3Q23 results on 15 November. As expected, the EBITDA was up 57% yoy, with the sale of gas at regulated prices being more profitable due to lower taxation, while the net profit was down 6% yoy, as the company booked RON 417m in solidarity tax and there was no solidarity tax booked in 3Q22. The reported EBITDA was RON 1.1bn, 9% below our numbers, on a combination of slightly lower revenues and higher costs.
HEADLINES: • Aegean Airlines: 3Q23 on track for best year ever, 3Q beat on better cost control POSITIVE • AmRest: 3% EBITDA beat in 3Q23 on improving margins POSITIVE • Bank of Georgia: 3Q23 highlights, before the call - good quarter • Hidroelectrica: 3Q23 net profit of RON 1.2bn, 30% higher yoy and 6% above our estimate POSITIVE • Purcari Wineries: 3Q23 net profit 27% higher than our estimate, on higher other income • Conpet: 3Q23 net profit rebounds qoq and stands 9% higher yoy POSITIVE • Tr...
HEADLINES: • Wizz Air: go big, or go home (stays BUY) • Isbank: 3Q23 - NIM and earnings quality weaker than its peers • Solutions by STC: key takeaways from the 3Q23 conference call NEUTRAL • BRD-GSG: 9M23 results conference call takeaways NEUTRAL • Poland macro: President Duda gives Morawiecki first mandate • OMV: forms geothermal JV with Wien Energie • Hidroelectrica: Supervisory Board appoints new management NEUTRAL • Banca Transilvania: might be in pole position for OTP Romania acquisi...
EME Equity Market – October 2023 Market performance – election results prompt stellar market reaction in Poland; sell-off in Turkey. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 1.7% mom in EUR terms and 2.0% mom in USD in October. Poland staged a massive rebound, post the elections, with the WIG20 advancing 16.4% mom in EUR terms. Apart from Turkey, where October was a sell-off, with the ISE30 declining 13.7% mom in EUR terms, there were relatively muted performances everywhere else (BUX +2.1% / PX +0.4% / B...
HEADLINES: • Erste Bank: posts solid 3Q23 - beat on higher and strong quality mix of revenues POSITIVE • Budimex: strong 3Q23 results, EBIT 13% above our forecast, despite negative one-offs POSITIVE • Asseco Poland: 3Q23 preliminary net profit of PLN 112m, 3% above the consensus POSITIVE • Romania macro: fiscal package law published and now in force • OMV Petrom/Romgaz: Government raises royalties; change to affect new & renewed concession agreements NEUTRAL • Borouge: 3Q23 results - EBITDA be...
HEADLINES: • Bank of Cyprus: tightening triumph (BUY - transfer of coverage) • Bank Millennium: solid capital ratio progress and manages to book some headline net profit in 3Q23 NEUTRAL • Akbank: 3Q23 highlights - revenue strength POSITIVE • Turkey macro: CBT heading towards ex-ante positive real rate • Shoper: earnings call takeaways - headcount to rise 9% qoq in 4Q23E NEUTRAL • Romania macro: President promulgates draft law on fiscal package NEUTRAL • Colt CZ Group SE: acquires minority sta...
HEADLINES: • Alior Bank: strong beat on headline profit as LLPs keep giving low readings POSITIVE • MONETA Money Bank: strong 3Q23 results, but medium-term outlook broadly unchanged NEUTRAL • Tupras: 3Q23 results - EBITDA better than expected • Ford Otosan: strong beat in 3Q23 financials POSITIVE • Tofas: better-than-expected results in 3Q23 POSITIVE • Shoper: 3Q23 adjusted EBITDA up 32% yoy, as expected NEUTRAL • Romgaz: 3Q23 trading update • Electrica: 3Q23 operational indicators NEUTRAL • M...
HEADLINES: • Aselsan: issues compliance policy on controversial weapons POSITIVE • Enea: signs preliminary agreement with State Treasury on Bogdanka sale NEUTRAL • LPP: changes in the management board NEUTRAL • ADNOC Drilling: announces interim dividend • OMV Petrom/Romgaz: proposal introduced in Parliament by right-wing party to triple royalties level NEUTRAL • DIGI Communications: update on FTTH rollout in Spain NEUTRAL • Jeronimo Martins: 3Q23E results preview - 15% yoy EBITDA growth expecte...
Unfortunately, this report is not available for the investor type or country you selected.
Report is subscription only.
Thank you, your report is ready.
Thank you, your report is ready.