HEADLINES: • PZU: solid 1Q25 results, ahead of the market's expectations; some upside risk for2025E EPS forecasts POSITIVE • CEZ: 1Q25 beat on distribution and sales segments, disposal of Polish assets POSITIVE • Eurocash: 1Q25 – weak, as expected NEGATIVE • Warsaw Stock Exchange: strong 1Q25, with a significant net income beat POSITIVE • Sphera Group: 1Q25 softer than expected; FY25E budget below our forecasts NEGATIVE • Banca Transilvania: bottom-line miss, due mainly to asset quality deterior...
HEADLINES: • Magyar Telekom: 1Q25 results review – EBITDA +24% yoy, 4% above the consensus; solid 2025E guidance reiterated POSITIVE • Ignitis Group: 1Q25 adjusted EBITDA 20% above our expectations, driven by strong Green Capacities POSITIVE • Graphisoft Park: 1Q25 – recurring income higher yoy, and a small revaluation loss • Aquila Part Prod Com S.A.: strong 1Q25 gross profit margin sustainable in FY25E POSITIVE • InPost: 1Q25 in line with expectations; FY25E EBITDA guidance maintained; soft do...
The recent announcement of the application of trade tariffs by the Trump administration led to a sharp correction in oil prices amidst fears of an economic slowdown as a result of a full-blown trade war. We are adopting a more cautious scenario, with oil prices now expected to reach $ 67/b for 2025, $ 65/b for 2026 and $ 67/b in the longer term. Our 2025-2030 capex scenario has been lowered by 5% and our EPS expectations by 13% on average over 2025-2027, whilst our target prices have been lowere...
La récente annonce de mise en place de droits de douanes par l’administration Trump a entraîné une vive correction des cours du pétrole sur fond de crainte de ralentissement économique à la suite d’une véritable guerre commerciale. Nous adoptons un scenario plus prudent avec un baril désormais attendu respectivement à 67 $ sur2025, 65 $ 2026 et 67 $ sur le LT. Notre scénario de Capex 2025/30 a été abaissé de 5% et nos attentes de BPA de 13% en moyenne sur 2025/27 et nos OC de 10%. Nous privilégi...
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