>Facts, outlook and perception - Facts: we now have a complete picture of Q1 top line trends. The perfect symmetry in trends, between the two heavyweights dominating soft luxury on the one hand (LVMH Fashion & Leather) and hard luxury on the other (Richemont Jewellery Maisons), was once again confirmed with Jewellery Maisons growing as anticipated +3% y-o-y at cc close to the +2% growth reported for F&L. The symmetry goes a long way: growth versus 2019 ended up at 113...
>Facts, outlook and perception - Facts: we now have a complete picture of Q1 top line trends. The perfect symmetry in trends, between the two heavyweights dominating soft luxury on the one hand (LVMH Fashion & Leather) and hard luxury on the other (Richemont Jewellery Maisons), was once again confirmed with Jewellery Maisons growing as anticipated +3% y-o-y at cc close to the +2% growth reported for F&L. The symmetry goes a long way: growth versus 2019 ended up at 113...
Growth momentum remains solid, and the publication of Q1 sales bodes well for the future (12.5% organic growth, including 27% for Aerospace). Margins are set to pick up in 2024 (by an estimated 110bp), with the underlying operating profit expected to jump 33%. With good visibility for Aerospace, medium-term potential for Automotive and profitable growth for Medical, we estimate the potential for margin improvement at no less than 500bp in the medium term. We are raising our underlying...
La dynamique de croissance reste solide et la publication du CA T1 est de bon augure (croissance organique de 12.5% dont 27% pour l’Aerospace). 2024 devrait voir un redressement des marges (+110 pb estimés) pour un ROC attendu en hausse de 33%. A l’appui d’une bonne visibilité pour l’aéronautique, d’un potentiel MT pour l’automobile et d’une croissance profitable pour le Médical, nous estimons le potentiel d’amélioration des marges à au moins 500 pb à MT. Nous relevons nos estimations...
>Outperform rating and € 21 target price maintained - Following the results publication and the conference call, we reiterate our Outperform recommendation on the stock (target price € 21). We lowered our 2024-2026 EBITDA estimates (by -3% on average, bigger impact in 2024 given the situation in North America). Despite a YTD gain of 18%, Vallourec still shows a discount of 40% (in terms of EV/EBITDA 2025) vs its main peer Tenaris. Vallourec is deleveraging more r...
>Opinion Surperformance et OC 21 € maintenus - Post publication et conférence téléphonique, nous réitérons notre recommandation Surperformance (OC 21 €). Nous avons ajusté nos attentes d’EBITDA 2024/26 à la baisse (-3% en moyenne, impact plus important sur 2024 compte tenu de la situation en Amérique du Nord). Vallourec, malgré une performance YTD de 18%, affiche toujours une décote de 40% (en VE/EBITDA 2025) vs son principal comparable Tenaris. Vallourec se dése...
Kering: Monthly statement on the total number of shares and voting rights (May 2024) KeringSociété anonyme with a share capital of €493,683,112Head office: 40, rue de Sèvres – 75007 PARIS552 075 020 RCS PARIS May 16, 2024 Monthly statementon the total number of shares and voting rights(articles L.233-8 of the French Commercial Code and 223-16 of the General Regulation of the French Financial Markets Authority (AMF – Autorité des Marchés Financiers) Date Total number ofshares Total number of voting rightstheoretical 1exercisable 2May 15, 2024123,420,778176,619,961175,786,094 1 Calculate...
Kering : Publication mensuelle du nombre d'actions composant le capital et du nombre total de droits de vote (Mai 2024) KeringSociété anonyme au capital de 493 683 112 €Siège social : 40, rue de Sèvres – 75007 PARIS552 075 020 RCS PARIS Le 16 mai 2024 Publication mensuelledu nombre d’actions composant le capital et du nombre total de droits de vote(articles L. 233-8 du code de commerce et 223-16 du règlement général de l’AMF) Date d’arrêt desInformations Nombre total d’actionscomposant le capital Nombre total de droits de votethéoriques 1exerçables 2 15/05/2024 123 420 778 176...
We have tactically downgraded the energy sector from Overweight to Neutral (excl. oil services on which we are maintaining our Overweight rating) and dropped Shell Plc from our Large Caps list. The IEA report has accelerated the downswing for the energy sector, which could continue in the days ahead. June will be a better month to come back to the sector. - ...
Altice designates certain subsidiaries as unrestricted (Bloomberg)Elior: good H1 23/24 results and confidence in targetsMoody's upgrades Monte's ratings by one notch to Ba2 senior and Ba3 Tier 2Avolta (ex-Dufry): solid first quarter, guidance confirmedMaxeda: after a difficult FY 2023 (leverage above 5x), the group is counting on its free cash flow generation in 2024 to deleverage before refinancing next year.>...
Maxeda : après une année 2023 difficile (levier au-dessus de 5x), le groupe mise sur sa génération de free cash-flow en 2024 pour se désendetter avant son refinancement l’an prochainAltice désigne certaines filiales comme non restreintes (Bloomberg)Moody’s réhausse d’un cran les notes de Monte, à Ba2 en senior et à Ba3 en Tier 2Elior : bonne publication au S1 23/24 et confiance sur les objectifs fixésAvolta (ex-Dufry) : Très bon trimestre, guidances confirmées...
Nous dégradons tactiquement à Neutre le secteur de l’énergie (hors Services Pétroliers sur lesquels nous conservons une opinion Surperformance) et faisons sortir Shell plc de notre liste Large Caps. Le rapport AIE a accéléré la baisse du secteur énergie, qui pourrait se poursuivre dans les jours qui viennent. Juin sera un meilleur mois pour revenir sur le secteur. - ...
>FY 2024e outlook confirmed - Branicks today reported soft Q1 2024 figures that were broadly in line with our estimates, significantly impacted by a dried-up transaction market and increased interest rate costs. Management confirmed its FY 2024e FFO guidance of € 40-55m.Q1 2024 net rental income declined by -12.5% y-o-y to € 38.5m, close to our estimate of € 38.9m. Fees from real estate management of € 9.7m declined by -7.3% y-o-y, negatively influenced by the dr...
>EBITDA in line and debt reduction ahead of expectations - EBITDA at € 235m, -16% q-o-q and +27% y-o-y, in line with our forecasts at € 237m (consensus € 240m).Tubes EBITDA of € 220m, down 12% q-o-q and 21% y-o-y due to price reductions in the US and lower volumes, largely driven by the closure in GermanyMine and forests EBITDA of € 30m, - 29% q-o-q and 37% y-o-y as a result of lower sales volumes and a reduction in the non-cash effects for the revaluation o...
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