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SKF AB: 1 director

A director at SKF AB bought 10,000 shares at 207.100SEK and the significance rating of the trade was 69/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly showi...

Assa Abloy AB: 1 director

A director at Assa Abloy AB sold 33,000 shares at 297.503SEK and the significance rating of the trade was 67/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly ...

Mattias Holmberg
  • Mattias Holmberg

Atlas Copco (Buy, TP: SEK170.00) - Solid story lacking execution

The Q1 report was a bit soft, with orders in line, adj. EBIT 5% below consensus and a reduction of the outlook, now expecting weaker customer activity near-term. VT not missing consensus orders and margins was a relief, and a restructuring of the division is underway, with full margin recovery expected by 2026. Having trimmed our organic growth and adj. EBIT margin assumptions, we have lowered our 2025–2027e adj. EBIT by c3% on average. We reiterate our BUY, but have lowered our target price to ...

Mattias Holmberg
  • Mattias Holmberg

Alfa Laval (Buy, TP: SEK515.00) - Marine margin thesis playing out

Alfa Laval had an optically weak quarter, but it was clean in operational performance. Early signs of macro caution emerged through a newly introduced “cost prudence initiative” and repeated comments pointing to softer Marine order intake from Q2, but overall stable demand for the group. Still, margin execution was strong, with Marine reaching 21.8%, confirming our positive thesis in the stock, which is now one of the few in the sector where we expect earnings growth YOY in 2025. We have cut our...

ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Anders Idborg
  • Karl Bokvist
Mattias Holmberg
  • Mattias Holmberg

Volvo Cars (Hold, TP: SEK17.60) - I roll…into the kitchen sink

Volvo Cars pulled the plug on 2025 and 2026 guidance, as returning CEO Håkan Samuelsson cited a “very challenging” environment. Q1 sales, margins, and cash flow missed expectations, with tariffs, weaker demand, and price pressure forcing a pivot to cost-cutting and regionalisation, including a SEK18bn cost and cash savings programme. We have lowered our 2025–2027e adj. EBIT by c23% on average and our target price to SEK17.6 (18.0). We reiterate our HOLD.

ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Anders Idborg
  • Karl Bokvist
ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Anders Idborg
  • Karl Bokvist
Douglas Lindahl
  • Douglas Lindahl

SKF (Buy, TP: SEK240.00) - Perception change potential

Q1 adj. EBIT was 3% stronger than we and consensus expected (driven by impressive margin resilience), while the outlook and organic growth seem to be tracking in line with our estimates. SKF’s pricing efforts look set to offset negative tariff implications, and its margin strength is undeniable. We have raised our 2025–2027e adj. EBIT by c4% on average, and our target price to SEK240 (225); we reiterate our BUY.

ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Anders Idborg
  • Karl Bokvist
ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Anders Idborg
  • Karl Bokvist
Mattias Holmberg
  • Mattias Holmberg

Assa Abloy (Hold, TP: SEK290.00) - Showing resilience

Assa Abloy’s Q1 was in line, but the call leaned slightly positive, with April activity trends steady compared with February–March, and no slowdown observed in US non-residential demand despite new tariffs. Some tariff-related pre-ordering in March should support Q2 sales, while Global Tech margin headwinds from M&A are expected to ease. We reiterate our HOLD, but have cut our 2025–2027e sales and adj. EBIT by 3% on average due to FX, and lowered our target price to SEK290 (345).

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