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Paul de Froment ... (+3)
  • Paul de Froment
  • Sebastián Marroquin Mérida
  • Thomas Mordelle

Avantium: Partnership with TNO

Avantium, through its subsidiary Avantium R&D Solutions, announced yesterday a partnership with The Netherlands Organisation for Applied Scientific Research (TNO) for the manufacturing of PEM electrolyser test stations. As such, while Avantium will not supply electrolysers per se, it will be ab

Olfa Taamallah ... (+2)
  • Olfa Taamallah
  • Yan Derocles

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 03/04/2024

La solidité de l’économie américaine et l’amélioration du sentiment macroéconomique en Europe nous conduisent à maintenir nos calls gagnants : long USA vs Europe et - en Europe - long Cycliques vs Défensives. Toujours en Europe, nous basculons long Value vs Growth et modifions en profondeur notre allocation sectorielle ; nous y intégrons également une analyse chartiste. Nos secteurs préférés sont : Banks, Financial Services, Insurance, Media, Energy, Industrial Goods & Services, Tra...

Olfa Taamallah ... (+2)
  • Olfa Taamallah
  • Yan Derocles

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 04/03/2024

America’s solid economy and Europe’s improving macro sentiment have prompted us to reiterate our winning calls: long USA vs Europe and - within Europe - long Cyclicals vs Defensives. Also within Europe, we are switching to long Value vs Growth and have overhauled our sector allocation ; furthermore it nows incorporates a chart analysis. Our favourite sectors are as follows: Banks, Financial Services, Insurance, Media, Energy, Industrial Goods & Services, Travel & Leisure, Constructio...

Usama Tariq ... (+2)
  • Usama Tariq
  • Wim Gille

Avantium : Model Update

>Integrating 2023 results - We have integrated the recent full financial release for FY23 and updated our estimates slightly. Worth recalling is that underlying revenue (excluding grants) increased by 11% yoy to €19.7 and was 12% above our estimates. Gross margin came at ~72% which was 100bp and 800bps lower than BB css (73%) and our estimates (80%) while EBITDA was 14% higher (worse) than our estimates (-€24.1m) and 11% worse than css (-€24.7m). Also with regar...

Delphine Brault ... (+2)
  • Delphine Brault
  • Quentin Borie

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 03/21/2024

GTT boasts a secure growth profile with enhanced visibility on the back of high-quality backlog. With over € 1.8bn in secured revenues, we are anticipating an EBITDA CAGR of 22% over 2023-26. Growth drivers were confirmed (LNG fuel, hydrogen, digital services) and the news flow should remain favourable (future orders). The valuation remains modest (13x EBITDA vs 13.4x for historical ratio) in light of the anticipating growth (0.6x 2023-26 CAGR). Our target price stands at € 170 exclu...

Delphine Brault ... (+2)
  • Delphine Brault
  • Quentin Borie

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 21/03/2024

GTT présente un profil de croissance sécurisé avec une visibilité renforcée à l’appui d’un backlog de qualité. Fort d’un CA sécurisé de plus de 1.8 Md€, nous tablons sur un TMVA 2023/26 de l’EBITDA de +22%. Les relais de croissance sont confirmés (GNL Carburant, Hydrogène, Services digitaux) et le newsflow devrait demeurer bien orienté (futures commandes). La valorisation reste modeste (13x l’EBITDA vs 13.4x pour les références historiques) au regard de la croissance attendue (0.6x TM...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Avantium: Under starter's orders. D'Ieteren: US Belron peer Boyd has slight operating miss, warns on 1Q24. Ebusco: Preview - no sooner said than done. Euronav: One-off dividend announced. IBA: Much better ‘Other accelerators' REBIT, no guidance yet on 2024

Usama Tariq ... (+2)
  • Usama Tariq
  • Wim Gille

Avantium : FY23, quite a neutral set of results

>We see pretty much a neutral set of results without any big surprises - Avantium reported FY23 results with total revenue coming at €25.5m, 11% above our estimate of €23m and 12% above the sales Bloomberg (BB) consensus of €22.7m. Underlying revenue (excluding grants) increased by 11% yoy to €19.7 and was 12% above our estimates. Gross margin came at ~72% which was 100bp and 800bps lower than BB css (73%) and our estimates (80%). EBITDA came in at a negative of (-€2...

Paul de Froment ... (+3)
  • Paul de Froment
  • Sebastián Marroquin Mérida
  • Thomas Mordelle

Avantium: right on track

Avantium yesterday announced FY 2023 results with total income reaching EUR25.5m (+11% vs cons. expectations at EUR23.0m), supported by R&D Solutions and the first milestone payment from Origin Materials. While the EBITDA loss of EUR27.5m was slightly higher than expected (cons. at EUR25.5m, BG

Fernand de Boer
  • Fernand de Boer

Avantium - EBITDA missed, compensated by financial income

2023 EBITDA missed our estimate, but on bottom line this was partially compensated by a higher than expected financial income.Cash position was also lower than expected, but thanks to the EUR 70m capital raise, company has sufficient financial leeway. Based on the results we expect slightly lower estimates after today's conference call .We maintain our Buy rating and leave our TP unchanged at EUR 4

Jean-François Granjon
  • Jean-François Granjon

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 12/03/2024 Date Performance dep...

We raise our price target for Arcadis to € 68.5 (DCF based) and maintain our Outperform rating. Although Arcadis’s shares have already performed well over the last 12 months (+43%), we see further upward potential as the delta in terms of peer multiples has only marginally diminished (still c. 35% lower EV/EBITDA, was c. 40%) and we see no reason to expect an industry multiples contraction. Given the GEC and automation/digitisation components of the company’s strategy, which come on t...

Jean-François Granjon
  • Jean-François Granjon

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 03/12/2024 Date Performance sin...

We raise our price target for Arcadis to € 68.5 (DCF based) and maintain our Outperform rating. Although Arcadis’s shares have already performed well over the last 12 months (+43%), we see further upward potential as the delta in terms of peer multiples has only marginally diminished (still c. 35% lower EV/EBITDA, was c. 40%) and we see no reason to expect an industry multiples contraction. Given the GEC and automation/digitisation components of the company’s strategy, which come on t...

Usama Tariq ... (+2)
  • Usama Tariq
  • Wim Gille

Avantium : More focus, all eyes on the FDCA flagship plant

>Recent developments: Equity raise with new cornerstone investors - Avantium has secured extra funding for the commissioning and startup of the FDCA Flagship plant. The company managed to raise €50.5m from rights offering combined with a upsize offering of €19.5m, taking the total to €70m. Key to the raise is new investors, which included SENFI Ventures Co., Ltd, an affiliate of SCG Chemicals Public Company Limited and Dutch entrepreneur Pieter Kooi. We think that fun...

Paul de Froment ... (+3)
  • Paul de Froment
  • Sebastián Marroquin Mérida
  • Thomas Mordelle

Avantium: Successful EUR70m raise

Last week, Avantium announced a successful EUR70m capital raise with gross proceeds of EUR50.5m out of the rights issue and EUR19.5m of additional upsize offering. This capital increase will allow the company to finalise construction and commissioning works for its FDCA flagship plant in Delfzijl,

Avantium N.V.: 3 directors

Three Directors at Avantium N.V. bought/sold 43,316 shares at between 2.528EUR and 2.600EUR. The significance rating of the trade was 57/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over...

Fernand de Boer
  • Fernand de Boer

Avantium - Successfully raising EUR 70m

Avantium completed the capital raise, bringing in EUR 70mThe fresh capital should be sufficient to complete the construction of the FDCA flagship plant and for day-to-day operations and even scale up the Volta Technology plant from a pre-pilot to pilot scale. The capital increase substantially improves the risk profile of the company, and we expect a relief today. We move our rating back from UR to Buy. TP set at EUR 4.00 to reflect the dilution, partially offset by the improved risk profile. 

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Avantium: Right(s) on cue. Corbion: Doubling Down. KPN: FCF better on WCR, FCF guidance a bit better on tax and interest expenses. Lotus Bakeries: Mondelez International FY23 results. Staffing: Manpower - adj. EPS 4Q23 beat, 1Q24 outlook below, stabilization in US, UK. Universal Music Group: TikTok agreement expiry, YouTube 4Q23 Ad revenue up 15.5%

Paul de Froment ... (+2)
  • Paul de Froment
  • Thomas Mordelle

Capacity reservation from Helios Resins

Avantium yesterday announced a multi-year capacity reservation agreement from Helios Resins, a subsidiary of Kanzai Paint which is one of the world's leading paint and coatings producers, to purchase FDCA developed by Avantium. Under this agreement, Helios Resins secures preferred access to FDCA vo

Nicolas David
  • Nicolas David

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 14/12/2023 Date Performance dep...

We reiterate our Neutral rating, price target to €0.80 per share. The material additional investment requirements for Accoya USA caught us by surprise. The proceeds of the share issue and the convertible loan plus the amendment of the RCF and term loan ensure that the Accoya USA plant can be completed (>80% done) and that sufficient sales and marketing power can be applied to develop demand in the US to ensure that sales match the envisaged output. In a scenario where demand in Europe...

Nicolas David
  • Nicolas David

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 12/14/2023 Date Performance sin...

We reiterate our Neutral rating, price target to €0.80 per share. The material additional investment requirements for Accoya USA caught us by surprise. The proceeds of the share issue and the convertible loan plus the amendment of the RCF and term loan ensure that the Accoya USA plant can be completed (>80% done) and that sufficient sales and marketing power can be applied to develop demand in the US to ensure that sales match the envisaged output. In a scenario where demand in Europe...

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