reports
- Research Team
The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: EME indices mostly in the green in...
EME Equity Market – May 2025 EME indices mostly in the green in May, apart from Türkiye. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 3.6% mom in EUR and USD terms. The Greek ASE index (+7.8% mom) was the best performer, followed by the Czech PX (+6.6% mom) and Romanian BET indices (+5.0% mom), the Hungarian BUX (+4.0% mom) and the Polish WIG20 (+2.0% mom; all in EUR terms). The Turkish ISE30 Index was, again, the worst performer, with a more modest decline (-1.4% mom in EUR terms) this time.
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
EXAE HELLENIC EXCHANGES SA
MOL MOL NYRT
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
KRKG KRKA D.D.
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL AG
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
ISCTR TURKIYE IS BANKASI ANONIM SIRKETI CLASS C
TITK TITAN CEMENT CO. SA
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
BIMAS BIM BIRLESIK MAGAZALAR A.S.
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
LAMDA LAMDA DEVELOPMENT S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
KTY GRUPA KETY SA
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
ENA ENEA S.A.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
ALPHA ALPHA BANK AE
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
ECH ECHO INVESTMENT
GSPARK GRAPHISOFT PARK SE
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
BELA JUMBO S.A.
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
GEB BANK OF GEORGIA
RICHT RICHTER
M MED LIFE
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
R22 R22
ADNOCDIST ADNOC DISTRIBUTION PJSC
CGEO GEORGIA CAPITAL
SOKM SOK MARKETLER TICARET AS
EAT AMREST HOLDINGS SE
NLBR NLB GROUP
ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
KSPI KASPI KZ
INPST INPOST S.A.
HUGE HUUUGE
4IG 4IG NYRT
IGN1L IGNITIS GRUPE
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
CTPNV CTP NV
VRC VERCOM SA
GPP GRUPA PRACUJ DA
KLKIM KALEKIM KIMYEVI MADDELER SANAYI VE TICARET AS
GIG GAMING INNOVATION GROUP
ADNOCDRILL ADNOC DRILLING CO
2381 ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
7202 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
9526 JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
ELPE HELLENIQ ENERGY
SHO SHOPER SA
4071 ARABIAN CONTRACTING SERVICES CO
7203 ELM CO
OPTIMAr OPTIMA BANK S.A.
AQ AQUILA PART PROD COM
TRESTATES TRADE ESTATES REIC SA
AIRA AIR ASTANA JSC
GEV GEVORKYAN A.S.
BOCHGR BANK OF CYPRUS
ZAB ZABKA GROUP
DSPW DOOSAN SKODA POWER A.S.
DIAG DIAGNOSTYKA SA
- Klaus Ringel
- Klaus Ringel
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: Polish Food Retail – DNP PW; EUR PW; JMT PL; ZAB PW; BFT P...
HEADLINES: • Polish food retail: turning the corner (initiating on Zabka with a BUY, Eurocash and Jeronimo stay BUY, Dino stays SELL) • Benefit Systems: 1Q25 adjusted EBIT up 14% yoy, 10% above our forecast POSITIVE • Grupa Pracuj: 1Q25 results – adjusted EBITDA up 11% yoy, in line with our forecast, 4% above the consensus POSITIVE • Wirtualna Polska: 1Q25 results review – adjusted EBITDA up 2% yoy, 2% above the consensus NEUTRAL • Athens Exchange Group: 1Q25 results in line with expectations NE...
EXAE HELLENIC EXCHANGES SA
OMV OMV AG
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
GPP GRUPA PRACUJ DA
ADNOCDRILL ADNOC DRILLING CO
ZAB ZABKA GROUP
- Lukasz Wachelko
- CFA
- Maria Mickiewicz
Polish Food Retail: turning the corner (initiating on Zabka with a BUY...
We believe that, after the price war-impacted 2024 and the seasonally-challenged 1Q25, Polish grocers should enjoy Easter-supported demand and a leap in the VAT hike in 2Q25E. In our view, the Polish consumer has matured, following the tough experience of the pandemic, and the inflation bubble that followed. With a propensity to consume no longer close to 100%, we see the rollout-led growth as more tangible than pure lfl expansion. Within the high-growth names, we prefer Żabka (initiation with a...
- Clement Genelot
Food Retail: trade war lifted multiples, beware of future sector rotat...
European food retail enjoyed a paradoxical 1.5x P/E expansion vs. deteriorating earnings trend YTD now turning negative, fuelled by a sector rotation with investors looking for defensive stocks. With trade wars easing, we have reviewed the valuation, earnings momentum and sector indicators for each
- Ahmed Ben Salem
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
ENGI ENGIE SA.
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
GFC GECINA SA
ALV ALLIANZ SE
ITRK INTERTEK GROUP PLC
ENI ENI S.P.A.
RWE RWE AG
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
TLX TALANX AG
REP REPSOL SA
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
SIE SIEMENS AG
BP. BP P.L.C.
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
LAND LAND SECURITIES GROUP PLC
SHEL SHELL PLC
NOVO B NOVO NORDISK A/S
AGN AEGON N.V.
- Ahmed Ben Salem
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
ENGI ENGIE SA.
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
GFC GECINA SA
ALV ALLIANZ SE
ITRK INTERTEK GROUP PLC
ENI ENI S.P.A.
RWE RWE AG
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
TLX TALANX AG
REP REPSOL SA
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
SIE SIEMENS AG
BP. BP P.L.C.
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
LAND LAND SECURITIES GROUP PLC
SHEL SHELL PLC
NOVO B NOVO NORDISK A/S
AGN AEGON N.V.
- Jakub Krawczyk
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: VGO PW; PGE PW; 11B PW; DNP PW; KRKG SV; GEV CP; ELPE GA; ...
HEADLINES: • VIGO Photonics: top Polish defence industry exposure (downgraded to HOLD) • PGE: strong 1Q25 recurring EBITDA, 26% above our expectations POSITIVE • 11 bit studios: weak 1Q25, misses our forecast, on higher opex NEGATIVE • Dino: 2-7% EBITDA beats in 1Q25 NEUTRAL • Krka: 1Q25 – record net profit, on high FX revaluation gains POSITIVE • GEVORKYAN: strong 1Q25 - EBITDA 15% above our expectations, but 2025E guidance implies an EBITDA margin contraction POSITIVE • HELLENiQ Energy: 1Q25 r...
- Adrian Pehl
UBI UBISOFT ENTERTAINMENT SA
BEKB BEKAERT SA
SBMO SBM OFFSHORE NV
PBB DEUTSCHE PFANDBRIEFBANK AG
INF INFOTEL SA
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
JCQ JACQUET METALS SA
TPE PVA TEPLA AG
G24 SCOUT24 AG
INH INDUS HOLDING AG
ATS AT & S AUSTRIA TECHNOLOGIE & SYSTEMTECHNIK AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
PYT POLYTEC HOLDING
LTA ALTAMIR ACT PORTEUR
FLU FLUGHAFEN WIEN AG
BOSN BOSSARD HOLDING AG
SFSN SFS GROUP AG
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
TRE TECNICAS REUNIDAS SA
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
DUFN DUFRY AG
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
DUE DURR AG
MDM MAISONS DU MONDE SA
DMP DERMAPHARM HOLDING SE
TGN SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE TRANSPORT GAZE NATURALE TRANSGAZ S.A.
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
DSC1 DUTCH STAR C SHAR
VK VALLOUREC SA
IVG IVECO GROUP
SPAC 468 SPAC I SE
TUI TUI AG
SCHOTT PHARMA AG
HBX HBX GROUP INTERNATIONAL PLC
- Adrian Pehl
UBI UBISOFT ENTERTAINMENT SA
BEKB BEKAERT SA
SBMO SBM OFFSHORE NV
PBB DEUTSCHE PFANDBRIEFBANK AG
INF INFOTEL SA
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
JCQ JACQUET METALS SA
TPE PVA TEPLA AG
G24 SCOUT24 AG
INH INDUS HOLDING AG
ATS AT & S AUSTRIA TECHNOLOGIE & SYSTEMTECHNIK AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
PYT POLYTEC HOLDING
LTA ALTAMIR ACT PORTEUR
FLU FLUGHAFEN WIEN AG
BOSN BOSSARD HOLDING AG
SFSN SFS GROUP AG
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
TRE TECNICAS REUNIDAS SA
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
DUFN DUFRY AG
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
DUE DURR AG
MDM MAISONS DU MONDE SA
DMP DERMAPHARM HOLDING SE
TGN SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE TRANSPORT GAZE NATURALE TRANSGAZ S.A.
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
DSC1 DUTCH STAR C SHAR
VK VALLOUREC SA
IVG IVECO GROUP
SPAC 468 SPAC I SE
TUI TUI AG
SCHOTT PHARMA AG
HBX HBX GROUP INTERNATIONAL PLC
- Jakub Krawczyk
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: PZU PW; CEZ CP; EUR PW; GPW PW; SFG RO; TLV RO; BVB RO; DI...
HEADLINES: • PZU: solid 1Q25 results, ahead of the market's expectations; some upside risk for2025E EPS forecasts POSITIVE • CEZ: 1Q25 beat on distribution and sales segments, disposal of Polish assets POSITIVE • Eurocash: 1Q25 – weak, as expected NEGATIVE • Warsaw Stock Exchange: strong 1Q25, with a significant net income beat POSITIVE • Sphera Group: 1Q25 softer than expected; FY25E budget below our forecasts NEGATIVE • Banca Transilvania: bottom-line miss, due mainly to asset quality deterior...
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
BVB S.C. BURSA DE VALORI BUCURESTI S.A.
M MED LIFE
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
GIG KAZMUNAYGAS NC JSC
4071 GAMING INNOVATION GROUP
ARABIAN CONTRACTING SERVICES CO
- Clement Genelot
Jeronimo Martins: rerating not over yet with better margin prospects
Following a strong Q1, we see several positive signs around a price war easing in Poland and have increased our Polish EBITDA and our PT from EUR21 to EUR25. In line with our January 2025 upgrade to Buy, we continue to see a rerating path to >20x P/E, which is the normalised level in no Polish c
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Stephane Houri
IFX INFINEON TECHNOLOGIES AG
LRC LEGRAND
VIE VEOLIA ENVIRONNEMENT SA
TKA THYSSENKRUPP AG
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
BEKB BEKAERT SA
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
G1A GEA GROUP AG
APAML APERAM SA
PUM PUMA SE
OUT1V OUTOKUMPU OYJ
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
ADEN ADECCO GROUP AG
RHM RHEINMETALL AG
SZG SALZGITTER AG
VOE VOESTALPINE AG
ACX ACERINOX SA
ELE ENDESA S.A.
ORSTED ORSTED
FRE FRESENIUS SE & CO. KGAA
HEI HEIDELBERGCEMENT AG
ERA ERAMET SA
NDA AURUBIS AG
ARCAD ARCADIS NV
AMG AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
EDW EDP RENOVAVEIS SA
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
POST OSTERREICHISCHE POST AG
PRY PRYSMIAN S.P.A.
ABI ANHEUSER-BUSCH INBEV SA/NV
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
BHP BHP GROUP LTD
ARGX ARGEN-X SE
AMAG AMAG AUSTRIA METALL AG
KBX KNORR-BREMSE AG
IHG INTERCONTINENTAL HOTELS GROUP PLC
NEXI NEXI S.P.A.
ENR SIEMENS ENERGY AG
CTPNV CTP NV
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
QGEN QIAGEN N.V.
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Stephane Houri
IFX INFINEON TECHNOLOGIES AG
LRC LEGRAND
VIE VEOLIA ENVIRONNEMENT SA
TKA THYSSENKRUPP AG
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
BEKB BEKAERT SA
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
G1A GEA GROUP AG
APAML APERAM SA
PUM PUMA SE
OUT1V OUTOKUMPU OYJ
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
ADEN ADECCO GROUP AG
RHM RHEINMETALL AG
SZG SALZGITTER AG
VOE VOESTALPINE AG
ACX ACERINOX SA
ELE ENDESA S.A.
ORSTED ORSTED
FRE FRESENIUS SE & CO. KGAA
HEI HEIDELBERGCEMENT AG
ERA ERAMET SA
NDA AURUBIS AG
ARCAD ARCADIS NV
AMG AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
EDW EDP RENOVAVEIS SA
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
PRY PRYSMIAN S.P.A.
ABI ANHEUSER-BUSCH INBEV SA/NV
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
BHP BHP GROUP LTD
ARGX ARGEN-X SE
AMAG AMAG AUSTRIA METALL AG
KBX KNORR-BREMSE AG
IHG INTERCONTINENTAL HOTELS GROUP PLC
NEXI NEXI S.P.A.
ENR SIEMENS ENERGY AG
CTPNV CTP NV
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
QGEN QIAGEN N.V.
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: ING PW; JMT PL; BHW PW; BDX PW; MGROS TI; TBCG LN; CGEO LN...
HEADLINES: • ING BSK: 1Q25 results in line with expectations and our annual 2025E expectations NEUTRAL • Jeronimo Martins: beat in 1Q25; Biedronka margin stabilised, despite adverse calendar effect; FY25E guidance maintained POSITIVE • Bank Handlowy: dull 1Q25 results; dividend recommendation due later in May; uncertainty over impact of sale of retail operations persisting NEUTRAL • Budimex: 1Q25 EBITDA misses forecast slightly, backlog down marginally qoq, but rising amount of pending contracts...
MOL MOL NYRT
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
BELA JUMBO S.A.
CGEO GEORGIA CAPITAL
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
CTPNV CTP NV
KLKIM KALEKIM KIMYEVI MADDELER SANAYI VE TICARET AS
ADNOCDRILL ADNOC DRILLING CO
DSPW DOOSAN SKODA POWER A.S.
DIAG DIAGNOSTYKA SA
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