5th September 2024 * A corporate client of Hybridan LLP ** Arranged by type of listing and date of announcement *** Alphabetically arranged **** Potential means Intention to Float (ITF) has been announced, or it is a rumour Dish of the day Admissions: None Delistings: None What’s baking in the oven ? Our daily digest of news from UK Small Caps If you would like to unsubscribe, please email with “unsubscribe me”. Hybridan Chefs Banquet Buffet*** CAP-XX 0.27p £8.2m (CPX.L) The designer and man...
3rd September 2024 * A corporate client of Hybridan LLP ** Arranged by type of listing and date of announcement *** Alphabetically arranged **** Potential means Intention to Float (ITF) has been announced, or it is a rumour Dish of the day Admissions: None Delistings: Trident Royalties (TRR.L) has delisted from AIM What’s baking in the oven ? Our daily digest of news from UK Small Caps If you would like to unsubscribe, please email with “unsubscribe me”. Hybridan Chefs Banquet Buffet*** Alum...
31st July 2024 * A corporate client of Hybridan LLP ** Arranged by type of listing and date of announcement *** Alphabetically arranged **** Potential means Intention to Float (ITF) has been announced, or it is a rumour Dish of the day Admissions: Delistings: Foresight Sustainable Forestry Company (FSF.L) has left the Premium Segment of the Main Market. What’s baking in the oven? ** Our daily digest of news from UK Small Caps If you would like to unsubscribe, please email with “unsubscribe me”...
Dish of the day Joiners: No joiners today. Leavers: Ergomed has left AIM. What’s cooking in the IPO kitchen?** 9 November: Chapel Down Group ITF: England's leading and largest wine producer with an award-winning range of sparkling and still wines, under the Chapel Down brand. The Company owns, leases and sources from 1,023 acres of vineyards in South East England announces its Admission to AIM after its transfer from the Aquis Apex market. The Company will not be raising new capital or providing...
22th September 2023 @HybridanLLP Status of this Note and Disclaimer This document has been issued to you by Hybridan LLP for information purposes only and should not be construed in any circumstances as an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument, nor shall it, or the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract relating to such action. This document has no regard for the specific investment ob...
‘Sell in May and go away’. Is there a fundamental basis for this old trade expression in Commodity World? We think so, at least for China’s 1Bnt/yr steel & iron ore trades. For many years now, we’ve been flagging China-related upside risk in steel/ore trade flows and prices, in the early months of every calendar. It’s that country’s post-northern winter competitive restock, to secure its 80%-share of seaborne ore supply. This seasonal kick almost always reports across China’s trade/conversion/de...
The Restocking Indicator is having a bearish year. The signal has reported a SELL, or very close to it, since late January. This month saw the sharpest new orders contraction since last July. Mills remain firmly in destock mode; China’s reopening trade continues to disappoint; confidence in real estate is weak. We still expect market signals to define floors in H2, with upside risk building later in the year – most likely on 2024’s industrial restock.
What are global commodity markets worth? About US$6.5tn – Metals, Steels and Energy. While this figure’s down a massive 20%YoY, it’s still the 3rd-highest on record. Why did it fall? Dominant driver’s the passing of 2022’s war-prompted inflation, partly a response to a US Fed-led rate hikes. Curiously, commodity supply/demand/trade shifts over the past year have been quite modest, with most markets expanding in-line with broader economic growth, while shouldering extreme price trend-shifts and v...
DeBeers announced the fourth diamond sale of the year of $480m, down from $604m in the previous year. Prices appear to be driven by the fall in polished diamond index, down 7% YTD or -23% from the peak in March last year. Demand outlook is tough, given the global economic slowdown, featuring a weak post-lockdown China story. Bullish price events: slowing synthetic supply growth, and the West continues to seek a ban on Russian trade – more a hopeful than an effective strategy, in our view.
Virgin mining: Energy security and decarbonisation are driving the race in the sourcing of critical minerals from the natural world. This has contributed to the revival of exploration activities in the US, Europe and to a lesser degree the UK. For example, the global identified lithium resources increased from 40m tonnes in 2015 (the Paris Agreement year) to 97m tonnes in 2023, at a CAGR of 12%, according to the U.S. Geological Survey data. For example, there was no identified lithium resources ...
27th April 2023 @HybridanLLP Status of this Note and Disclaimer This document has been issued to you by Hybridan LLP for information purposes only and should not be construed in any circumstances as an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument, nor shall it, or the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract relating to such action. This document has no regard for the specific investment object...
‘Mate, I don’t get it: we’ve had a virus sweep the planet, multiple inflation shocks, bank failures, deteriorating growth/trade conditions – and Russia’s war drags on …but this wonderfully bullish backdrop for gold can’t lift its price much above $2,000/oz. Why?’ There are lots of frustrated gold investors out there right now. For years now, anyone buying gold for some longer-term price upside on this collection of dramatic macro-themes has had a tough time. Since 2020’s lockdown, gold’s price h...
The Restocking Indicator stays on HOLD, and so matches up with our short-term expectation that iron ore prices will be range bound for the next couple of months. There has been an improvement in domestic demand, but no post-lockdown ‘fireworks’ in play. Certainly not enough to get China’s steel mills, or us, excited on the short-term steel/ore outlook. Worth keeping an eye on rising pollution levels, for this could prompt policy action and lift lump/pellet/high grade premiums – bullish for AAL/F...
FACT: if gold’s price lifts, when those of industrial metals fall – that’s bearish. High-profile bank failures – SVB and Credit Suisse – prompted this rare, but widely understood signal divergence. Also, price sensitivity to the event was probably enhanced by the fact that Resources’ sector activity is subdued right now. Why? President Xi just flagged a modest 5% GDP target for 2023 + US Fed’s still chasing inflation + Russia’s war troubles the growth outlook …so, Commodity World was vulnerable ...
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