>Solid Q3 in Europe, underperformance in America harder to read - Outokumpu reported a relatively strong Q3, albeit with contrasts between the business areas. Adjusted EBITDA was up 54% vs Q2 at € 86m, above the initial guidance (stable or rising EBITDA) and the consensus of € 74m, although the difference is largely due to raw material-related inventory and metal derivative gains, which are exceptional in nature. While the performance had been driven by the US until Q...
>T3 solide en Europe, contreperformance plus difficile à lire en Amérique - Outokumpu a publié un T3 relativement solide bien que contrasté selon les divisions. L’EBITDA ajusté a grimpé de 54% vs T2 à 86 M€, au-dessus de la guidance initiale (EBITDA stable ou en hausse) et du consensus de 74 M€ même si l’écart est en grande partie dû aux ajustements de valeur sur les stocks et aux gains sur produits dérivés, par nature exceptionnels. Alors que la performance avait été...
The outcome of the US presidential election hangs in the balance, but the momentum seems to be with Donald Trump since the beginning of October: the candidate is now in the lead in six of the seven swing states, has just overtaken Kamala Harris in the national vote while 63% of punters are tipping him to win. We recap in the present note on the European stocks to play or avoid in the event of Donald Trump's victory and have also listed European stocks with a production base in the US,...
Le scrutin présidentiel US reste incertain, mais le momentum semble être du côté de Donald Trump depuis début octobre : le candidat est désormais en tête dans 6 des 7 swing states, vient de dépasser Kamala Harris dans le vote national et est donné gagnant à 63% chez les parieurs. Nous rappelons les valeurs européennes à privilégier ou à éviter en cas de victoire de Donald Trump, et avons également listé les valeurs européennes ayant une base de production aux US, par nature moins expo...
>Solid Q3 driven by Europe and Ferrochrome but Americas at four-year low - Outokumpu’s Q3 2024 results came in above expectations with adjusted EBITDA at € 86m, 16% above ODDO BHF and 18% above the consensus although this largely reflected € 10m of raw material-related inventory and metal derivatives gains. The group still achieved a 54% q-o-q improvement in EBITDA, above its initial expectations of stable to higher EBITDA. Overall, the environment remained subdued w...
>Solid Q3 driven by Europe and Ferrochrome but Americas at four-year low - Outokumpu’s Q3 2024 results came in above expectations with adjusted EBITDA at € 86m, 16% above ODDO BHF and 18% above the consensus although this largely reflected € 10m of raw material-related inventory and metal derivatives gains. The group still achieved a 54% q-o-q improvement in EBITDA, above its initial expectations of stable to higher EBITDA. Overall, the environment remained subdued w...
>The only chrome mine in Europe and one of only a few in the western world - We attended the visit to the chrome mine at Kemi in Finland that was organised by Outokumpu last week. This is the only chrome mine in Europe with more than 2 million tonnes of ore produced per year or 2% of global production, placing it well behind players based in South Africa and Kazakhstan. The mine’s production is destined entirely for the group’s ferrochrome division and two-thirds of f...
>La seule mine de chrome en Europe et l’une des seules dans le monde occidental - Nous avons participé à la visite de la mine de chrome de Kemi en Finlande organisée la semaine dernière par Outokumpu. Il s’agit de la seule mine de chrome en Europe avec plus de 2 millions de tonnes de minerai produites en 2023, soit 2% de la production mondiale, ce qui la place loin derrière les acteurs basés en Afrique du Sud et au Kazakhstan. La mine produit entièrement pour la divis...
A director at Outokumpu Oyj bought 9,000 shares at 3.240EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 50/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly s...
In this note, we initiate coverage on The London Tunnels PLC (TLT), listed on Euronext Amsterdam since 26 June. TLT plans to develop visitor attractions in the Kingsway Exchange Tunnels, built by the UK government to protect its citizens during the London Blitz. The project has secured full planning permission from The City of London and Camden Council. Construction, estimated to cost £ 150m, is expected to begin soon. The attraction, which is designed to host maximum three million vi...
In this note, we initiate coverage on The London Tunnels PLC (TLT), listed on Euronext Amsterdam since 26 June. TLT plans to develop visitor attractions in the Kingsway Exchange Tunnels, built by the UK government to protect its citizens during the London Blitz. The project has secured full planning permission from The City of London and Camden Council. Construction, estimated to cost £ 150m, is expected to begin soon. The attraction, which is designed to host maximum three million vi...
>Robust Q2 performance given the headwinds - Outokumpu reported yesterday decent Q2 earnings with adjusted EBITDA up 49% q-o-q at € 56m in a nonetheless tricky context marked by weak markets notably in Europe, a national strike in Finland with a major impact and several operating incidents in Business Areas (BA) Americas and Ferrochrome. We found the BA Europe’s performance convincing with EBITDA of € 28m which would likely have been above € 50m leaving aside the stri...
>Performance T2 solide compte tenu des vents contraires - Outokumpu a publié hier des résultats T2 corrects avec un EBITDA ajusté en hausse de 49% vs T1 à 56 M€ dans un contexte pourtant difficile marqué par un marché faible notamment en Europe, une grève nationale en Finlande très impactante et plusieurs incidents opérationnels dans les Business Areas (BA) Americas et Ferrochrome. Nous avons trouvé probante la performance de BA Europe avec un EBITDA de 28 M€ qui aura...
>Decent Q2 driven by cost and mix initiatives amid soft market conditions - Outokumpu’s Q2 2024 results were in line with expectations with adjusted EBITDA at € 56m, 2% above the consensus but 13% below our more bullish forecast. The beat was however partly driven by € 3m of inventory and hedging gains vs a negative impact initially guided and compared with a € 7m loss booked in Q1. With a 47% q-o-q rise, the group attained its guidance of a similar or higher adjusted...
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