La solidité de l’économie américaine et l’amélioration du sentiment macroéconomique en Europe nous conduisent à maintenir nos calls gagnants : long USA vs Europe et - en Europe - long Cycliques vs Défensives. Toujours en Europe, nous basculons long Value vs Growth et modifions en profondeur notre allocation sectorielle ; nous y intégrons également une analyse chartiste. Nos secteurs préférés sont : Banks, Financial Services, Insurance, Media, Energy, Industrial Goods & Services, Tra...
America’s solid economy and Europe’s improving macro sentiment have prompted us to reiterate our winning calls: long USA vs Europe and - within Europe - long Cyclicals vs Defensives. Also within Europe, we are switching to long Value vs Growth and have overhauled our sector allocation ; furthermore it nows incorporates a chart analysis. Our favourite sectors are as follows: Banks, Financial Services, Insurance, Media, Energy, Industrial Goods & Services, Travel & Leisure, Constructio...
>A reassuring message on the recovery but the strike had a major impact - Yesterday, CFO Pia Aaltonen-Forsell held a pre-close call during which she gave a relatively constructive message on the market, in line with the indications provided at the roadshow with ODDO BHF in February. Demand has clearly improved in the US in line with the economy as a whole even though the impact will only begin to be felt in Q2 and beyond. Indications are also fairly encouraging in Eur...
>Discours rassurant sur la reprise mais la grève a un lourd impact - La directrice financière Pia Aaltonen-Forsell a tenu hier un pre-close call dans lequel elle a tenu un discours plutôt constructif sur le marché en ligne avec les indications données lors du roadshow avec ODDO BHF en février. La demande s’améliore clairement aux Etats-Unis en ligne avec l’économie dans son ensemble même si les conséquences devraient se faire surtout sentir au T2 voire au S2. En Europ...
We maintain our Outperform rating with an updated (DCF based) price target of €50.5 per share (was €46). The improved (and better than expected) EBITA margin in Building Technology in H2 versus H1 (despite a 3% volume decline) gives us confidence that even with the expected volume headwind in 2024, Aalberts will be able to maintain margins close to the 2023 level with upside if the recovery starts in the latter part of 2024. In Industrial Technology we think Aalberts is overly cautiou...
We maintain our Outperform rating with an updated (DCF based) price target of €50.5 per share (was €46). The improved (and better than expected) EBITA margin in Building Technology in H2 versus H1 (despite a 3% volume decline) gives us confidence that even with the expected volume headwind in 2024, Aalberts will be able to maintain margins close to the 2023 level with upside if the recovery starts in the latter part of 2024. In Industrial Technology we think Aalberts is overly cautiou...
>Current trading in line with expectations at a soft but improving level - We hosted CFO Pia Aaltonen-Forsell and Head of IR Linda Hakkila on a road show in Paris in the wake of solid, above expectations Q4 results published earlier this month. Management confirmed that Q1 was trading in line with expectations, still anticipating a 5-15% q-o-q increase in stainless steel shipments and EBITDA in line with Q4 as higher volumes and stable pricing would likely be offset ...
>Current trading in line with expectations at a soft but improving level - We hosted CFO Pia Aaltonen-Forsell and Head of IR Linda Hakkila on a road show in Paris in the wake of solid, above expectations Q4 results published earlier this month. Management confirmed that Q1 was trading in line with expectations, still anticipating a 5-15% q-o-q increase in stainless steel shipments and EBITDA in line with Q4 as higher volumes and stable pricing would likely be offset ...
>Solid operating and financial performances in a challenging environment - Outokumpu turned in a solid set of figures for Q4, ahead of the cautious indications given during the pre-close call on 4 January. Adjusted EBITDA came in at € 73m, up 46% vs Q3, 27% ahead of consensus and 49% of our own forecasts. This performance was achieved despite flat volumes, right at the bottom of the guidance of 0-+10%. It was driven on the one hand by the slight uptick in prices and t...
>Performance opérationnelle et financière solide dans un environnement difficile - Outokumpu a livré au T4 une performance solide, au-dessus des indications prudentes données lors du pre-close call le 4 janvier. L’EBITDA ajusté a, en effet, atteint 73 M€, en hausse de 46% vs T3, 27% au-dessus du consensus et 49% supérieurs à nos propres attentes. Cette performance a été atteinte en dépit de volumes étals, tout en bas de la guidance de 0 à +10%. L’amélioration a été ti...
La baisse de l’inflation et de la croissance (en Europe) et – paradoxalement – des taux d’intérêt plus hauts incitent à une reprise du M&A en Europe. Les secteurs qui devraient être les plus actifs sont : la Santé, la Technologie, l’Industrie, les Télécoms et les Utilities/Renouvelables. Nous présentons les perspectives M&A pour l’ensemble des secteurs d’activité et identifions 80 sociétés potentiellement actives (prédatrices, cibles, acquéreuses ou cédantes d’actifs). - ...
Falling inflation and weaker growth (in Europe) and – paradoxically – higher interest rates are driving an upturn in M&A in Europe. The sectors that are expected to be the most active are: healthcare, technology, industry, telecoms and utilities/renewables. We present the M&A outlook for all sectors of activity and identify 80 potentially active companies (predators, targets, buyers or sellers of assets). - ...
Summary Marketline's SSAB AB Mergers & Acquisitions (M&A), Partnerships & Alliances and Investments report includes business description, detailed reports on mergers and acquisitions (M&A), divestments, capital raisings, venture capital investments, ownership and partnership transactions undertaken by SSAB AB - Mergers & Acquisitions (M&A), Partnerships & Alliances since January2007. Marketline's Company Mergers & Acquisitions (M&A), Partnerships & Alliances and Investments reports offer a com...
>Q4 set to be relatively subdued but in line with our expectations - CFO Pia Aaltonen-Forsell yesterday held a pre-close call in which she offered a very cautious narrative. The group is expected to be at the lower end of its guidance range for stainless steel shipment QoQ growth of between 0% and 10%. This trend reflects a stable market context at a low level in Europe and a little better in the US albeit showing deterioration. That said, Outokumpu is benefiting in E...
>Vers un T4 relativement faible mais en ligne avec nos attentes - La directrice financière Pia Aaltonen-Forsell a tenu hier un pre-close call dans lequel elle a tenu un discours très prudent. Le groupe devrait ainsi se situer dans la fourchette basse de sa guidance de livraisons d’inox en hausse de 0 à 10%. Cette évolution traduit un contexte de marché stable à un bas niveau en Europe un peu meilleur aux Etats-Unis mais en détérioration. Outokumpu bénéficie pourtant e...
Lar España has successfully rotated assets over the past five years. On the back of the company’s latest announcements and its expressed willingness to continue on this path, we remain confident about its ability to reach its goals while Lar España continues to see a resilient and strong operational performance regarding its portfolio, which should support the company’s activities. We still find its current discount to NAV unjustified, given the good occupier trends seen in its portfo...
Lar España has successfully rotated assets over the past five years. On the back of the company’s latest announcements and its expressed willingness to continue on this path, we remain confident about its ability to reach its goals while Lar España continues to see a resilient and strong operational performance regarding its portfolio, which should support the company’s activities. We still find its current discount to NAV unjustified, given the good occupier trends seen in its portfo...
>A sensible decision as reflected in the very positive reaction from the market - On Wednesday evening, Outokumpu announced that it was shelving plans to develop its own hot rolling mill in the US and held a conf call yesterday afternoon to come back on this decision. The group had disappointed the market in August by announcing a feasibility study for a hot rolling mill, while it currently procures hot rolled sheets from AM/NS Calvert, a JV between ArcelorMittal and ...
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