Unifiedpost is a niche SaaS player in the e-invoicing and procurement channel space. Regulatory headwinds mean this market is ripe for growth, which should benefit Unifiedpost. Due to some unsuccessful past M&A, the company is in a challenging financial position today. However, it has recently embarked on a divestment path, aiming to streamline the business and improve its fundamentals. We like the new direction, however prefer to take a wait-and-see approach. - ...
Unifiedpost is a niche SaaS player in the e-invoicing and procurement channel space. Regulatory headwinds mean this market is ripe for growth, which should benefit Unifiedpost. Due to some unsuccessful past M&A, the company is in a challenging financial position today. However, it has recently embarked on a divestment path, aiming to streamline the business and improve its fundamentals. We like the new direction, however prefer to take a wait-and-see approach. - ...
>Q1 below forecasts due above all to the Americas - Like Acerinox and Aperam previously, Outokumpu disappointed the market with Q1 earnings below expectations and a subdued Q2 guidance. Like for the two competitors, this situation partly reflects the operating issues (strike in Finland, maintenance break in the US) and a lacklustre market environment, above all in Europe. Q1 adjusted EBITDA came to just € 38m, while we had forecast € 56m. By business area, Europe was ...
>T1 inférieur aux attentes à cause surtout d’Americas - Comme Acerinox et Aperam avant lui, Outokumpu a déçu le marché avec des résultats T1 inférieurs aux attentes et une guidance T2 assez modeste. Comme chez ses deux concurrents, cette situation reflète pour partie des problèmes opérationnels (grève en Finlande, maintenance plus longue que prévu aux USA) et un environnement de marché peu propice surtout en Europe. L’EBITDA ajusté T1 est ainsi ressorti à seulement 38...
>Organic decline in Q4 sales of 1.5% vs -0.3%e due to more negative price effects. Volumes in the poultry France division recovered by +5.5% - LDC yesterday evening reported Q4 2023-24 sales close to our expectations. Sales were up a slight 1.6% to € 1,645.4m (vs cons. € 1,648m and ODDO BHF € 1,653m est.). Organic growth was a bit weaker at -1.5% versus -0.3% expected, reflecting bigger price decreases in poultry. Q4 sales in the poultry France division excluding...
>Décroissance organique du CA T4 de 1.5% vs -0.3%e en raison des effet prix plus négatifs. Les volumes se redressent pour le pôle volaille France de +5.5% - LDC a publié hier soir un CA T4 2023/24 proche de nos attentes. Les ventes ressortent en légère hausse de 1.6% à 1645.4 M€ (vs cons. 1648 M€ et 1653 M€e). La croissance organique est un peu plus faible à -1.5% contre -0.3% attendus, reflétant une baisse des prix plus élevée en volaille. Le CA T4 du pôle Volai...
La solidité de l’économie américaine et l’amélioration du sentiment macroéconomique en Europe nous conduisent à maintenir nos calls gagnants : long USA vs Europe et - en Europe - long Cycliques vs Défensives. Toujours en Europe, nous basculons long Value vs Growth et modifions en profondeur notre allocation sectorielle ; nous y intégrons également une analyse chartiste. Nos secteurs préférés sont : Banks, Financial Services, Insurance, Media, Energy, Industrial Goods & Services, Tra...
America’s solid economy and Europe’s improving macro sentiment have prompted us to reiterate our winning calls: long USA vs Europe and - within Europe - long Cyclicals vs Defensives. Also within Europe, we are switching to long Value vs Growth and have overhauled our sector allocation ; furthermore it nows incorporates a chart analysis. Our favourite sectors are as follows: Banks, Financial Services, Insurance, Media, Energy, Industrial Goods & Services, Travel & Leisure, Constructio...
>A reassuring message on the recovery but the strike had a major impact - Yesterday, CFO Pia Aaltonen-Forsell held a pre-close call during which she gave a relatively constructive message on the market, in line with the indications provided at the roadshow with ODDO BHF in February. Demand has clearly improved in the US in line with the economy as a whole even though the impact will only begin to be felt in Q2 and beyond. Indications are also fairly encouraging in Eur...
>Discours rassurant sur la reprise mais la grève a un lourd impact - La directrice financière Pia Aaltonen-Forsell a tenu hier un pre-close call dans lequel elle a tenu un discours plutôt constructif sur le marché en ligne avec les indications données lors du roadshow avec ODDO BHF en février. La demande s’améliore clairement aux Etats-Unis en ligne avec l’économie dans son ensemble même si les conséquences devraient se faire surtout sentir au T2 voire au S2. En Europ...
We maintain our Outperform rating with an updated (DCF based) price target of €50.5 per share (was €46). The improved (and better than expected) EBITA margin in Building Technology in H2 versus H1 (despite a 3% volume decline) gives us confidence that even with the expected volume headwind in 2024, Aalberts will be able to maintain margins close to the 2023 level with upside if the recovery starts in the latter part of 2024. In Industrial Technology we think Aalberts is overly cautiou...
We maintain our Outperform rating with an updated (DCF based) price target of €50.5 per share (was €46). The improved (and better than expected) EBITA margin in Building Technology in H2 versus H1 (despite a 3% volume decline) gives us confidence that even with the expected volume headwind in 2024, Aalberts will be able to maintain margins close to the 2023 level with upside if the recovery starts in the latter part of 2024. In Industrial Technology we think Aalberts is overly cautiou...
>Current trading in line with expectations at a soft but improving level - We hosted CFO Pia Aaltonen-Forsell and Head of IR Linda Hakkila on a road show in Paris in the wake of solid, above expectations Q4 results published earlier this month. Management confirmed that Q1 was trading in line with expectations, still anticipating a 5-15% q-o-q increase in stainless steel shipments and EBITDA in line with Q4 as higher volumes and stable pricing would likely be offset ...
>Current trading in line with expectations at a soft but improving level - We hosted CFO Pia Aaltonen-Forsell and Head of IR Linda Hakkila on a road show in Paris in the wake of solid, above expectations Q4 results published earlier this month. Management confirmed that Q1 was trading in line with expectations, still anticipating a 5-15% q-o-q increase in stainless steel shipments and EBITDA in line with Q4 as higher volumes and stable pricing would likely be offset ...
Against a backdrop of sluggish consumer spending and declining purchasing power, we believe LDC has what it takes to get through this period of uncertainty. The fall in raw material prices should give the group leeway to boost its volumes in 2024-25 while shielding its profitability. Strong FCF generation means it can easily finance its investments and make a more transformational acquisition if the opportunity arises. The recent fall in the share price should be seen an opportun...
Dans un contexte de consommation atone marquée par la baisse du pouvoir d’achat, nous pensons que LDC a des atouts pour traverser cette période d’incertitudes. La baisse des matières premières lui confère de la latitude pour redresser ses volumes en 2024/25 tout en préservant sa rentabilité. En outre, la forte génération de FCF lui permet aisément de financer ses investissements et de réaliser une acquisition plus transformante si l’opportunité se présente. La baisse récente du c...
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