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Jan Frederik Slijkerman ... (+5)
  • Jan Frederik Slijkerman
  • Jeroen van den Broek
  • Jesse Norcross
  • Nadège Tillier
  • Timothy Rahill

Coffee, Croissants & Credit/Orsted, Veolia, Vonovia, Aroundtown

Utilities - Orsted 1Q25: better operational performance but debt surges again. Veolia 1Q25: another strong quarter

Jan Frederik Slijkerman ... (+5)
  • Jan Frederik Slijkerman
  • Jeroen van den Broek
  • Nadège Tillier
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen
  • Timothy Rahill

Coffee, Croissants & Credit/Supply, Bank liquidity, Veolia and Enel

Strategy: Euro credit supply - Expect an increase in supply in May. USD credit supply - Very low YTD supply for financials

Jan Frederik Slijkerman ... (+5)
  • Jan Frederik Slijkerman
  • Jeroen van den Broek
  • Nadège Tillier
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen
  • Timothy Rahill

Coffee, Croissants & Credit/EDP and Veolia

Utilities: EDP: positive 2022 results are credit supportive. Veolia: 2022 results “at an all-time high” already priced in

Alyssa Gammoudy ... (+6)
  • Alyssa Gammoudy
  • Jan Frederik Slijkerman
  • Jeroen van den Broek
  • Nadège Tillier
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen
  • Timothy Rahill

Coffee, Croissants & Credit/USD Credit & Veolia

Strategy: Expected spread widening in USD credit, albeit limited

Alyssa Gammoudy ... (+6)
  • Alyssa Gammoudy
  • Jan Frederik Slijkerman
  • Jeroen van den Broek
  • Nadège Tillier
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen
  • Timothy Rahill

Coffee, Croissants & Credit/Veolia

Utilities: The EU Commission approves the Veolia/Suez merger with conditions

Alyssa Gammoudy ... (+6)
  • Alyssa Gammoudy
  • Jan Frederik Slijkerman
  • Jeroen van den Broek
  • Nadège Tillier
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen
  • Timothy Rahill

Coffee, Croissants & Credit/CSPP & PEPP, Veolia

Strategy: Combined corporate purchases under CSPP and PEPP total €13bn in past 2 months

Alyssa Gammoudy ... (+5)
  • Alyssa Gammoudy
  • Jeroen van den Broek
  • Nadège Tillier
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen
  • Timothy Rahill

Coffee, Croissants & Credit/Veolia and Suez

Utilities: Veolia and Suez: strong 1H21 recovery, value in VIEFP bonds

Alyssa Gammoudy ... (+4)
  • Alyssa Gammoudy
  • Jeroen van den Broek
  • Nadège Tillier
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen

Coffee, Croissants & Credit/TLTRO, Metro and Veolia

Financials: German, Italian and French banks record largest increases in TLTRO-III in March

Alyssa Gammoudy ... (+4)
  • Alyssa Gammoudy
  • Jeroen van den Broek
  • Nadège Tillier
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen
Alyssa Gammoudy ... (+4)
  • Alyssa Gammoudy
  • Jeroen van den Broek
  • Nadège Tillier
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen

Coffee, Croissants & Credit/Suez and Veolia

Utilities: Suez's offer to Veolia to end the deadlock is immediately rejected

Alyssa Gammoudy ... (+6)
  • Alyssa Gammoudy
  • Hendrik Wiersma
  • Jeroen van den Broek
  • Nadège Tillier
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen
  • Timothy Rahill
Alyssa Gammoudy ... (+6)
  • Alyssa Gammoudy
  • Hendrik Wiersma
  • Jeroen van den Broek
  • Nadège Tillier
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen
  • Timothy Rahill

Coffee, Croissants & Credit/UniCredit, Credit Suisse and Suez

Financials: UniCredit could name a new CEO already in February. Credit Suisse earnings to dip to a net loss in 4Q20

Alyssa Gammoudy ... (+6)
  • Alyssa Gammoudy
  • Hendrik Wiersma
  • Jeroen van den Broek
  • Nadège Tillier
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen
  • Timothy Rahill

Coffee, Croissants & Credit/UniCredit, EDF and Suez

Financials: UniCredit tries to calm investor concerns about its capital plans

Alyssa Gammoudy ... (+6)
  • Alyssa Gammoudy
  • Hendrik Wiersma
  • Jeroen van den Broek
  • Nadège Tillier
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen
  • Timothy Rahill

Coffee, Croissants & Credit/U.S. Election, UniCredit, Société Générale...

Strategy: Tighter spreads on back of potential election outcomes likely to be short lived

Nadège Tillier
  • Nadège Tillier

Utilities green bonds/There is more to green bonds than just a marketi...

With c.€19bn of green bonds issued in the first eight months of 2019, utilities are set to break their record of €21bn issuance for the full year of 2017. A number of utilities celebrated their first green instrument in 2019: A2A, EDP, E.ON and Vattenfall. A number of utilities returned to the green bond market: Duke Energy, Engie, EnBW, Enel, Hera, Iberdrola, MidAmerican Energy and Orsted. Since 2014, utilities across the globe have issued c.€77bn and have been the most active corporate s...

Nadège Tillier
  • Nadège Tillier

European utilities/Dry 2019 to be followed by a flood of supply

2019 will be one of the lowest years of bond supply in Euro for the IG utilities sector. As of today, there is almost nothing left to refinance this year. We would expect EUR bond issuance from Utilities to reach c.€29bn in 2019 (excluding potential US names) vs €34bn in 2018 and €44bn in 2017. The coming years offer a different picture though. From 2020 onwards, higher redemptions and capital expenditure should result in an abundance of bond supply. Redemptions will steadily pick up in th...

Louis Boujard ... (+3)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian

Veolia : Performance in line, guidance confirmed - why not have a nice...

>Recommendation and fair value unchanged - The market’s reaction to the H1 2018 release was in line with our expectations with some disappointment at the pace of growth in Q2 2018 vs the much headier trend seen in Q1 2018. Nevertheless, there was less of a contraction in the second quarter than the raw data suggest. Moreover, management seemed fairly confident when it confirmed its guidance, which bears out the group's capacity to reach or even beat its 2018 targets. ...

Louis Boujard ... (+3)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian

Veolia : Une performance en ligne, des guidances réaffirmées, pourqu...

>Recommandation et « fair value » inchangées - La réaction du marché à l’issue de de la publication du S1 18 a été conforme à nos attentes avec une certaine déception sur la croissance affichée au T2 18 par rapport à la tendance nettement plus flamboyante du T1 18. Toutefois, ce deuxième trimestre n’est pas aussi en recul que les chiffres bruts le montrent. Par ailleurs, la réaffirmation des guidances par le management avec un certain degré de confiance confirme la ca...

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