reports
- Stephane Foucaud
- Stephane Foucaud
AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 01/03/2024
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of £A$0.65 per share: High impact well spud in Austria - The Welchau-1 gas exploration well was spudded on 24 February. Calima Energy (CE1 AU)C; target price of A$0.13 per share: Completing divestment of Blackspur – Blackspur has been sold for A$81.6 mm, after tax provisions and net debt adjustments. Calima will distribute A$80 mm (~A$12.6 per share) as dividends. The distribution is well above the m...
EGY VAALCO ENERGY INC.
TXP TOUCHSTONE EXPLORATION
PXT PAREX RESOURCES INC.
AOI. AFRICA OIL
ALVOF ALVOPETRO ENERGY LTD
AEX AMINEX
PEN PANORO ENERGY ASA
RBD REABOLD RESOURCES
MAHA A MAHA ENERGY
UOG UNITED OIL & GAS
GKP GULF KEYSTONE PETROLEUM LTD.
CE1 CALIMA ENERGY
KOS KOSMOS ENERGY LTD.
BWE BW ENERGY
I3E I3 ENERGY
SEPLAT SEPLAT ENERGY PLC
WDS WOODSIDE PETROLEUM LTD
HUI HYDROGEN UTOPIA INTERNATIONAL PLC
MEN MOLECULAR ENERGIES PLC
SEAPT NO SEACREST PETROLEO BERMUDA - SEAPT NO
PLSR CN PULSAR HELIUM INC.
ADX ADX ENERGY LTD
BCE BEACON ENERGY PLC
HEVI HELIUM EVOLUTION
MCFNF INC. (HEVI)
MCF ENERGY LTD
- Stephane Foucaud
Auctus on Friday - 02/02/2024
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$0.65 per share: Operations on track – 4Q23 production was 218 boe/d as Anshof did not contribute to production during the quarter (in line with previous indications). Commercial production at Anshof is expected to restart in March after the commissioning of a permanent production facility. ADX held ~A$8 mm in cash as at YE23. Drilling at the high impact Welchau-1 well targeting between 365 bcf an...
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
OMV OMV AG
CAD CADOGAN PETROLEUM
CHAR CHARIOT OIL & GAS
EME EMPYREAN ENERGY
DELT DELTIC ENERGY
UJO UNION JACK OIL
PMG PARKMEAD GROUP
GKP GULF KEYSTONE PETROLEUM LTD.
DGOC DIVERSIFIED GAS & OIL
CE1 CALIMA ENERGY
CORO CORO ENERGY
JSE JADESTONE ENERGY
RHC ROYAL HELIUM LTD
RDSA ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC
TRIN TRINITY EXPLORATION & PRODUCTION
ORCA ORCADIAN ENERGY PLC
LBE LONGBOAT ENERGY PLC
NOG NOSTRUM OIL & GAS PLC
SEAPT NO SEACREST PETROLEO BERMUDA - SEAPT NO
PLSR CN PULSAR HELIUM INC.
ADX ADX ENERGY LTD
BNL BLUE STAR HELIUM LTD
- Stephane Foucaud
Auctus on Friday - 12/01/2024
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$0.65 per share: Closing new farm-out transaction with MND/Amendment of agreement for Welchau farmout – The farm-out of 50% economic interest in a part of the ADX-AT-I licence has been completed and ADX has received EUR0.45 mm from MND for back costs payments. MND will fund EUR4.5 mm for exploration drilling. ADX and MND currently intend to drill either the LICHT or the IRR gas exploration prospec...
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
A2PAZ7 TETHYS PETROLEUM
CNE. CANACOL ENERGY LTD
OMV OMV AG
AOI. AFRICA OIL
SEI. SINTANA ENERGY
PEN PANORO ENERGY ASA
UKOG UK OIL & GAS PLC
MAHA A MAHA ENERGY
SLE SAN LEON ENERGY
CE1 CALIMA ENERGY
BWE BW ENERGY
AXL. ARROW EXPLORATION LTD
SDX SDX ENERGY
TAL PETROTAL (TAL)
RDSA ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC
TRIN TRINITY EXPLORATION & PRODUCTION
ADX ADX ENERGY LTD
- Stephane Foucaud
Calima Energy Ltd (ASX: CE1): Selling Blackspur
• Calima is selling Blackspur for ~A$83.3 mm (C$75 mm) in cash to Astara Energy. The final sale proceeds received by Calima will be adjusted on a dollar-for-dollar basis to the extent Blackspur’s net debt exceeds C$0. Blackspur's net debt is anticipated at closing to be approximately ~C$2-2.5 mm, resulting in a net cash payment on closing of ~A$80-81 mm. • Calima Energy has ~A$4.1 mm in cash which remains with Calima together with a A$0.4 mm bond with BCOGC. • The company will also retain the Pa...
- Stephane Foucaud
Auctus on Friday - 03/11/2023
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$0.80 per share: On Track to start drilling in early November - 3Q23 production of 324 boe/d and cash of A$5.7 mm at the end of September were near our expectations. This includes 101 bbl/d gross production for Anshof that was shut-in on 19 September after reaching the regulatory limit for test production. Until that date the Anshof-3 well produced at a stable rate of 114 bbl/d, which is above the...
GTE GRAN TIERRA ENERGY
CVX CHEVRON CORPORATION
OMV OMV AG
CASP CASPIAN SUNRISE
CHAR CHARIOT OIL & GAS
XOM EXXON MOBIL CORPORATION
CE1 CALIMA ENERGY
ZPHR ZEPHYR ENERGY
SDX SDX ENERGY
RDSA ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC
SOUC SOUTHERN ENERGY CORP
TCF TRILLION ENERGY INTERNATIONAL INC. (TCF)
ADX ADX ENERGY LTD
IVZ INVICTUS ENERGY
BP. BP PLC
- Stephane Foucaud
Calima Energy Ltd (ASX: CE1): High production in 4Q23 and 1Q24
• 3Q23 production was 3,683 boe/d, slightly below the company’s guidance due to maintenance, turn-around operations at two of the production facilities and unscheduled downhole maintenance on pumping equipment on a few of the more productive wells. We forecasted 3,890 boe/d. • This is more than offset by the high current production of ~4,100 boe/d following Pisces 10 and 11 being brought into production. Pisces 11 continues to clean up with Pisces 12 due to commence production in November. Cali...
- Stephane Foucaud
Auctus on Friday - 20/10/2023
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$0.80 per share: Two high impact wells to commence drilling by YE23 – ADX is expected to start drilling the Anshof-2 appraisal well in November. The well is targeting 4.9 mmboe possible reserves (net to ADX). Anshof is also estimated to hold 5.5 mmboe net 3C contingent resources (net to ADX). The Anshof-2 well is anticipated to be onstream together with the existing Anshof-3 well in 1H24. The Ansh...
EGY VAALCO ENERGY INC.
MSMN MOSMAN OIL AND GAS
CNE. CANACOL ENERGY LTD
WPL WOODSIDE PETROLEUM LTD
SEI. SINTANA ENERGY
PEN PANORO ENERGY ASA
DNO DNO ASA CLASS A
MAHA A MAHA ENERGY
CE1 CALIMA ENERGY
ZPHR ZEPHYR ENERGY
OKEA OKEA
AXL. ARROW EXPLORATION LTD
TAL PETROTAL (TAL)
SOUC SOUTHERN ENERGY CORP
PLSR CN PULSAR HELIUM INC.
ADX ADX ENERGY LTD
BNL BLUE STAR HELIUM LTD
- Stephane Foucaud
Auctus on Friday - 06/10/2023
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Calima Energy (CE1 AU)C; target price of A$0.45 per share: Operating update in Canada – The 3-well Pisces drilling programme has now been completed. The wells have been drilled under budget. The Pisces#10 well is already in production and the production performance is in line with the Pisces#6 and Pisces#7 wells that delivered production significantly above the typical glauconitic production curve. Peak production at these new wells is...
XOP. CANADIAN OVERSEAS PETROLEUM LT
FP TOTAL SE
EOG EUROPA OIL & GAS (HOLDINGS) PLC
GPRK GEOPARK
ENI ENI S.P.A.
REP REPSOL SA
ALVOF ALVOPETRO ENERGY LTD
VLE VALEURA ENERGY INC.
MAHA A MAHA ENERGY
DGOC DIVERSIFIED GAS & OIL
CE1 CALIMA ENERGY
ZPHR ZEPHYR ENERGY
OKEA OKEA
I3E I3 ENERGY
SOUC SOUTHERN ENERGY CORP
PNOR PETRONOR E&P LTD
CEQ CRITERIUM ENERGY LTD.
IGAS IGAS ENERGY
- Stephane Foucaud
Auctus on Friday - 15/09/2023
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C: target price of £0.55 per share: Tripling 2P reserves at Tapir – The 2P reserves at Carrizales Norte (net to Arrow) have been estimated at 3.92 mmbbl with an 3P upside case of 6.62 mmbbl (1.82 mmbbl of 1P reserves). The 2P reserves at Carrizales Norte are ~2x larger than at Rio Crave Este with overall net 2P reserves at Tapir increased to ~6 mmbbl. The 2P reserves at Carrizales Norte are also 2x the pre ...
EOG EUROPA OIL & GAS (HOLDINGS) PLC
TLW TULLOW OIL PLC
CNE CAIRN ENERGY PLC
PEN PANORO ENERGY ASA
IOG INDEPENDENT OIL & GAS
PHAR PHAROS ENERGY
MAHA A MAHA ENERGY
CE1 CALIMA ENERGY
PTAL PETROTAL
AXL. ARROW EXPLORATION LTD
ITH ITHACA ENERGY PLC
LBE LONGBOAT ENERGY PLC
SEY AFENTRA (PREVIOUSLY
IGAS STERLING ENERGY)
IGAS ENERGY
- Stephane Foucaud
Calima Energy Ltd (ASX: CE1): Re-iterating production guidance
• Pisces#10, the first well of a 2H23 three well campaign, has reached TD. This is a follow up to the highly successful Pisces #6 and #7. • The company will now drill Pisces#11, the second well of the programme. • The wells continue to be expected to reach peak production in December (post fracture stimulation). • Pisces #10 and #11 are on-lease tie-ins. Pisces #12 requires a 2.2 km pipeline and, once sufficient testing and fluid confirmation has occurred, will be shut-in to await pipeline and f...
- Stephane Foucaud
Auctus on Friday - 01/09/2023
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C: target price of A$0.08 per share: Funding from the Austrian Science Fund to collaborate on study at Welchau – The Austrian Science Fund will fund a scientific project in the Welchau area to better understand the geology of the area. An Environment Sustainability project will also be conducted by a group of experts funded by ADX. The project budget is A$0.75 mm to which the Austrian Science Fund will contribute A$0...
ADX ADX ENERGY
BPV BAHAMAS PETROLEUM CO. PLC
GKP GULF KEYSTONE PETROLEUM LTD.
MAY MELBANA ENERGY LIMITED
DGOC DIVERSIFIED GAS & OIL
CE1 CALIMA ENERGY
JSE JADESTONE ENERGY
AXL. ARROW EXPLORATION LTD
SDX SDX ENERGY
I3E I3 ENERGY
RDSA ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC
PNOR PETRONOR E&P LTD
LBE LONGBOAT ENERGY PLC
- Stephane Foucaud
Calima Energy Ltd (ASX: CE1): Selling the Montney assets. Increasing d...
• Calima has sold its Montney acreage and its Tommy Lakes facilities to Advantage Energy for A$11.4 mm. Calima will also be returned an operating bond of A$0.4 mm. The proceeds represent ~A$0.02 per share. • While this is less than what we carried for the asset (A$0.04 per share), the transaction reflects (1) the continued low gas price in North-East British Columbia, (2) very weak equity markets and (3) the required minimum capital programme spend (C$50-100 mm) to develop the Montney assets is ...
- Stephane Foucaud
Auctus on Friday - 04/08/2023
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$0.10 per share: Growing production. New Anshof well to be spudded in September - 2Q23 production was 317 boe/d reaching 366 boe/d in June and including ~115 bbl/d at Anshof. Anshof-3 production performance continues to exceed expectations with strong pressure support and deliverability with no water production. Work-over activities at Zistersdorf and Gaiselberg (Vienna basin) in mid-August are ex...
CNE. CANACOL ENERGY LTD
GENL GENEL ENERGY
ENI ENI S.P.A.
PXT PAREX RESOURCES INC.
ADX ADX ENERGY
CASP CASPIAN SUNRISE
CHAR CHARIOT OIL & GAS
PEN PANORO ENERGY ASA
IOG INDEPENDENT OIL & GAS
MAHA A MAHA ENERGY
BP. BP P.L.C.
CE1 CALIMA ENERGY
JSE JADESTONE ENERGY
TCF TRILLION ENERGY INTERNATIONAL INC. (TCF)
GTE GRAN TIERRA ENERGY INC.
PRD PREDATOR OIL & GAS HOLDINGS PLC
- Stephane Foucaud
Calima Energy Ltd (ASX: CE1): Increasing dividend distribution to ~10%...
Increasing dividend distribution to ~10% yield • 2Q23 production was 4,152 boe/d, above the estimates provided previously (4,125 boe/d). • The J2J waterflood programme has added 130 bbl/d production, which we view as very encouraging since rolling out the waterflood programme to the rest of the asset could have a positive impact on recovery factors and reserves. • The Pisces #8 and #9 wells continue to outperform with production 15% above the type curve. As of the end of July, Pisces #8 and Pisc...
- Stephane Foucaud
Auctus on Friday - 30/06/2023
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$0.100 per share: Exploration portfolio update in Austria: larger volume, lower risk – The exploration portfolio in Upper Austria is now estimated to hold 213 mmboe of best technical prospective resources (previously 200 mmboe) in 20 prospects. The importance of the upgrade is as much about risk reduction as it is about resources increase. The expansion of the portfolio also provides new opportuni...
TXP TOUCHSTONE EXPLORATION
SOU SOUND ENERGY PLC
ENI ENI S.P.A.
ALVOF ALVOPETRO ENERGY LTD
OYL CGX ENERGY INC.
ADX ADX ENERGY
CASP CASPIAN SUNRISE
IOG INDEPENDENT OIL & GAS
SQZ SERICA ENERGY
FEC FRONTERA ENERGY CORP
DGOC DIVERSIFIED GAS & OIL
CE1 CALIMA ENERGY
ZPHR ZEPHYR ENERGY
JSE JADESTONE ENERGY
I3E I3 ENERGY
RHC ROYAL HELIUM LTD
TRIN TRINITY CAPITAL INC
PNOR PETRONOR E&P LTD
MEN MOLECULAR ENERGIES PLC
NOG NOSTRUM OIL & GAS PLC
PRD PREDATOR OIL & GAS HOLDINGS PLC
- Stephane Foucaud
Calima Energy Ltd (ASX: CE1): Asset sale not proceeding. High free cas...
• While Calima received three unsolicited offers from Canadian entities to acquire assets from the company at a premium to Calima’s current market cap, the preferred transaction could not complete due to the volatility of the equity market. • Calima indicated that the rationale for Canadian entities to consider Calima’s assets as an attractive target was the disconnect between the earnings multiples at which Calima shares trade in Australia (~1.5x P/E for 2023 on our forecasts) and similar Canad...
- Stephane Foucaud
Auctus on Friday - 05/05/2023
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C: Target price of A$0.100 per share: 1Q23 in line with expectations. Growing production at Anshof – 1Q23 production was 299 boe/d including 88 bbl/d for Anshof. In March net production from Anshof has increased to 94 bbl/d. Overall net production in March including the Zistersdorf & Gaiselberg fields (Z&G) was 336 boe/d. Additional site storage is planned to be installed at the Anshof-3 well location in June which ...
GTE GRAN TIERRA ENERGY
CNE. CANACOL ENERGY LTD
CNE CAIRN ENERGY PLC
REP REPSOL SA
AOI. AFRICA OIL
ALVOF ALVOPETRO ENERGY LTD
ENW ENWELL ENERGY
ADX ADX ENERGY
CHAR CHARIOT OIL & GAS
PEN PANORO ENERGY ASA
IOG INDEPENDENT OIL & GAS
VLE VALEURA ENERGY INC.
FEC FRONTERA ENERGY CORP
BP. BP P.L.C.
CE1 CALIMA ENERGY
OKEA OKEA
AXL. ARROW EXPLORATION LTD
RDSA ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC
HHR HARTSHEAD RESOURCES NL
LBE LONGBOAT ENERGY PLC
- Stephane Foucaud
Calima Energy Ltd (ASX: CE1): Better than expected performance. A$3 mm...
• 1Q23 production was 4,532 boe/d slightly higher than previous indications (~4,500 boe/d) and our initial expectations (4,378 boe/d) given the strong performance of recent wells. • The 1Q23 financials were in line with the latest guidance. • 2Q23 production is expected to be ~4,200 boe/d. This is higher than we anticipated (3,935 boe/d) given the better-than-expected performance of the recently completed Pisces #8 and #9 wells. These wells were tied-in late in 1Q23 and were ~22% longer and had...
- Stephane Foucaud
Calima Energy Ltd (ASX: CE1): Replacing over 100% of produced reserves
• YE22 net 2P reserves have been estimated at 20.5 mmboe (net of royalty), up 1% compared to YE21. This suggests that Calima has added ~1.3 mmboe net reserves in 2022 (~+6% versus YE21). • The overall development plan associated with the 2P reserves is based on only 54 wells, including 30 wells at Brooks and the balance at Thorsby. • Net 2P reserves at Brooks have increased from ~10 mmboe at YE21 to 10.2 mmboe at YE22 given the very good results in the shallow Glauconitic and Sunburst reservoir...
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