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Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud
FP TOTAL SE
OMV OMV AG ... (+11)

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 30/05/2025

Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; Target price of £0.70 per share: Gearing-up for acquisitions? – 1Q25 production was 4,085 boe/d with no horizontal wells drilled in the period. RCE is more mature than CN and while no drilling has taken place at RCE, the decline rate between 4Q24 and 1Q25 was only ~5%. 1Q25 Production was constrained by increased water production preventing the company increasing the speed of the pumps at some of its producing wells. The increased amount of produced water increase...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

Zephyr Energy Plc (AIM: ZPHR): Paradox Resources boost following inter...

• The analysis of the well test result at well 36-2R suggests recoverable resources of 0.84-1.24 mmboe for the 4,000 feet lateral. The reservoir characteristics are consistent across the length of the lateral with consistent contribution from the reservoir matrix to the flow rate. Extrapolating these results across a longer lateral of 10,000 to 15,000 feet suggests recoverable volumes per well of 9 bcf to 37.5 bcf with a condensate yield of 20-60 bbl/mmcf. The base case is 15-17 bcf (plus conden...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 16/05/2025

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Chariot (CHAR LN)C: Recovering 75% WI of licences in Morocco – Energean has returned its Moroccan offshore interests to Chariot. As a result, Chariot now holds 75% in the Lixus Offshore and Rissana Offshore licences. Condor Energies (CDR CN)C; Target price of C$5.90 per share: Acquiring a LNG facility for Kazakhstan to deliver first LNG sale in 2Q26 – 1Q25 production in Uzbekistan was 11,179 boe/d (+6% vs. production in 4Q24). Condor ...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

Zephyr Energy Plc (AIM: ZPHR): Private equity funding unlocks growth i...

• Zephyr has secured a US$100 mm drilling funding agreement with a US private equity firm to enable growth in its non-operated asset portfolio in the Williston Basin. The structure appears to be similar to a “DrillCo”, in which the investor will fund up to 100% of Zephyr’s drillex on a case by case basis. The agreement covers drilling on future well acquisitions but also could apply to new wells proposed on the Zephyr’s existing acreage. • The funding should enable Zephyr to scale production in ...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 09/05/2025

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Panoro Energy (PEN NO)C; Target price of NOK49 per share: ~12 mbbl/d in 1Q25. Re-iterating FY25 guidance – 1Q25 production was ~12 mbbl/d, including 6,841 bbl/d in Gabon, 3,661 bbl/d in Equatorial Guinea and 1,492 bbl/d in Tunisia. Production in Gabon and Equatorial Guinea was previously reported by BW Energy and Kosmos Energy. Equatorial Guinea output was temporarily impacted by unplanned downtime at the Ceiba Cluster, but operations ...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

Zephyr Energy Plc (AIM: ZPHR): Well test success unblocks the Paradox

• The State 36-2 well achieved peak rates of 2,848 boe/d, including 856 bbl/d of oil, on a small 18/64 choke. During a separate, 48-hour phase of testing on an 8/64 choke, production ranged between 700-1,066 boe/d, with 200-400 bbl/d of oil. Importantly, there was no material drop in bottomhole pressure in either test, confirming that sustained production at these levels is feasible long-term. Zephyr highlighted that well deliverability is more than sufficient for commercial operations. • In add...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 11/04/2025

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/ CN)C; Target price of £0.70 per share: Stable production, 10% cash increase – Net production is currently exceeding 4.5 mboe/d, consistent with January levels. The CN HZ10 well, located in the northern area of the CN field, commenced production on 31 March, delivering 1,183 bbl/d of oil (591 bbl/d net to Arrow) with a 21% water cut from the Ubaque reservoir. The well is in the process of cleaning up, with the water cut gradually decreasing. The CN ...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 14/03/2025

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; Target price of £0.80 per share: Reserves increase showcases FY24 drilling success – YE24 2P and 3P reserves are estimated at 13.6 mmboe and 22.3 mmboe, respectively. This represents an increase of 15% and 25%, respectively vs. YE23. Adding back FY24 production of 1.3 mmboe, the 2024 activity program has added approximately 2.8 mmboe of 2P reserves and 5.3 mmboe of 3P reserves at Tapir (overall increase ...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

Zephyr Energy Plc (AIM: ZPHR): Key Paradox well test results expected ...

• FY24 sales volumes averaged 1,149 boe/d including 139 bbl/d of NGL. The NGL sales were higher than we were anticipating (~100 bbl/d) but FY24 production of 1,052 boe/d was impacted by downtime experienced in the Williston Basin in 4Q24 due to extreme weather in the area. 4Q24 net production was 829 boe/d (plus NGL that we estimate at 90-100 bbl/d). • In the Paradox basin, 97% of the lateral in the State 36-2 LNW-CC-R well was drilled in the Cane Creek reservoir with elevated mud gas levels. ...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 21/02/2025

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Condor Energies (CDR CN)C; Target price of C$5.60 per share: Very high flow rate at bypassed zone boosts production and unlocks reserves - A potential bypassed 60 m gas pay section, identified using advanced cased-hole logging tools and reprocessed existing 3-D seismic data, was put in production over a 23 m perforated interval at a rate of 1,100 boe/d, increasing to 1,300 boe/d over the past five days as the completion fluid has been ...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 24/01/2025

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; Target price of A$0.30 per share: Historic permit award in Italy opens a new growth area - ADX has been offered and accepted the “d 363 C.R-.AX” permit in the Sicily Channel, offshore Italy, covering a maximum area of 346 km2. ADX applied for the permit in 2018, but the moratorium on awarding new exploration blocks in Italy was only lifted last year. ADX will become a licensed operator in Italy as well as Austria ...

Hybridan Team
  • Hybridan Team

Small Cap Feast

Admissions: None Delistings: Britvic (BVIC.L) has left the Main Market following its takeover by Carlsberg. Potential** Initial Public Offerings: Cardiogeni PLC has announced its intention to IPO on the AQSE Growth Market. The Group’s platform technology is developing a new class of life-saving cellular medicines that enables the creation of unique (living) cells that are engineered with a therapeutic function. The Group’s lead product, CLXR-001, is a patented engineered cellular medicine to tre...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 10/01/2025

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/ CN)C; Target price of £0.80 per share: Flow rate in line with expectations at AB-1. Two more appraisal wells in January - The AB-1 (Alberta Llanos) exploration well is now on production at an oil rate of 658 bbl/d gross (329 bbl/d net) with 49% water cut from 62 feet of net pay in the Ubaque. The IP rate is in line with the expectations set out in the company’s September corporate presentation (321 bbl/d net)...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 20/12/2024

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; Target price of £0.80 per share: Material discovery at Alberta Llanos - The AB-1 (Alberta Llanos) exploration well has encountered four main hydrocarbon bearing reservoirs with a total true vertical depth of 121 feet, including the C7, Gacheta, Guadalupe, and Ubaque formations. The main pre-drill targets were the C7 and the Ubaque formations. The Gacheta and Guadalupe formations carried a higher risk, an...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

Zephyr Energy Plc (AIM: ZPHR): Funding secured for the Paradox

• Zephyr has now entered into binding documentation to fully-fund all expected drilling, completion and production test costs for the 5,500 ft extension and acidization of the State 36-2R well. The funding has increased to US$7.5 mm (US$7.0 mm previously). • In return, the funding partner will earn a 50% WI in the well. The wellbore investor will cover its pro rata portion of the well's operating and overhead costs. Net revenues from the well will be split 50:50 between Zephyr and the wellbore i...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 06/12/2024

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Chariot (CHAR LN)C; Target price of £0.08 per share: US$100 mm guarantees highlight the value of the South Africa energy trading business - British International Investment (BII) and GuarantCo have announced a US$100 mm guarantee finance facility for Etana Energy, the South African electricity trading platform which is owned and was co-founded by Chariot (49%) and H1 Holdings (51%). Etana is one of the few companies holding an electric...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 18/10/2024

We have launched our new website with a revamped research portal – Home | Auctus Advisors. We’d be very interested to receive any feedback you may have. AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Criterium Energy (CEQ CN)C; Target price C$0.35 per share: Encouraging drilling results. Decreasing opex – Production to date in October is 950 bbl/d, the same level as reported on 24 September. The MGH-43 well has encountered 41 m of prospective gross sand intervals with good to exc...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 11/10/2024

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ GeoPark (GPRK US)C; Target price US$26 per share: Downtime and blockades continue to impact production. All eyes on Argentina – 3Q24 production was 33,215 boe/d with production in Colombia still impacted by downtime and blockades (we expected 34.6 mboe/d). Production at Llanos-34 continues to decline. Production in Brazil remains shut-in. GeoPark had highlighted these downside risks in August. This was partially offset by (1) high prod...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

Zephyr Energy Plc (AIM: ZPHR): Paradox well to be lengthened. Potentia...

• Zephyr has decided to extend the State 36-2R well in the Paradox basin by drilling a 5,500 ft lateral on the well. • We are not surprised by this decision given that the acid job performed on the existing 130 ft interval was very successful with peak test production of >2,100 boe/d. • Zephyr believes that the ultimate recovery of the extended well could reach 2 mmboe, which is well above what would have been recovered from the 130 ft interval. • The 5,500 ft lateral is expected to cost ~US$7 ...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 27/09/2024

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; Target price £0.70 per share: Another horizontal well with high flow rate – The fourth horizontal well at Carrizales Notre (CNB HZ-5) has been put on production at a gross oil rate of 2.7 mbbl/d (1.35 mbbl/d net to Arrow) with a water cut of 11%. This flow rate compares favourably with CNB HZ-4 that was put on production at a gross oil rate of >2.5 mbbl/d (8% water cut). Overall gross oil production fro...

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