reports
- Stephane Foucaud
Zephyr Energy Plc (AIM: ZPHR): Initial investment through US$100 mm pa...
• The first investment under the US$100 mm Zephyr Hawk partnership has been approved, comprising a US$2.5 mm commitment fully funded by Zephyr’s partner. The investment secures a share in a work programme targeting up to 13 wells. • Zephyr estimates life-of-well undiscounted cashflows of ~US$1.8 mm, net to its interest. • This marks the first in a series of similar transactions. Even assuming a conservative NPV10 of 30–50% of the undiscounted cashflow, the US$2.5 mm investment by the funding par...
- Stephane Foucaud
AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 10/10/2025
Please click here to access the financial metrics for Auctus' coverage universe AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Serica Energy (SQZ LN)C; Target price of £3.05 per share: Another operational setback at Triton; value and distribution profile intact – Operational issues with the flare system at the Triton FPSO have resulted in a temporary suspension of production. Production is likely to restart shortly at very low rates until the root cause is identified and resolved...
FP TOTAL SE
OMV OMV AG
REP REPSOL SA
ALVOF ALVOPETRO ENERGY LTD
ENW ENWELL ENERGY
AEX AMINEX
RBD REABOLD RESOURCES
VLE VALEURA ENERGY INC.
SQZ SERICA ENERGY
ZPHR ZEPHYR ENERGY
PNOR PETRONOR E&P LTD
J4V VAR ENERGI ASA
BCE BEACON ENERGY PLC
HEVI HELIUM EVOLUTION
UKOG INC. (HEVI)
SHELL UK OIL & GAS PLC
ROYAL DUTCH SHELL
- Stephane Foucaud
Zephyr Energy Plc (AIM: ZPHR): ~35 mmboe net 2P reserves in the Parado...
• Zephyr is estimated to hold 35.2 mmboe net 2P reserves (net of royalty) and 74.2 mmboe 3P plus contingent resources in the Paradox. The 2P case assumes 12 drilling locations, including 3 existing wells. These volumes are materially higher than in the 2022 CPR (25x for 2P) and align with the May management estimates (25.6–89.5 mmboe vs. 35.2–74.2 mmboe in the new CPR’s 2P–3P+2C range). The 3P+2C case includes 11 additional locations (further from the existing wells) vs. the 2P case. • The CPR a...
- Stephane Foucaud
AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 03/10/2025
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; Target price of £0.40 per share: Dry hole at Mateguafa Oeste but three more prospects to drill – The Mateguafa Oeste was water wet. Our ReNAV for the well was £0.09 per share. We did not carry any production from this prospect in our cash flow forecast. The rig will now move to Mateguafa Attic where the Mateguafa 5 vertical well will be drilled in November. This is a low risk well that is a step out to M...
TLW TULLOW OIL PLC
TXP TOUCHSTONE EXPLORATION
ENI ENI S.P.A.
PXT PAREX RESOURCES INC.
ENW ENWELL ENERGY
SQZ SERICA ENERGY
MATD PETRO MATAD
XOM EXXON MOBIL CORPORATION
BP. BP P.L.C.
ZPHR ZEPHYR ENERGY
JSE JADESTONE ENERGY
CRCL CORCEL
AXL. ARROW EXPLORATION LTD
J4V VAR ENERGI ASA
UKOG UK OIL & GAS PLC
PLSR PULSAR HELIUM INC.
- Stephane Foucaud
Zephyr Energy Plc (AIM: ZPHR): All eyes on upcoming CPR for the Parado...
• 2Q25 sales (excluding NGLs) averaged 632 boe/d, reflecting continued operator-imposed constraints on the six Slawson wells due to prevailing low commodity prices. Aggregate production from these wells in 1H25 was 141 boe/d, below management’s forecast of 214 boe/d. Importantly, there are no reservoir integrity concerns. With the recent completion of a production acquisition which has added approximately 380 moe/d from June, and the potential for the Slawson wells to come back online, we believ...
- Stephane Foucaud
AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 29/08/2025
Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; Target price of £0.50 per share: High impact exploration drilling in 2H25 – 2Q25 production averaged 3,768 boe/d, impacted by water handling constraints and steeper-than-anticipated early declines at newly drilled wells. Current WI production stands at ~4,200 boe/d, down from the July peak of 4,600–4,800 boe/d, which reflected initial flush output from AB-HZ5 and AB-HZ4. While first-month decline rates are steep, Arrow has observed that post-month-one declines are...
ALVOF ALVOPETRO ENERGY LTD
KAR KAROON GAS AUSTRALIA LTD.
SAVE SAVANNAH ENERGY
GKP GULF KEYSTONE PETROLEUM LTD.
ZPHR ZEPHYR ENERGY
AXL. ARROW EXPLORATION LTD
PXEN PROSPEX ENERGY PLC
CEQ CRITERIUM ENERGY LTD.
NOG NOSTRUM OIL & GAS PLC
IVZ INVICTUS ENERGY
HEVI HELIUM EVOLUTION
INC. (HEVI)
- Stephane Foucaud
Zephyr Energy Plc (AIM: ZPHR): Completing Rockies acquisition with low...
• Zephyr has completed the acquisition of its new Rockies portfolio. On closing, the company divested a small package of newly acquired operated wells in North Dakota and Wyoming to a neighbouring private upstream operator for US$0.7 mm in cash. The buyer also assumed approximately US$0.8 mm in predominantly near-term plugging and abandonment liabilities that Zephyr would otherwise have incurred within the next year. • Post-divestment, the net acquisition is expected to contribute 388 boe/d of ...
- Hybridan Team
- Jon Levinson
Hybridan Small Cap Feast: 30/07/2025
30th July 2025 @HybridanLLP Status of this Note and Disclaimer This document has been provided as a general market commentary and is issued to you by Hybridan LLP for information purposes only and should not be construed in any circumstances as investment advice; a recommendation; an offer to sell; nor solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument. Nor shall it, or the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract re...
- Stephane Foucaud
AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 18/07/2025
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; Target price of £0.70 per share: AB wells deliver flow rates above expectations – Current production ranges between 4,600 and 4,800 bbl/d driven by strong performance from two new horizontal wells at Alberta Llanos (AB). AB-HZ5, onstream for ~2 weeks, is producing 1,790 bbl/d (895 bbl/d net to Arrow), while AB-HZ4, online for over a month, continues to produce 880 bbl/d (440 bbl/d net). Both wells are ou...
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
GPRK GEOPARK
OMV OMV AG
TXP TOUCHSTONE EXPLORATION
GENL GENEL ENERGY
SEY STERLING ENERGY PLC
ENI ENI S.P.A.
SEI. SINTANA ENERGY
PEN PANORO ENERGY ASA
ENQ ENQUEST PLC
SNM SHAMARAN PETROLEUM CORP.
PHAR PHAROS ENERGY
GKP GULF KEYSTONE PETROLEUM LTD.
ZEN ZENITH ENERGY
BP. BP P.L.C.
CNE CANACOL ENERGY LTD
ZPHR ZEPHYR ENERGY
OKEA OKEA
JSE JADESTONE ENERGY
BWE BW ENERGY
CRCL CORCEL
AXL. ARROW EXPLORATION LTD
TAL PETROTAL (TAL)
- Stephane Foucaud
Zephyr Energy Plc (AIM: ZPHR): Refining the path to first production i...
• The Paradox initial processing capacity is envisaged to be able to handle 5-10 mmcf/d. Our base case assumes a conservative 5 mmcf/d, although throughput capacity is expected to increase with the tie-in of additional wells, including 16-2LN-CC and 28-11. Notably, the plant’s initial capacity is below the production potential of the 36-2R well. • The light condensate (52–60° API) produced is expected to command a premium over benchmark crudes, given its suitability for blending with lower-qual...
- Stephane Foucaud
AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 04/07/2025
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Chariot (CHAR LN)C; Under review: Potential demerger – The management of Chariot is considering splitting the company in two entities, one focusing on upstream oil and gas and the other on renewable power. The latter will also house the hydrogen and water assets. Pending further details, we are placing the company under review. New Zealand Energy (NZ CN)C: Operating update in New Zealand. Equity raise – The copper Moki-2 well has bee...
- Stephane Foucaud
Zephyr Energy Plc (AIM: ZPHR): Equity raise for Rocky Mountain acquisi...
• Zephyr has raised £10.5 mm of new equity at £0.03 per share. The proceeds of the raise will fund (1) a £5.4 mm acquisition of 0.6 mmboe 2P and ~400 boe/d net production in the Rocky Mountains and (2) working capital and capex through to first production at its flagship Paradox Basin development. • The acquisition includes working interests in a portfolio of over 400 wells, with 21 to be operated by Zephyr. It also brings near-term PUD upside across 20,000+ acres, including 17 drilled but uncom...
- Stephane Foucaud
AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 27/06/2025
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ New Zealand Energy (NZ CN)C: Financial update – New Zealand has received short term loans totalling C$0.48 mm from Charlestown Energy Partners and a company controlled by New Zealand’s Chairman. The loans, which were issued with an original issuance discount of 10%. are unsecured and non-convertible, with interest payable at 15% per annum and repayment is due on August 27, 2025, The company now intends to complete a private placement. ...
- Stephane Foucaud
AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 30/05/2025
Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; Target price of £0.70 per share: Gearing-up for acquisitions? – 1Q25 production was 4,085 boe/d with no horizontal wells drilled in the period. RCE is more mature than CN and while no drilling has taken place at RCE, the decline rate between 4Q24 and 1Q25 was only ~5%. 1Q25 Production was constrained by increased water production preventing the company increasing the speed of the pumps at some of its producing wells. The increased amount of produced water increase...
- Stephane Foucaud
Zephyr Energy Plc (AIM: ZPHR): Paradox Resources boost following inter...
• The analysis of the well test result at well 36-2R suggests recoverable resources of 0.84-1.24 mmboe for the 4,000 feet lateral. The reservoir characteristics are consistent across the length of the lateral with consistent contribution from the reservoir matrix to the flow rate. Extrapolating these results across a longer lateral of 10,000 to 15,000 feet suggests recoverable volumes per well of 9 bcf to 37.5 bcf with a condensate yield of 20-60 bbl/mmcf. The base case is 15-17 bcf (plus conden...
- Stephane Foucaud
AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 16/05/2025
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Chariot (CHAR LN)C: Recovering 75% WI of licences in Morocco – Energean has returned its Moroccan offshore interests to Chariot. As a result, Chariot now holds 75% in the Lixus Offshore and Rissana Offshore licences. Condor Energies (CDR CN)C; Target price of C$5.90 per share: Acquiring a LNG facility for Kazakhstan to deliver first LNG sale in 2Q26 – 1Q25 production in Uzbekistan was 11,179 boe/d (+6% vs. production in 4Q24). Condor ...
EGY VAALCO ENERGY INC.
TXP TOUCHSTONE EXPLORATION
SEI. SINTANA ENERGY
CHAR CHARIOT OIL & GAS
VLE VALEURA ENERGY INC.
EME EMPYREAN ENERGY
DNO DNO ASA CLASS A
PHAR PHAROS ENERGY
FEC FRONTERA ENERGY CORP
DGOC DIVERSIFIED GAS & OIL
AOI AFRICA OIL CORP
ZPHR ZEPHYR ENERGY
SENX SERINUS ENERGY
ORC/B ORCA EXPLORATION GROUP CL B
CRCL CORCEL
TAL PETROTAL (TAL)
SOUC SOUTHERN ENERGY CORP
CEQ CRITERIUM ENERGY LTD.
CDR CONDOR ENERGIES INC
- Stephane Foucaud
Zephyr Energy Plc (AIM: ZPHR): Private equity funding unlocks growth i...
• Zephyr has secured a US$100 mm drilling funding agreement with a US private equity firm to enable growth in its non-operated asset portfolio in the Williston Basin. The structure appears to be similar to a “DrillCo”, in which the investor will fund up to 100% of Zephyr’s drillex on a case by case basis. The agreement covers drilling on future well acquisitions but also could apply to new wells proposed on the Zephyr’s existing acreage. • The funding should enable Zephyr to scale production in ...
- Stephane Foucaud
AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 09/05/2025
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Panoro Energy (PEN NO)C; Target price of NOK49 per share: ~12 mbbl/d in 1Q25. Re-iterating FY25 guidance – 1Q25 production was ~12 mbbl/d, including 6,841 bbl/d in Gabon, 3,661 bbl/d in Equatorial Guinea and 1,492 bbl/d in Tunisia. Production in Gabon and Equatorial Guinea was previously reported by BW Energy and Kosmos Energy. Equatorial Guinea output was temporarily impacted by unplanned downtime at the Ceiba Cluster, but operations ...
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
GPRK GEOPARK
MSMN MOSMAN OIL AND GAS
CNE CAIRN ENERGY PLC
TXP TOUCHSTONE EXPLORATION
GENL GENEL ENERGY
MUR MURPHY OIL CORPORATION
PXT PAREX RESOURCES INC.
PEN PANORO ENERGY ASA
SNM SHAMARAN PETROLEUM CORP.
SQZ SERICA ENERGY
ZPHR ZEPHYR ENERGY
KOS KOSMOS ENERGY LTD.
BWE BW ENERGY
HBR HARBOUR ENERGY PLC
IGAS IGAS ENERGY PLC
TNZ TENAZ ENERGY CORP
- Stephane Foucaud
Zephyr Energy Plc (AIM: ZPHR): Well test success unblocks the Paradox
• The State 36-2 well achieved peak rates of 2,848 boe/d, including 856 bbl/d of oil, on a small 18/64 choke. During a separate, 48-hour phase of testing on an 8/64 choke, production ranged between 700-1,066 boe/d, with 200-400 bbl/d of oil. Importantly, there was no material drop in bottomhole pressure in either test, confirming that sustained production at these levels is feasible long-term. Zephyr highlighted that well deliverability is more than sufficient for commercial operations. • In add...
- Stephane Foucaud
AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 11/04/2025
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/ CN)C; Target price of £0.70 per share: Stable production, 10% cash increase – Net production is currently exceeding 4.5 mboe/d, consistent with January levels. The CN HZ10 well, located in the northern area of the CN field, commenced production on 31 March, delivering 1,183 bbl/d of oil (591 bbl/d net to Arrow) with a 21% water cut from the Ubaque reservoir. The well is in the process of cleaning up, with the water cut gradually decreasing. The CN ...
OMV OMV AG
REP REPSOL SA
ENW ENWELL ENERGY
SEI. SINTANA ENERGY
VLE VALEURA ENERGY INC.
BP. BP P.L.C.
ZPHR ZEPHYR ENERGY
TAO TAG OIL LTD
AXL. ARROW EXPLORATION LTD
TAL PETROTAL (TAL)
KIST KISTOS PLC
SOUC SOUTHERN ENERGY CORP
PNOR PETRONOR E&P LTD
J4V VAR ENERGI ASA
HEVI HELIUM EVOLUTION
SHELL INC. (HEVI)
CORO ROYAL DUTCH SHELL
CORO ENERGY PLC
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