In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week we look at the growing valuation gap between European and US retailers. Happy reading!
Last Friday, FIE reported weaker-than-expected Q3 numbers, with consolidated sales of EUR604m 4% shy of the CSSe, while EBITDA was significantly below CSSe (EUR124m vs. EUR157m) due to one-off costs and, arguably, an overly-optimistic CSSe margin uplift scenario for FIE's US business. During the ca
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week we look at spending patterns in Europe, which show a clear reallocation towards the f
Following the company's margin guidance upgrade and conference call, we increase our FY24-26 estimates by 4% on average and lift our PT to EUR73 vs. EUR68 previously. Normalising trends in North America and encouraging trends in Human Expression ahead of back-to-school in key markets such as Brazil
Yesterday evening, BIC unveiled in-line Q3 sales of around EUR540m with a slight beat in terms of LFL performance (+0.2% vs. CSSe of -0.3%) thanks to a promising rebound in the Flame for Life division. More importantly, we highlight the group's robust aEBIT performance which exceeded the CSSe by 22
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at the resolution of the ILA port strike which threatened the US holiday sho
In light of recent publications from US & European retailers, we expect BIC's Q3 numbers to show a continuation of Q2 trends, i.e. subdued LFL growth and resilient margins. The US market (39% of sales) is set to be the weak spot again as the US retailing sector was hit by a wave of lowered sale
Among all the innovative products presented at Monday's Apple Keynote, the AirPods Pro 2 stood out for the new OTC hearing aid capability to be included for users with mild to moderate hearing loss, representing EUR1.4bn people globally. While most hearing aid stocks and, to a lesser extent, Essilo
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we analyse the implications of Chinese tourist flows to Japan. Happy reading!
Yesterday, Fielmann (FIE) and Mister Spex (MRX) both reported their final H1 2024 results which were in line with their respective pre-announced figures. Arguably, Germany remains their largest market with a revenue share of 73% and 75% respectively but the market's focus has differed in recent mon
The LFL sales decline in Q2 (-0.9%) was slightly more pronounced than the CSSe was expecting (-0.6%) but we noted a surprising 90bp-expansion in aEBIT margin to 17.4%, well above expectations (15.1%), supporting BIC's margin guidance for a "slight improvement" over FY24 despite the FY sales outlook
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we react to slower US inflation in June, further opening the door to a September rat
Beyond good preliminary H1 2024 numbers, FIE delivered an ambitious EBITDA target of 24% for 2025 (CSSe: 21.5%), with strong margin expansion for both its European and US operations embedded in the target. While this upbeat FY25 target must now be followed by strong execution evidence, it should gr
The sales warning issued last month (see our comment here) was mainly caused by a tough US Lighters market. However, we understand that Stationery and Shavers also decelerated sequentially in the US, as a result of a major consumer shift away from general merchandise to food, recently highlighted b
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at the US job market that is gradually cooling, prompting investors to bet o
Yesterday, FIE revised its FY24 sales outlook upwards from EUR2.2bn to EUR2.3bn to reflect the completion of its second US acquisition Shopko Optical, which was announced in mid-June (see our comment here). Unsurprisingly, the profit outlook remains unchanged considering PPA and integration costs r
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we take a look at underperformance by European, and especially French, equity indexe
Yesterday evening, BIC cut its FY24 sales guidance from +5/+7% FX-n (excl. Argentina) to LSD growth, again due to Lighters. Following soft Q1 numbers caused by a negative performance in Lighters (see our comment here), management was expecting a gradual improvement throughout the course of the year
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we take a new look at the latest rumors around Shein London IPO. Happy reading!
Yesterday, FIE announced the acquisition of Wisconsin-based retail chain Shopko Optical, for a total consideration of USD290m. Last year, Shopko Optical generated USD168m in sales and counted 140 stores across 13 US States, which now gives Fielmann USA a stronger footprint in the Midwest region as
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