In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at how sub-sectors within our Consumer coverage have fared since the beginni
In our last report a month ago ("Trumping tariffs"), we were relatively optimistic as Donald Trump had only added a 10% tariff on Chinese imports and implemented a 30-day pause on tariffs for imports from Mexico and Canada. However, the situation has darkened since an additional 10% tariff has been
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at how Trump's hectic trade policy impacts US consumer sentiment. Happy read
The stronger-than-expected margin delivery in FY24 unveiled yesterday has two positive outcomes: 1/ Fielmann USA demonstrated its capacity to improve profitability while maintaining a strong operating performance (+11% LFL) and 2/ it lends greater credibility to its reiterated FY25 aEBITDA margin t
With existing duties relatively low compared to other consumer categories, the potential new tariffs that could be imposed by incoming President Trump are naturally sparking concern across the US optical industry. At this stage, we are optimistic about the sector's ability to navigate tariffs: (i)
According to Vision Monday, FIE yesterday announced unexpected leadership changes at the helm of its US subsidiary, with Lukas Ruecker stepping down "for personal reasons" and replaced by CFO Russ Steinhorst. Hopefully, this surprising CEO change might not call into question the subsidiary's priori
Q3 publications were generally more mixed than previous quarters with many players flagging polarised consumer behaviour even in the traditionally defensive prescription category. Most companies were relatively optimistic about Q4 thanks to easier comparatives and a more favourable category-mix, wh
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week we look at the growing valuation gap between European and US retailers. Happy reading!
Last Friday, FIE reported weaker-than-expected Q3 numbers, with consolidated sales of EUR604m 4% shy of the CSSe, while EBITDA was significantly below CSSe (EUR124m vs. EUR157m) due to one-off costs and, arguably, an overly-optimistic CSSe margin uplift scenario for FIE's US business. During the ca
Among all the innovative products presented at Monday's Apple Keynote, the AirPods Pro 2 stood out for the new OTC hearing aid capability to be included for users with mild to moderate hearing loss, representing EUR1.4bn people globally. While most hearing aid stocks and, to a lesser extent, Essilo
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we analyse the implications of Chinese tourist flows to Japan. Happy reading!
Yesterday, Fielmann (FIE) and Mister Spex (MRX) both reported their final H1 2024 results which were in line with their respective pre-announced figures. Arguably, Germany remains their largest market with a revenue share of 73% and 75% respectively but the market's focus has differed in recent mon
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we react to slower US inflation in June, further opening the door to a September rat
Beyond good preliminary H1 2024 numbers, FIE delivered an ambitious EBITDA target of 24% for 2025 (CSSe: 21.5%), with strong margin expansion for both its European and US operations embedded in the target. While this upbeat FY25 target must now be followed by strong execution evidence, it should gr
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at the US job market that is gradually cooling, prompting investors to bet o
Yesterday, FIE revised its FY24 sales outlook upwards from EUR2.2bn to EUR2.3bn to reflect the completion of its second US acquisition Shopko Optical, which was announced in mid-June (see our comment here). Unsurprisingly, the profit outlook remains unchanged considering PPA and integration costs r
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we take a new look at the latest rumors around Shein London IPO. Happy reading!
Yesterday, FIE announced the acquisition of Wisconsin-based retail chain Shopko Optical, for a total consideration of USD290m. Last year, Shopko Optical generated USD168m in sales and counted 140 stores across 13 US States, which now gives Fielmann USA a stronger footprint in the Midwest region as
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we take a look at the Q1 earnings season in the US, which is set to be a good vintag
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