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Diageo PLC: Update to credit analysis

Track record of strong earnings growth is driving deleveraging, as business profile and brand portfolio benefits from long term trend of premiumisation

Diageo PLC - December 2022 (LTM): Peer Snapshot

Compares key performance metrics against industry peers.

Diageo PLC: Update to credit analysis

Diageo's strong business profile will continue to fuel solid revenue growth and modest margin expansion. Credit metrics will remain acceptable for rating despite high shareholder returns

Alyssa Gammoudy ... (+6)
  • Alyssa Gammoudy
  • Jan Frederik Slijkerman
  • Jeroen van den Broek
  • Nadège Tillier
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen
  • Timothy Rahill

Coffee, Croissants & Credit/German grids subsidy & Diageo

Utilities: Germany to subsidize regulated power networks for rising costs

Alyssa Gammoudy ... (+6)
  • Alyssa Gammoudy
  • Jan Frederik Slijkerman
  • Jeroen van den Broek
  • Nadège Tillier
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen
  • Timothy Rahill

Coffee, Croissants & Credit/Diageo

Consumers: Diageo offers some value at the longer end of the curve

Alyssa Gammoudy ... (+4)
  • Alyssa Gammoudy
  • Jeroen van den Broek
  • Nadège Tillier
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen

Coffee, Croissants & Credit/Crédit Agricole, DNB, Diageo and Heineken

Financials: Crédit Agricole raises its bid for Credito Valtellinese. DNB makes an offer for Sbanken in Norway

Alyssa Gammoudy ... (+4)
  • Alyssa Gammoudy
  • Jeroen van den Broek
  • Nadège Tillier
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen

Coffee, Croissants & Credit/CSPP, Diageo and Suez

Strategy: CSPP net purchases total a substantial €2.4bn

Alyssa Gammoudy ... (+6)
  • Alyssa Gammoudy
  • Hendrik Wiersma
  • Jeroen van den Broek
  • Nadège Tillier
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen
  • Timothy Rahill

Coffee, Croissants & Credit/Diageo

Consumers: Diageo CFO Kathryn Mikells to leave the company in July 2021

Alyssa Gammoudy ... (+6)
  • Alyssa Gammoudy
  • Hendrik Wiersma
  • Jeroen van den Broek
  • Nadège Tillier
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen
  • Timothy Rahill

Coffee, Croissants & Credit/CSPP and PEPP, Banco Santander, HSBC, BAWA...

Strategy Another week of high CSPP net purchases brings monthly total to over €4.6bn Financials Banco Santander: The worst is behind us? HSBC 3Q20: Revenue pressures intensify, strong capital for now BAWAG: Risk costs still the centre of attention in 3Q20 Consumers Nestlé: New factory in Ohio (US) planned Diageo: Acquires Chase distillery Utilities BP: despite a better third quarter, 9M20 financial results remain weak

Alyssa Gammoudy ... (+6)
  • Alyssa Gammoudy
  • Hendrik Wiersma
  • Jeroen van den Broek
  • Nadège Tillier
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen
  • Timothy Rahill
Alyssa Gammoudy ... (+6)
  • Alyssa Gammoudy
  • Hendrik Wiersma
  • Jeroen van den Broek
  • Nadège Tillier
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen
  • Timothy Rahill

Coffee, Croissants & Credit/Diageo

Consumers: Diageo acquires Ryan Reynolds' Aviation Gin and Davos Brands

Alyssa Gammoudy
  • Alyssa Gammoudy

Diageo/Full year results: credit metrics take a deep dive

Today Diageo (DGELN) reported its full year results or the 2019/2020 June year end. Net sales came in at £11.750m compared to £12.867m last year. This 8.7% decline is driven by the 23.6% YoY decline in the second half of the year as a result of the Covid-19 containment measures, compared to the 4% YoY growth in the first half of the FY20 (June-end). Operating profit came in at £2,137m, which reflects a 47.2% YoY decline compared to the 35% consensus number (company compiled). However, the org...

Alyssa Gammoudy ... (+6)
  • Alyssa Gammoudy
  • Hendrik Wiersma
  • Jeroen van den Broek
  • Nadège Tillier
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen
  • Timothy Rahill

Coffee, Croissants & Credit/CSPP and PEPP, Diageo and BP

Strategy Corporate purchases under PEPP fall to €7bn for June and July Consumers Diageo FY results: credit metrics take a deep dive, credit rating should be safe (for now) Utilities BP: Record losses in 1H20 but some credit friendly measures

Alyssa Gammoudy ... (+6)
  • Alyssa Gammoudy
  • Hendrik Wiersma
  • Jeroen van den Broek
  • Nadège Tillier
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen
  • Timothy Rahill

Coffee, Croissants & Credit/Issuer scorecard, Diageo, BT Group, Suez

Strategy: Issuer Scorecard - BBB Euro Corporate bond issuer heat maps

Alyssa Gammoudy ... (+6)
  • Alyssa Gammoudy
  • Hendrik Wiersma
  • Jeroen van den Broek
  • Nadège Tillier
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen
  • Timothy Rahill
Alyssa Gammoudy ... (+6)
  • Alyssa Gammoudy
  • Hendrik Wiersma
  • Jeroen van den Broek
  • Nadège Tillier
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen
  • Timothy Rahill

Coffee, Croissants & Credit/Default rates, UBS, Credit Suisse, Diageo,...

Strategy: Spreads & future default rates; Spreads price in all but GFC style default rates

Alyssa Gammoudy ... (+6)
  • Alyssa Gammoudy
  • Hendrik Wiersma
  • Jeroen van den Broek
  • Nadège Tillier
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen
  • Timothy Rahill

Coffee, Croissants & Credit/Covid-19 measures, LVMH, Diageo, Pernod Ri...

Financials and Corporates: Covid-19 measures: Tempering but not changing the impact for credit

Alyssa Gammoudy
  • Alyssa Gammoudy

Beverages/In the spirit of social distance

While life in Asia is slowly returning to normal, other parts of the world are still battling Covid-19. One measure taken to contain further spreading of the virus is the closing of ‘out-of-home' venues such as bars and restaurants in several regions. Travel Retail has also been hit significantly as travelling across borders is curbed. The Food & Beverage sector will definitely feel this and we believe spirits in particular will be impacted more than other beverages. We have analysed Diageo an...

Alyssa Gammoudy ... (+6)
  • Alyssa Gammoudy
  • Hendrik Wiersma
  • Jeroen van den Broek
  • Nadège Tillier
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen
  • Timothy Rahill
Alyssa Gammoudy ... (+6)
  • Alyssa Gammoudy
  • Hendrik Wiersma
  • Jeroen van den Broek
  • Nadège Tillier
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen
  • Timothy Rahill
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