Following softer clean EBIT and orders in core Marine and Energy than we expected in Q3, partly offset by a stronger non-core portfolio, we have cut our 2024–2026e clean EBIT by c4% on average (core c-5%, non-core c+40%). We reiterate our BUY, but have slightly lowered our target price to EUR22 (23).
We are positive ahead of the Q3 results, as clean EBIT could surprise on the upside, in our view. We have raised our 2023–2025e clean EPS slightly (c1%) and our target price to EUR23 (21) and we reiterate our BUY. The strength in the share price leaves little room for error, but the case remains attractive, in our view.
We have raised our 2024–2025e clean EPS by c3% on in-line Q2 orders, stronger-than-expected clean EBIT and an unchanged demand outlook. We have raised our target price to EUR21 (20) and reiterate our BUY. We find Wärtsilä’s market exposures, earnings growth, financials and valuation attractive.
In the Q2 report, we expect to focus on orders and clean EBIT and that the company will maintain its 12-month outlook. We continue to see Wartsila’s multi-year sales and earnings growth on our forecasts as attractively valued. We reiterate our BUY and EUR20 target price.
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