HEADLINES: • EMEA airlines: oil price spike negative NEGATIVE • Budimex: PLN 2.59bn rail contract signed with PKP PLK NEUTRAL • Auto Partner: February sales growth of 3.4% yoy NEGATIVE • Diagnostyka: 4Q25E preview – 8% yoy EBITDA growth expected (due on 20 April) NEUTRAL • CEZ: 4Q25E earnings preview (due on 12 March) • Jumbo: February sales growth slows to 3% yoy on tough comps, as expected NEUTRAL • Mavi: 4Q25E earnings preview (due on 17 March) • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (27 Febru...
HEADLINES: • Modivo Group: the role of a serial disruptor is never easy (stays BUY) • Budimex: built on solid ground, priced for perfection (HOLD - transfer of coverage) • Budimex: 4Q25 conference highlights NEUTRAL • cyber_Folks / Shoper: key takeaways from the 4Q25 earnings call POSITIVE • Vercom: key takeaways from the 4Q25 earnings call POSITIVE • PGE: PLN 12.1bn loan impairment recognised in stand-alone accounts NEGATIVE • Rainbow Tours: summer 2026E season pre-sales accelerate to +10.9% yo...
We maintain our BUY on Modivo (formerly CCC), but cut our 12M price target (PT) to PLN 142, from PLN 227. Following the successful introduction of its own off-price concept and licensed brands, Modivo switched to another gear, but encountered a wall of weak demand, triggered by a decline in the propensity to consume and the unfavourable weather. From the peak of its inventories in 3Q24, the company has reduced its rotation by 10%, at the expense of a 160bps gross margin investment in FY25E. Stil...
HEADLINES: • European Oil and Gas Monthly: February 2026 – trouble brewing in Hormuz • EME Macro/Strategy: Hungary – the Tisza policy programme • cyber_Folks: preliminary 4Q25 results review – 72% yoy adjusted EBITDA growth, 2% above our expectations POSITIVE • Shoper: preliminary 4Q25 results review – 14% yoy adjusted EBITDA growth, 3% above our expectations POSITIVE • Vercom: preliminary 4Q25 results review – 25% yoy EBITDA growth, 2% above our expectations POSITIVE • Poland macro: outlook imp...
HEADLINES: • Synektik: healthcare play, with multiple tailwinds (BUY - initiation of coverage) • EEMEA macro: early takes on the Iran conflict • Cyfrowy Polsat/Wirtualna Polska: CPS audience share at 21.21%, while WP TV at 0.51% in February 2026 NEUTRAL • Primoco UAV: EUR 4m order for Spanish Guardia Civil POSITIVE • Richter: acquires WHC discovery portfolio of Celmatix NEUTRAL • Banca Transilvania: 2026E guidance NEUTRAL • Premier Energy: acquisition of six minority stakes and sale of stake in ...
EME Equity Market – February 2026 Muted performance across the region, with the Turkish ISE the best performer. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 0.7% mom in EUR terms and 2.1% mom in USD terms in February. The Turkish ISE was the top performer, adding 5.4% mom in EUR terms; while the Polish WIG and the Romanian BET improved slightly (+0.9% and +0.3% mom, respectively, in EUR terms). The Czech PX and the Greek ASE were the worst performers (-4.9%, and -3.0% mom, respectively, in EUR terms), w...
HEADLINES: • Aselsan: master of multi-domain warfare (stays BUY) • EMEA airlines: attack on Iran disrupts global aviation • Rainbow Tours: flattish yoy January sales growth at both the consolidated (+2.6% yoy) and stand-alone (+1.6% yoy) levels NEGATIVE • Huuuge Games: February 2026 Sensor Tower bookings estimate flat mom NEUTRAL • Ten Square Games: February 2026 Sensor Tower bookings estimate up 33% mom POSITIVE • Auto Partner: 4Q25E preview – 7% yoy EBITDA deterioration expected (due on 15 Apr...
Sphera has reported its 4Q25 results, which were broadly in line with our expectations: the company was able to regain its positive EBITDA dynamics at the end of a cyclically soft year. Sales grew by 4% yoy, while the costs of food (+1% yoy) and labour (+4% yoy) no longer expanded faster, driving an EBITDA recovery of 3% yoy, to RON 50m, 8% below our forecast. On the bottom line, Sphera delivered a 7% yoy drop, but came in 36% above our expectations. The company also held a webcast this morning,...
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