Q1 PTP before amortisation was NOK1,167m, up 8% YOY, driven by strong growth in Banking and Insurance. While high sales activity had a negative impact on the insurance cost ratio, the combined ratio continued to improve through premium growth of 20% YOY, leaving Storebrand close to the 90–92% target for 2025. We have made fairly limited EPS revisions for 2026–2027e, and reiterate our BUY and NOK149 target price.
Q1 was slightly below expectations and the CMD targets were broadly in line with our forecasts and consensus. We have raised our target price to NOK37 (34) on higher estimates but have downgraded to HOLD (BUY), as we find the valuation fair following the recent strong share price performance.
The Q1 results were above expectations on lower-than-expected costs, while growth continued to be muted. We reiterate our SELL as we continue to find the valuation high relative to growth prospects, but have raised our target price to NOK290 (280) on increased estimates.
With oil prices approaching USD60/bbl, we believe investors will be looking for E&P exposure with the least risk of cuts to shareholder distributions. We continue to prefer Aker BP, as we consider its dividend safe despite prospects of muted near-term cash flow, and believe it has the most flexibility to adjust capex to protect cash flow and dividends medium-term.
Schibsted has signed an agreement to sell Prisjakt to eEquity for SEK500m. We find the price low, at c40% of our SOTP value, but find it positive that the company continues to simplify its portfolio to focus on Nordic Marketplaces. We expect a slightly negative share price reaction.
Share buy-back program COMPANY ANNOUNCEMENT NO 25/2025 - May 5, 2025 On February 25, 2025, Royal Unibrew initiated a share buy-back program, cf. company announcement no. 3/2025 of February 25, 2025. The program is carried out under Art. 5 of Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council of April 16, 2014, on market abuse, as amended (the Market Abuse Regulation - MAR) and the Commission Delegated Regulation (EU) No 2016/1052 of March 8, 2016. The share buy-back program is expected to be realized in the period from February 26, 2025, to August 15, 2025. The tot...
This week, Equinor reported Q1 results in line with expectations. However, we continue to see valuation downside due to Empire Wind risks and a likely sharp YOY drop in 2026e buybacks. OKEA also reported in-line Q1 results. In other news, Equinor announced it agreed to sell its 60% Peregrino stake at a solid price, although we believe the proceeds would have to support near-term shareholder returns to drive a positive share price reaction.
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