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ABGSC Consumer Goods Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Consumer Goods Research
  • Benjamin Wahlstedt
  • Fredrik Ivarsson
ABGSC Retail Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Retail Research
  • Benjamin Wahlstedt
  • Fredrik Ivarsson
ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Adrian Gilani
ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Adrian Gilani
  • Karl Bokvist
ABGSC Online Gaming Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Online Gaming Research
  • Oscar Rönnkvist
  • Simon Jönsson
ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Anders Idborg
  • Karl Bokvist
  • Olof Cederholm
ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Henric Hintze
ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research
  • Fredrik Stensved
  • Markus Henriksson
  • Viktor Stenlöf

Enough is enough

The FABG share is down 25% YTD vs. the sector at -7%. Valuation support from both NAV and CEPS. Up to HOLD (Sell), TP of SEK 90 reiterated.

ABGSC Healthcare Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Healthcare Research
  • Alexander Krämer
  • Morten Larsen

Q1 shows core SOBI sales model works

Strong Q1 numbers, 20% CER growth and 5-15% adj EBITA beat. Vonjo questions remain, but Q1 shows that SOBI sales model works. EPS +1-2% and unchanged BUY, as core case is reaffirmed.

ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Karl Bokvist

Organic momentum impresses

>5% org. EBITA, ~20% total EBITA growth FY'24, '24e-'26e adj. EBITA up 4-3%; 10% CAGR '23-'26e, keep BUY, TP SEK 350 (340).

ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Anders Idborg
  • Karl Bokvist
  • Olof Cederholm
ABGSC Telecom Equipment Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Telecom Equipment Research
  • Adrian Gilani
ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research
  • Fredrik Stensved
  • Markus Henriksson
  • Viktor Stenlöf
ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
  • Oliver Dunvold
  • Petter Haugen

Trading reset implies upside

Minor short-term adjustments, applying our newest dry bulk outlook. '25e EBITDA of USD 716m, cons. at USD 601m. TP DKK 459 (412) – P/SOP 0.71x.

ABGSC Financials Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Financials Research
  • Jan Erik Gjerland

Striving to improve margins - up to BUY

Weather weight as expected, but a more bullish margin story evolving. We increase our estimates by 5-10% from improved UW. Up to BUY (Hold) with TP NOK 195 (171); 10% upside.

ABGSC Retail Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Retail Research
  • Benjamin Wahlstedt
  • Fredrik Ivarsson

The outlook remains positive

All-time-high earnings in Hemköp saved the quarter. 9% EPS CAGR in '24e-'25e. Reiterate BUY and our TP of SEK 320.

ABGSC Retail Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Retail Research
  • Fredrik Ivarsson

Brighter beyond Q2

Q1'24 EBIT 6% below our expectations, driven by BTT. Soft short-term outlook but brighter beyond Q2'24e. '24e-'26e down 4-3%, TP cut to EUR 17.5 (18.5), HOLD.

ABGSC IT Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC IT Research
  • Daniel Thorsson
  • Simon Granath

Riding on price tailwinds from Q2e

Solid Q1, but with adj. EBIT 3% below due to net recruitments. Fine-tuned sales, but '24e-'26e EBIT down 4-3% on higher opex. Share to benefit from improved organic growth: up to BUY (Hold).

ABGSC Retail Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Retail Research
  • Benjamin Wahlstedt
  • Fredrik Ivarsson

Racing a tough market (and winning?)

Continued market softness, Q1 org. growth -14% y-o-y. Significant 260bp EBITA margin improvement y-o-y. We reiterate BUY, covenant relief until '26 gives leverage headroom.

ABGSC IT Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC IT Research
  • Oscar Rönnkvist
  • Simon Jönsson

Good value, but lacking positive triggers

Near-term outlook still muted (tough comps high cons.) but long-term sector winner with 25% EPS CAGR '23-'26e. Reiterate BUY, TP of SEK 200 (210); 13-11x EV/EBITDAC '25e-'26e.

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