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ABGSC Renewable Energy Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Renewable Energy Research
  • Åsne Holsen
  • Daniel Vårdal Haugland
ABGSC IT Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC IT Research
  • Daniel Thorsson
  • Simon Granath

Few near-term triggers when growth slows

Less of a price tailwind to be visible in lower organic growth ahead. We see some risk on Q2e, adj. EBITA cut 2-4%, FCF -4-12%. Reiterate H OLD on few re-valuation triggers, TP SEK 525 (575).

ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Anders Idborg
  • Karl Bokvist
  • Olof Cederholm
ABGSC Financials Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Financials Research
  • Albert Broock
  • Magnus Andersson
  • Patrik Brattelius

Q1'24: Improved exit activity key

Higher exit activity needed to defend estimates. Minor adj. EPS revisions for 2024e-26e. We keep our HOLD rating with a target price of SEK 280.

ABGSC Services Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Services Research
  • Adrian Gilani
  • Derek Laliberté
ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Anders Idborg
  • Karl Bokvist
  • Olof Cederholm
ABGSC IT Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC IT Research
  • Oscar Rönnkvist
  • Simon Jönsson
ABGSC Services Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Services Research
  • Stefan Knutsson

Calendar effect to hurt Q1

Q1 report due 16 May. We expect lower adj. EBITA y-o-y from Easter effect. Swedish KPIs support H2 improvements.

ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Anders Idborg
  • Karl Bokvist
  • Olof Cederholm
ABGSC Strategy Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Strategy Research
  • Amanda Alla
  • Christer Linde

Weekly agenda 22 Apr - 26 Apr

Nordic reports: AstraZeneca, Equinor, Atlas Copco, DSV, Assa Abloy

ABGSC Credit Research ... (+7)
  • ABGSC Credit Research
  • Andreas Johannessen
  • Bendik Fougner Engebretsen
  • Glenn Kringhaug
  • Haakon Amundsen
  • Patrik Brattelius
  • Son Thanh Luu

High Yield Bonds Daily

Norske Skog, KMC, Diana, Prosafe, Oil

ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
  • Oliver Dunvold
  • Petter Haugen

ABGSC Shipping Daily 19 April

Car shipping previews: GCC, HAUTO, WAWI. European car registrations down 3% y-o-y in March, YTD up 5%. "Hormuz closure" is very different from "Red Sea closure" (15 April 2024).

ABGSC Consumer Goods Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Consumer Goods Research
  • Benjamin Wahlstedt
  • Fredrik Ivarsson
ABGSC Telecom Operators Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Telecom Operators Research
  • Oscar Rönnkvist
  • Øystein Elton Lodgaard
  • Simon Granath
ABGSC Financials Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Financials Research
  • Patrik Brattelius
ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
  • Oliver Dunvold
  • Petter Haugen

Red Sea effect weighs more than expected

Q1e down on bigger Red Sea effect. 26% above cons. net profit for '25e. TP of NOK 176 (177) – BUY.

ABGSC Food & Beverage Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Food & Beverage Research
  • Peter Sehested

Strong finish to Q1 prompts increased outlook

EBIT estimates raised by 3-5%. Strong performance in Western Europe and International. TP raised to DKK 520 (485), up to BUY (Hold).

ABGSC Healthcare Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Healthcare Research
  • Alexander Krämer

On the right track

EU sales to gain momentum in 2024. ConfIdeS study randomisation by mid-'24 seems challenging. Small adjustments post-share issue : BUY, TP SEK 98 (94).

ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Karl Bokvist

Serial acquirers: Earnings trough, M&A in focus

Return to organic growth in Q3e, increased M&A activity likely. '24e-'26e EBITA/EPS up 3% (FX +1%, M&A +2%). ~21x EBITA limits upside, but mild downturn+M&A could offer support.

ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Karl Bokvist

M&A, healthcare and stability – up to HOLD

Up to HOLD (Sell), TP SEK 255 (235). '24e-'26e EBITA up 2-3%; 5% CAGR '23-'26e. Q1 report Thursday, 25 April.

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