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ABGSC Retail Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Retail Research
  • Benjamin Wahlstedt
  • Fredrik Ivarsson

Ready for spring

Softer top line as campaign goods are scarce. We raise '25e-'26e adj. EBIT by 1-2%. Share trading at 15x '24e EV/EBIT, we reiterate BUY.

ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Henric Hintze

Consensus does not make the market

~10% order and EBIT beat, but the share traded down today. Main negative was -2.4bn in FCF, but should have been expected. Share reaction demonstrates exceedingly high expectations, SELL

ABGSC Renewable Energy Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Renewable Energy Research
  • Åsne Holsen
  • Daniel Vårdal Haugland
ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Anders Idborg
  • Karl Bokvist
  • Olof Cederholm

Comfortingly undramatic

In-line Q1 as Auto margin recovered. Estimates unchanged; return to growth modelled for Q4. Adds some support even after partial cyclical re-rating. HOLD.

ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research
  • Fredrik Stensved
  • Markus Henriksson
  • Viktor Stenlöf

Enjoy the ride

We trim estimates somewhat. Reassuring outlook for new construction. Potential for >15% share price CAGR until 2026. BUY.

ABGSC Pulp & Paper Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Pulp & Paper Research
  • Ali Shemmari
  • Martin Melbye

One step forward, two steps back

Q1: 9% beat, but Kemi shutdown to weigh on Q2. Early-cyclicals improve, late-cyclicals to follow. Kemi and Husum projects could add >50% to EBIT. HOLD.

ABGSC IT Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC IT Research
  • Daniel Thorsson
  • Simon Granath
ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Karl Bokvist
ABGSC Renewable Energy Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Renewable Energy Research
  • Olof Cederholm

Strong sales outlook

Weak Q1, but increased sales pipeline. More transparency on near-term project sales. Reiterate BUY, project sales the key catalyst for re-rating.

ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research
  • Fredrik Stensved
  • Markus Henriksson
  • Viktor Stenlöf

The little growth engine that could

+5% beat on rec. PTP and recent acquisitions, leading us to raise 2024e CEPS by 5%, and lift our TP to SEK 40 (35).

ABGSC Media Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Media Research
  • Petter Nystrøm

NP 3% below, cost cuts paused

Q1: Group EBITDA 0% vs cons: NP 3% below. Cost cuts paused until Media separation. Targets paused.

ABGSC Chemicals Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Chemicals Research
  • Bengt Jonassen
  • Martin Melbye
ABGSC Credit Research ... (+7)
  • ABGSC Credit Research
  • Andreas Johannessen
  • Bendik Fougner Engebretsen
  • Glenn Kringhaug
  • Haakon Amundsen
  • Patrik Brattelius
  • Son Thanh Luu

High Yield Bonds Daily

Oscar Properties/HL18,K2A, Pandion

ABGSC Seafood Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Seafood Research
  • Martin Kaland
  • Simon Brun

Chile: March smolt release +24% y-o-y

March smolt release in Chile was 13.2m (+24% y-o-y), with smolt release for '25e harvest down 7% y-o-y (ABGSCe +2%). Chilean biomass down 2% y-o-y, suggesting muted harvest potential short-term

ABGSC Strategy Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Strategy Research
  • Amanda Alla
  • Christer Linde

Weekly agenda 29 Apr - 3 May

Nordic reports: Novo Nordisk, Vestas, Danske bank, Maersk

ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
  • Oliver Dunvold
  • Petter Haugen

ABGSC Shipping Daily 25 April

Mixed tanker and dry bulk market, LPG down. Shipping peer group trades at P/NAV 0.83x. DNORD: Trading reset implies upside.

ABGSC Consumer Goods Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Consumer Goods Research
  • Benjamin Wahlstedt
  • Fredrik Ivarsson
ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Åsne Holsen
  • Daniel Vårdal Haugland
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