In our view neither the Federal Reserve nor the ECB are likely to tighten monetary policy at a strong pace any time soon. We see a 50% possibility of a 25bp rate hike from the Fed in December, while in October the ECB should announce a six-month extension of the QE programme in 2018 with monthly purchases reduced to EUR40bn.
New Christmas shopping data shows US department stores confirming the shift to online sales, which rose double-digit despite the negative trend for physical store sales. We see this as positive for Yoox Net-A-Porter’s aims to assert its leadership in online fashion retail. The recent strength of the dollar against the euro could also boost YNAP results in the year ahead.
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