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Systematic Ideas - December Long-Only Names - 7 Dec
Deydun Markets' QuantLab team use systematic models with fundamental and quantitative inputs to generate signals on stocks, ETFs, indices, forex pairs and commodities for both investors and traders. We use a rigorous set of strategies to isolate the model that generates the profit curve that shows the most promise. A combination of systematic derivative, fundamental and technical analysis across varying time frames and approaches helps sift out the highest conviction, actionable signals which ...
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Systematic Ideas - December Long Only - 7 Dec
Live December Long-only Names The ideas listed in the table in Fig.1 show a selection of stocks that are currently timed well for entry. This subset is taken from our 4 Flagship Long-Only Books (or Market Neutral if you hedge with the relevant BWORLD Index). Each Book (US, EU, Global* and GEMs) was launched at the start of April this year and rebalanced at the start of each month and are driven by our three main models: Factor, Sector and a “Fund-of-Funds” or “Beauty Contest” approach. The meth...
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Systematic Ideas - Asia Pacific - Long Nintendo & Short Mitsui Fudosan...
Deydun Markets' QuantLab team use systematic models with fundamental and quantitative inputs to generate signals on stocks, ETFs, indices, forex pairs and commodities for both investors and traders. We use a rigorous set of strategies to isolate the model that generates the profit curve that shows the most promise. A combination of systematic derivative, fundamental and technical analysis across varying time frames and approaches helps sift out the highest conviction, actionable signals which ...
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Systematic Ideas - US - Long Western Digital - 22 Nov
Deydun Markets' QuantLab team use systematic models with fundamental and quantitative inputs to generate signals on stocks, ETFs, indices, forex pairs and commodities for both investors and traders. We use a rigorous set of strategies to isolate the model that generates the profit curve that shows the most promise. A combination of systematic derivative, fundamental and technical analysis across varying time frames and approaches helps sift out the highest conviction, actionable signals which w...
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Systematic Ideas - US - Long Marathon Oil & WPX Energy - 17 Nov
Deydun Markets' QuantLab team use systematic models with fundamental and quantitative inputs to generate signals on stocks, ETFs, indices, forex pairs and commodities for both investors and traders. We use a rigorous set of strategies to isolate the model that generates the profit curve that shows the most promise. A combination of systematic derivative, fundamental and technical analysis across varying time frames and approaches helps sift out the highest conviction, actionable signals which w...
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Systematic Ideas - Reiterate Long Vivendi Universal - 17 Nov
Deydun Markets' QuantLab team use systematic models with fundamental and quantitative inputs to generate signals on stocks, ETFs, indices, forex pairs and commodities for both investors and traders. We use a rigorous set of strategies to isolate the model that generates the profit curve that shows the most promise. A combination of systematic derivative, fundamental and technical analysis across varying time frames and approaches helps sift out the highest conviction, actionable signals which w...
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Systematic Ideas - Long Freeport McMoRan & Short Carrefour - 14 Nov
Deydun Markets' QuantLab team use systematic models with fundamental and quantitative inputs to generate signals on stocks, ETFs, indices, forex pairs and commodities for both investors and traders. We use a rigorous set of strategies to isolate the model that generates the profit curve that shows the most promise. A combination of systematic derivative, fundamental and technical analysis across varying time frames and approaches helps sift out the highest conviction, actionable signals which w...
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Systematic Ideas - Long Norilsk Nickel & BASF - 3 Nov
Deydun Markets' QuantLab team use systematic models with fundamental and quantitative inputs to generate signals on stocks, ETFs, indices, forex pairs and commodities for both investors and traders. We use a rigorous set of strategies to isolate the model that generates the profit curve that shows the most promise. A combination of systematic derivative, fundamental and technical analysis across varying time frames and approaches helps sift out the highest conviction, actionable signals which w...
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Systematic Ideas - Long Ford & Bunzl, Short CBS, FOXA & Tesco - 2 Nov
Deydun Markets' QuantLab team use systematic models with fundamental and quantitative inputs to generate signals on stocks, ETFs, indices, forex pairs and commodities for both investors and traders. We use a rigorous set of strategies to isolate the model that generates the profit curve that shows the most promise. A combination of systematic derivative, fundamental and technical analysis across varying time frames and approaches helps sift out the highest conviction, actionable signals which w...
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Systematic Ideas - Asia Pacific - 2 Nov
Long Melco Resorts & Entertainment (MLCO US) Melco’s increased focus on the VIP segment of revenue has been working well for them. Studio City consequently recorded over 300% EBITDA YoY growth on the back of their VIP ramp up. The Manila property is trading well with revenue rising 12% too. Melco is adding a new luxury hotel with premium amenities at Phase 3 of City of Dreams in their push to gain more premium-mass as well as VIP revenue. Gross Gaming revenue for Oct 2017 in Macau is up 22...
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Systematic Ideas - Japan - Long Dena & Pigeon, Short Rakuten - 31 Oct
Long DeNA (2432 JT) DeNA has over 20% of its market cap in cash on the balance sheet and barely any debt. It also has a strong track record of generating free cash flows (7% FCF yield expected for 2017). In spite of generating good revenues, strong performance of their existing title Gyakuten Othellonia as well as the collaboration announced with Nintendo to develop Animal Crossing, the stock price hasn’t yet moved much. With more new titles expected to hit the market, investors will sit up an...
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Systematic Ideas -Asia Pacific - Australia 30 Oct
Long G8 Education (GEM AU) G8 Education is a company in the child care / education business that has, within 5 years grown revenues from $179m in 2012 to $778m in 2016. They have also grown from 80 centers in 2010 to over 400 in these 6 years including 20 in Singapore. They have been profitable every year and have been steadily improving gross margins since 2009. It looks like the market is starting to recognize the merits of this being a consistent Return on Equity and strong margin busines...
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Systematic Ideas - Japan - Long SUMCO & MUFJ Financial - 27 Oct
New Longs: 3436 JT, 8306 JT Ideas Review The long in Advantest kicked in instantly. This is positive action today and suggests that this stock is likely to continue a strong period of outperformance from here. Despite today's move, we are buyers. Resona has traded well and made a new high for the current move. Immediate resistance is coming up for next week but we suspect that it will take it out. A closing above 650 opens up a blue sky move. Softbank has cleared all resistance and its a mat...
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Systematic Ideas - Long ABB (ABBN SW) & Santander (SAN SM) - 26 Oct
Long ABB (ABBN SW) A glance through the results shows growth across all metrics, which is something that we believe the market will value positively. Interestingly, this was the crucial statement by the CEO today - "The combination of a stronger market orientation and a focus on high growth segments, such as electric vehicle charging, robotics and food and beverage, is paying off". Further, the statement says that the Electrification Products and Robotics & Motion divisions improved margins se...
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Systematic Ideas : Long Lincoln Electric (LECO US) & Short Vallourec (...
Long Lincoln Electric (LECO US) Lincoln Electric has a track record of generating strong free cash flows and has been steadily improving gross & net margins over the last 10 years. They remain committed to enhancing shareholder value and this is reflected in the $429 million returned to shareholders through buybacks and dividends through 2016 (an impressive 18% of revenues). The company has invested heavily with over $350 million in R&D spend over the last 10 years; indeed over a third o...
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Systematic Ideas - Long Texas Instruments (TXN US) & Sage (SGE LN)
New Longs: TXN US, SGE LN, CSCO US, TDC US. New Shorts: Closing Positions: ULVR LN, VWS DC, FITB, PM, MDLZ Flip Book Closes: EFX, CAN LN, IFX GY Long Texas Instruments (TXN US) Versus its peers, Texas Instruments (TXN) is cheap on EV/EBIT terms (-16% forward discount to peers & -28% discount to 5y avg. of –4%). In Q2, TXN witnessed improved margins as well as rising QoQ & YoY revenues. The company generated $4bn FCF against a total asset base of $16bn, delivering an impressive FCF yield of 28....
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Systematic Ideas - Long Randgold Resources (RRS LN) & Short M&S (MKS L...
Long Randgold Resources (RRS LN) Randgold resources has underperformed EU peers by ~45% over the past year. It has also underperformed the broader market by ~25% in the same time. This seems a tad overdone given the underlying commodity currently trades 3% below the 2016 highs. Recent Q2 results were a strong beat with productions costs reducing even further to $600 per ounce for 2017 vs the $639 per ounce for 2016. RRS uses a $1,000 benchmark for gold prices and should fare well ahead of the...
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Systematic Idea - Long E.On (EOAN GY) & August long only picks - 4 Aug
Long E.ON (EOAN GY) E.On’s restructuring is well underway as it positions itself as a renewable energy company. Its strong record of generating free cash flows and the refund of €2.4 billion in nuclear taxes has bolstered their deleveraging plans and strengthened their balance sheet. Net margins have been improving over the last few years & the stronger balance sheet provides E.On more flexibility. The company is fairly insulated from commodity price swings while the externalization of nuclear...
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