Frontline Minor model adjustments
We have updated our estimates owing to the Q2 report, Q3 guidance and our updated fuel curves. Accordingly, we have lowered our adj. EBITDA by 2% across our 2024–2026e. We believe the Q3 guidance reflects a seasonal slump and should not have come as a surprise to investors, given the recent freight market trends. We have not changed our view that improvements for Q4 are on the horizon and should be supported by the seasonally stronger year-end, while the underlying supply story remains favourable, with a ~7% orderbook for the VLCCs. We do not consider these changes to be material, and we have not changed our BUY recommendation. We have lowered our target price from NOK358 to NOK345.
DNB Markets is the investment banking arm of DNB Bank ASA and is focused primarily on the Nordic region, as well as internationally on niches such as global shipping, energy and related services, and seafood. DNB Markets offers services in FICC, Equities and Investment Banking advisory from offices in Oslo, Stockholm, London, Singapore and New York. Equity research coverage is offered on c250 Nordic companies. DNB was ranked no.2 in Extel Nordic Research 2017. The DNB Markets’ Credit and FICC Macro & FX Research teams are repeatedly highly rated by Prospera Nordic Institutional Investor Surveys.
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