Report
Louis Boujard, CFA ...
  • Philippe Ourpatian

ODDO : 2026 scenario: things were going well, until now

The current context heralds a new period of uncertainty, but this will not undermine the growth cycle for utilities, marked by price normalisation, accelerating demand and the increasing complexity of the electricity system, due to the intermittency of renewables, congestion and the need for flexibility. In this context, selectivity is key, between players seeking profitable growth internationally and those waiting on their domestic market. We maintain our sector hierarchy in favour of earnings growth, with Elia and RWE as the most dynamic, and Engie, Iberdrola and E.ON (upgraded to Outperform) as the most sustainable. We downgrade Verbund to Underperform, with Acciona Energia having already been the subject of a similar downgrade, while several renewable energy stocks (Scatec, Grenergy, ERG and Ørsted) look attractive, in our view.
Underlyings
Befesa SA

Befesa is a services company principally engaged in the collection and recycling of steel dust and aluminum residues and other related industrial services and logistics. Co. also offers industrial recycling services to hazardous waste markets. Co. organizes its activities into three business segments: steel dust recycling services, salt slags recycling services and secondary aluminum production.

CORPORACION ACCIONA ENERGIAS RENOVABLES SA

Derichebourg SA

Derichebourg provides services to businesses and to local and municipal authorities. Co. covers the entire waste recycling chain, from collection through to recuperation, as well as a range of services to businesses and to local and municipal authorities. Co.'s activities can be divided into three segments: Environmental Services segment which is engaged in the processing and disposal of waste and of end-of-life products; Business Services segment which offers a range of front end services (reception, cleaning, energy, parks and gardens maintenance, temporary workers) and Airport Services segment which provides outsourced airport services like services for stopover management and airfreight.

E.ON SE

E.ON is an investor-owned energy company. The Generation global unit consists of all Co.'s existing (fossil and nuclear) generation assets in Europe. The Renewables unit is engaged in managing Co.'s carbonsourcing and renewables businesses. The Global Commodities unit buys and sells electricity, natural gas, liquefied natural gas, oil, coal, freight, biomass, and carbon allowances. The Exploration & Production unit is a active in the focus regions of the North Sea (U.K., Norway), Russia and North Africa. The New Build & Technology unit include Co.'s project-management and engineering operations to support the construction of new power plants and the operation of existing plants.

EDP Renovaveis SA

EDP Renovaveis is a renewable energy company based in Spain. Co. is engaged in activities related to the electricity sector, namely the planning, construction, operation and maintenance of electricity generating power stations, especially hydroelectric, mini-hydroelectric, wind, solar, thermal solar, photovoltaic, biomass and waste plants, among others. Co. designs, develops, manages and operates power plants. Co. generates electricity using renewable energy sources mostly wind energy. Co. owns EDP Renewables Europe that operates in several European countries and Horizon Wind Energy, which operates in the United States. Co. is a part of the Energias de Portugal group.

EDP-Energias de Portugal SA

EDP Energias de Portugal is a utility company engaged as a generator, distributor and supplier of electricity in Portugal, and as an electricity generation company and a gas distributor in the Iberian Peninsula. In addition, Co. is a wind power operator with windfarms for energy generation in the Iberian Peninsula, the U.S., Canada, Brazil, France, Belgium, Italy, Poland and Romania and is engaged in developing wind projects in the U.K. Co. is also engaged in generating solar photovoltaic energy in Portugal, Romania and the U.S, and in Brazil it is engaged as an operator in electricity generation. As of Dec 31 2015, Co. had 9.7 million electricity customers and 1.4 million gas customers.

Elia Group SA/NV

Elia System Operator develops, operates and maintains very-high-voltage (380 kV, 220 kV and 150 kV) and high-voltage (70 kV, 36 kV and 30 kV) networks, providing its customers with consultancy and engineering services. Whether in Belgium, Germany or elsewhere in Europe or the U.S., Co. ensures that electricity flows reliably from energy producers to distributors and large corporate customers. Co.'s main activities include transmission operator, system operator and market facilitator, developing and maintaining grid infrastructure, connecting electrical installations to grids, providing transparent access to grids, while taking initiatives to improve electricity market operations.

Enagas SA

Enagas is a gas transportation company based in Spain. Co. is engaged in the technical distribution and storage of gas through pipelines as well as the provision of regasification services. Co. and subsidiaries are engaged in the ownership, administration, storage, pipeline transportation, distribution flow, and sale of natural gas. As a transport company, Co. also provides gas and manages the gas infrastructures.

Endesa S.A.

Endesa is engaged in the production, transmission, distribution, and supply of electricity, through hydroelectric, fossil fuel, and nuclear generation. Co. is also engaged in the mining of coal for use in its fossil-fuel electric plants; mining research; land restoration, and environmental monitoring and control.

Enel SpA

Enel Societa Per Azioni is engaged in the generation and sale of electricity through its Generation, Energy Management and Sales Italy Division. Co. is also engaged in the distribution of electricity (Enel Distribuzione) and public and artistic lighting (Enel Sole) in Italy through its Infrastructure and Networks Division. Co.'s Iberia and Latin America Division coordinates Co.'s operations in the electricity and gas markets in Spain, Portugal and Latin America. Co.'s Engineering and Research Division manages the engineering processes related to the development and construction of power plants. Co.'s other divisions are the International Division as well as the Renewable Energy Division.

ENGIE SA.

Engie is an industrial group, based in France, active in the fields of gas, electricity, energy services and the environment. Co. is an energy provider across the entire energy chain, in electricity and in natural gas, including: purchase, production and commercialization of natural gas and electricity; transport, distribution, management and development of major natural gas infrastructures; design and commercialization of energy services and environment-related services. Co.'s activities are conducted through five segments: Energy Europe, Energy International, Global Gas and LNG, Infrastructures, and Energy Services.

ERG S.p.A.

ERG is engaged in the generation of energy from renewable sources and from thermoelectric plants, in the marketing of electricity, steam and gas, in the refining, marketing and distribution of petroleum products both in Italy and abroad. Co., also through its own subsidiaries and joint ventures with primary international operators, operates in the following segments: renewable energy sources, under which Co. operates through its ERG Renew S.p.A. subsidiary in the wind power generation business; power and gas, which includes the production and marketing of electric energy, steam and gas; and refining and marketing, which includes the results of Coastal Refining and Integrated Downstream.

Fortum Oyj

Fortum is an energy company. Co.'s operations are organised in five divisions: Hydro Power and Technology and Nuclear and Thermal Power, which are engaged in its hydro, nuclear and thermal power generation, services, portfolio management and trading as well as technology and research and development functions; Heat, Electricity Sales and Solutions, which consists of Co.'s combined heat and power production, district heating and business-to-business heating solutions, solar business, electricity sales and related customer offering; Russia, which consists of power and heat generation as well as heat distribution in Russia; and Distribution, which focuses on distribution activities in Sweden.

Grenergy Renovables

Grenergy Renovables Sl. Grenergy Renovables SL is a Spain-based company engaged in the marketing of energy recovery facilities. The Company develops projects and an Independent Power Producer (IPP) that generates renewable energy mainly through solar photovoltaic plants.

Iberdrola SA

Iberdrola is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, Co. operates in four segments: network business, which includes all the energy transmission and distribution activities, and other regulated activity originated in Spain, the U.K., the U.S. and Brazil; deregulated business, which includes electricity generation and sales businesses as well as gas trading and storage businesses carried on by Co. in Spain, Portugal, the U.K. and North America; renewable business, with activities related to renewable energies in Spain, the U.K., the U.S. and the rest of the world; and other businesses, including the engineering and construction businesses and the non-power businesses.

Naturgy Energy Group S.A.

Gas Natural SDG is a gas company based in Spain. Co. and its subsidiaries are primarily engaged in the supply, transportation, distribution and commercialization of piped natural gas, as well as the activities involving exploration and developing, supply, regasification, liquefaction and storage of natural gas, and the generation and commercialization of electricity. Co. operates mainly in Spain and also outside of Spain, especially in Latin America, Puerto Rico, Italy, France and Africa (through Maghreb-Europe gas pipeline and integrated LNG projects in Algeria).

Orsted

Orsted is a renewable energy company based in Denmark. Co. is engaged in developing a renewables portfolio based on competences in offshore wind, bioenergy, and energy solutions. Co. is active in deploying offshore wind and converting existing coal- and gas-fired power stations to sustainable biomass, providing a heat and power supply which is both green and flexible. Co. divides its operations into four businesses: Wind Power, Bioenergy & Thermal Power, and Distribution & Customer Solutions. The Bioenergy & Thermal Power and Distribution & Customer Solutions businesses jointly constitute Co.'s Danish utility business. Co. maintains activities primarily in Northwestern Europe.

Red Electrica Corp. SA

Red Electrica is engaged in the transmission of electrical energy, the operation of the system and the management of the transmission network in the Spanish electricity system. In addition, through its subsidiaries, Co. is engaged in the acquisition, holding and management of foreign securities, co-ordination of international exchanges, provision of telecommunications services for third parties, provision of consultancy, engineering and construction services outside the Spanish electricity system, securing of funds, carrying out of financial transactions and provision of financial services.

Redes Energeticas Nacionais SA

Ren Redes Energeticas Nacionais is engaged in two principal lines of business: electricity transmission, where Co. owns and operates Portugal's national high-voltage electricity transmission network (the "RNT"), and natural gas, where Co. is engaged in the reception, storage and regasification of liquefied natural gas ("LNG"), the operation of the national high-pressure gas transmission network, which Co. owns and operates under respective concessions and the underground storage of natural gas. Co.'s electricity transmission business is conducted through its subsidiary REN - Rede Electrica, which holds a 50 year concession to operate the electricity transmission network in Portugal.

RWE AG

RWE is an electricity and gas company. The Conventional Power Generation segment consists of the activities of RWE Power, Essent and RWE npower. The Supply/Distribution Networks Germany segment supplies electricity, gas and heat. The Supply Netherlands/Belgium segment comprises the activities of Essent in the Netherlands. The Supply United Kingdom segment comprises the operations of RWE npower. The Central Eastern and South Eastern European segment contains activities in the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Slovakia, Turkey and Croatia. The Renewables, Upstream Gas & Oil and Trading/Gas Midstream segments include the activities of RWE Innogy, RWE Dea and RWE Supply & Trading, respectively.

Scatec ASA

Scatec Solar ASA is a Norway-based integrated independent solar power producer. It develops, builds, owns, operates and maintains solar power plants, and has several projects under development in Africa, the United States, Japan, Brazil the Middle East and Europe. The Company has three operating business segments: Power Production (PP), Operation & Maintenance (O&M), and Development & Construction (D&C). The PP segment comprises the Kalkbult and Linde plants in South Africa, the ASYV plant in Rwanda and four plants in the Czech Republic. The O&M includes services provided to solar power plants in which Scatec Solar participates or to third party plants constructed by the Company. The D&C comprises development activities as well as construction of solar power plants developed by Scatec Solar.

SECHE ENVIRONNEMENT

Seche Environnement offers environmental management solutions for industrial clients or local authorities. Co. operates waste treatment and recovery facilities and develops tools to produce energy from waste. Co. also collects and sorts all types of waste, whether household or industrial, hazardous or non-hazardous. For local authorities, Co. manages household waste and other environmental concerns. Co. is engaged in thermal treatment, storage, methanization of household waste and production of alternative fuels. For industrial clients, Co. has developed products and services for handling industrial waste from waste production sites to elimination facilities.

Solaria Energia y Medio Ambiente S.A.

Solaria Energia y Medio Ambiente manufactures both solar and thermal cells and panels, rolls out turnkey projects for large installations, operates solar plants and generates electricity through its owned plants.

UNIPER SE

Veolia Environnement SA

Veolia Environnement provides environmental management services to public authorities, industrial and commercial services customers, and individuals worldwide. These services include the supply of water, the treatment and recovery of municipal or industrial effluent, waste collection, processing and recycling, the supply of heating and cooling services and the optimization of industrial processes. Co.'s business operations are conducted through three divisions, each specializing in a single business sector: Veolia Eau (Water), Veolia Energie (Dalkia, Energy Services) and Veolia Proprete (Environmental Services).

VERBUND AG Class A

Verbund is a public utility company engaged in the generation and transmission of electricity from subsidiaries' hydro and thermal power stations located throughout Austria. Through its subsidiaries, Co. is involved in the planning and construction of water systems, hydroelectric power plants, river structures, sewage disposal systems, and high voltage transmission towers and lines. Co. generates, trades and sells electrical energy to power exchange buyers, traders, energy supply companies and industrial companies as well as households and commercial customers.

Voltalia

Voltalia. Voltalia SA is a France-based holding company engaged in the renewable utilities sector. It designs, develops and operates electric power stations in numerous countries, such as France, French Guyana, Brazil, Greece and Morocco. The Company generates electricity using a variety of renewable energy sources. These include wind, water, biomass and solar power. In addition, Voltalia SA specializes in carbon credit trading activities. The Company operates several subsidiaries, including Anelia and Bio-Bar in France, Voltalia Guyane, SIG Kourou, SIG Mana and SIG Cacao in French Guyana, Voltalia Energia do Brasil in Brazil, Thegero in Greece and Alterrya Maroc in Morocco, among others. The Company is owned by Voltalia Investissement SA.

Provider
Oddo BHF
Oddo BHF

​Oddo Securities provides securities brokerage and research services. The company offers equity, economic, and derivatives research and credit analysis services. It focuses on insurance, automotive, building materials, pharmaceuticals, telecommunications, information technology, and agri-food industries.

Analysts
Louis Boujard, CFA

Philippe Ourpatian

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