Report
Franc Gregori ...
  • Lala Gregorek
  • Philippa Gardner

Arecor Therapeutics: AT220 sales building momentum

AT220, which we believe to be Fresenius’s Tyenne (tocilizumab), was discussed in detail during management’s Q324 results call. In its first year post-launch in Europe it has gained impressive clinical traction, posting a 19% share within the EU5 markets. The US is also performing well, following FDA approval in March 2024, with keen interest from major buying institutions. The product-specific Q-code was granted in late-October, opening the gateway to greater uptake as prescribing hurdles are reduced. The meeting tone was upbeat, with expectations that Tyenne would be able to capitalise on being the first approved tocilizumab biosimilar. However, the timing of the Q-code means our expected adoption has been pushed out by a quarter. Adjusting for this, and uncertainty over Ogluo’s sales following the packaging issues, means we trim our forecasts for FY24 and FY25. The flow through in our rNPV model, modestly decreases valuation to £155m, or 410p/share, from £157m, or 415p/share
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Trinity Delta
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Analysts
Franc Gregori

Lala Gregorek

Philippa Gardner

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