Weekly Review
Whilst Investor's confidence remained muddled over indecisiveness exhibited on the political front (name of caretaker PM) and developments related to possible FATF grey-listing (upcoming plenary meeting on June 24’18), the market managed to close in the green (+450pts/1.1%WoW) to 42,074 points. Failure of the FY19 Sindh, Punjab & Baluchistan budgets in introducing any noteworthy schemes or development outlays, and the KPK government failing to propose any bill, tightened sentiment further. Key news flows impacting the market during the week were: 1) 10MFY18 CAD widening 50% to US$14.035bn on the back of increasing merchandise imports outweighing exports, 2) NA passing Budget'18 with Tax Amnesty approved along with, 3) ECP proposing July 25th-27th as possible dates for the upcoming General Election'18, 4) special delegation leaving for Bangkok to attend regional FATF meetings, formulating an appropriate Action Plan, and 5) Foreign reserves reach below US$17bn mark after declining US$415mn during the last week, after having incurred debt servicing cost of ~US$0.5bn. Universe performance leaders during the week were: 1) EFOODS (6.08%WoW), 2) GWLC (5.91%WoW), 3) MLCF (4.72%WoW), 4) BAFL (4.53%WoW) and 5) PPL (4.16%WoW) while laggards included: 1) PSMC (-4.24%WoW), 2) LUCK (-3.17%WoW), 3) APL (-2.70%WoW), 4) INDU (-2.40%WoW) and 5) KEL (-2.00%WoW). Average daily volumes improved 3.99%WoW to 119.50mn shares with 1) FABL (40.41mn shares), 2) PAEL (38.24mn shares), 3) FCCL (34.53mn shares), 4) BOP (33.09mn shares) and 5) FDIBL (30.00mn shares) leading the board.
Outlook
Outcome of the MPS today where policy rate being raised to 6.5% (highest in almost three years) could revive market sentiments particularly in the banking sector going ahead. However, any turbulence in upcoming scheduled political events (dissolution of national parliament due on May 31’18) could pressurize market in the near term.
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