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EFERT & EPCL 3QCY23 Result Previews ,(AKD Daily, Oct 11, 2023)

AKD Daily

 

EFERT & EPCL 3QCY23 Result Previews

 

EFERT—3QCY23 earnings expected to clock in at PkR5.28/sh: EFERT is going to announce their 3rd quarter results on Oct 12, 2023, wherein they are expected to announce a sizeable growth in EPS of 6x/69% QoQ/YoY. This is attributed to last quarter’s bottomline erosion due to supertax (ETR: ~85%) and current period’s healthy offtake numbers (Urea and DAP up by 35%/124% QoQ, respectively) alongside a rise in average retail prices all across the product portfolio. Gross margins are expected to clock in at 30.7% vs. 29.8% last quarter (up by 90/340bps QoQ/YoY), owing to higher prices and unchanged gas costs during the quarter. We expect other income to come in at PkR361mn (down by 19%QoQ) and finance cost to remain high at PkR1.2bn (up by 65%QoQ) due to a considerable fall in cash and cash equivalents leading to higher short term borrowings to finance working capital needs in a high interest rate environment. Tax rate is to remain at 39% due to imposition of 10% supertax.  We expect the company to pay out a dividend of PkR4.75/sh, taking 9MCY23 pay out to PkR11.25/sh.

 

EPCL—3QCY23 EPS of PkR1.2 expected: The board of EPCL is scheduled to announce its 3QCY23 results on Oct 17th, where we expect the company to post a Profit after Tax of PkR1.4bn (EPS: PkR1.2) vs. PAT of PkR1.6bn (EPS: PkR1.3) in 2QCY23, a decline of 9%QoQ, due to gross margins contraction during the period. Topline is expected to shrink by 9%QoQ to clock in at PkR17.3bn vs. PkR19.0bn in the previous quarter, owing to decline in the PVC prices. Furthermore, gross margins are expected to shrink significantly to 21.7% during the quarter vs. 28.6%/29.4% in 2QCY23/SPLY. The said annual contraction is majorly attributable to a decline in the primary core-delta margins (US$401/ton in 3QCY23 vs. US$529/ton SPLY), and higher gas prices being charged at mixed rates in Aug-Sept’23 (25% RLNG & 75% indigenous gas rates). Finally, we expect company to pay dividend of PkR1.0/sh for the said quarter, taking nine-month dividend to PkR3.5/sh.

 

 

 

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