Pakistan Banks_Mar’21 spreads clocked in at 4.31%, (AKD Daily, Apr 30, 2021)
Mar’21 spreads clocked in at 4.31%
Banking sector spreads for Mar’21 stood at 4.31%, recording a marginal dip over Feb’21 of 4.38%, taking 1QCY21 avg. spread to 4.35% as against 5.42% in the same period last year and 4.50% in the previous quarter. Fresh spreads continue to diminish for the fourth con-secutive month with the latest reading exhibiting a dip of 10bps MoM taking 1QCY21 cu-mulative decline to 32bps from Dec’20.
1QCY21 earnings of our banking universe registered a growth of 36.5%YoY/27.0%QoQ to stand at PkR54.0bn while sequential growth is primarily driven by jump in Non Funded Income and steep decline in provisioning expense. Core income of the sector registered a decline of 3.7%QoQ with lower spreads and normalization in investment yield pulling down gross yields to 49.2% vis-à-vis 51.3% in the previous quarter.
The banking sector has underperformed the market with CY21TD negative performance of 6.6% compared to KSE-100’s +3.5% with market participants looking for value elsewhere amid broad market expectation of stable interest rates. We expect the sector to regain interest as COVID third wave dilutes and authorities mount on the normal course of policy making.
On valuations, we have preference for larger plays compared to mid tiers where we like HBL (earnings recovery, high exposure to economic activity — Dec’21TP: PkR174.6), UBL (CY21F dividend yield of 9.6% - Dec’21TP: PkR142.5/sh), and MCB (PIB book, recoveries from NIB portfolio supporting earnings — Dec’21TP: PkR223.4/sh).
Habib Bank Limited is engaged in commercial banking and asset management related services in Pakistan and overseas. The Bank's segments include Branch Banking, which consists of loans, deposits and other banking services to agriculture, consumer, small and medium-sized enterprise (SME), and commercial customers; Corporate Banking, which consists of lending for project finance, trade finance and working capital to corporate customers and it also provides investment banking services, including services provided in connection with mergers and acquisitions; Treasury, which consists of trading, fixed income, equity, derivatives and foreign exchange businesses, and it also includes credit, lending and funding activities with professional market counterparties; International Banking, which is engaged in monitoring and reporting purposes and consists of its operations outside of Pakistan, and Head Office/Others. It operates in Pakistan; Europe, Middle East and America, and Asia and Africa.
AKD Securities Ltd. is one of the leading securities firm in Pakistan, providing a comprehensive range of investor focused services, including equity brokerage, economic and securities research, investment banking and financial advisory services. AKD Securities accounts for more than 6% of the average daily value of the Karachi Stock Exchange. AKD Securities was the first brokerage house to launch an online trading platform in Pakistan in November 2002 and now has the largest market share with over 6000 customers. This has helped diversify and expand the retail investor base in the country and ushered in a whole new universe of investors to the stock market.
AKD Securities Ltd. caters to a diversified group of domestic and international institutional investors, high net worth individuals and upscale retail clients, including expatriate Pakistanis. With high quality research, unparalleled execution and distribution capability for both regular and large block trades, AKD Securities Ltd. has earned an outstanding reputation in the Pakistani securities industry.Outside of commercial banks, AKD Securities Ltd. is one of the biggest capital market firms in the country. AKD Securities is the leader in raising and providing risk capital in underwriting, market making and mergers and acquisitions in Pakistan. Good corporate governance and professionalism are emphasized throughout the firm and AKD Securities Ltd. is amongst the very few companies to have introduced a firm-wide comprehensive CODE of ETHICS, overseen by an independent compliance manager.Ultimately, our success is based on the quality of service we provide to our customers and the trust and confidence reposed in us by them. Our focus, therefore, remains on customer satisfaction at all levels in the company.
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