Pakistan Cement: Aug’17 dispatches showing robust growth
According to provisional statistics overall dispatches during Aug'17 registered growth of +17.6%MoM/10.9%YoY to reach a monthly peak of 3.98mn tons in Aug'17 (previous at 3.96mn tons in Mar'17). Domestic dispatches (3.53mn tons sold in Aug'17) growing +21.3%YoY/+16.5%MoM, continued to drive offtake. Growth in domestic dispatches in Aug’17 were likely led by sharp increase in PSDP spending (PkR79bn in Aug'17, up 2.3xYoY) and the dwindling of the seasonal slowdown (Ramadan & extended monsoon) seen in previous months. However, exports continued to slide by 5.5%MoM/19.3%YoY to reach just 0.450mn tons in Aug'17. On a cumulative basis, total dispatches growth reached 24.4%YoY in 2MFY18 vs. 11.0%YoY growth recorded in 2MFY17 led by demand growth of 31.4%YoY in 2MFY18 vs.13.8%YoY in 2MFY17. Post Eid-ul-adha and present spell of rainfall, we anticipate total dispatches growth to remain healthy going forward. We derive our thesis from: 1) strong PSDP and provincial spending in 2HCY17 running up to national polls and 2) impressive growth in private sector credit related to construction activity (+38.8%YoY in Jul'17). We feel current price levels offer attractive entry points especially when growth dynamics remain intact. Maintaining our preference for the sector, our top picks include LUCK (TP: PkR1,180/sh, upside: 63%), MLCF (TP: PkR169/sh, upside: 49%) and FCCL (TP: PkR56/sh, upside: 37%).
Lucky Cement Corporation. LUCKY CEMENT CO. is a Taiwan-based company principally engaged in the manufacture and distribution of cement and clinker. The products of the Company include type I cement, type II cement, furnace powder, premixed concrete, limestone, stone and sand stone, among others. Its products are applied in the construction of ordinary engineering, underground engineering and concrete projects, among others. The Company operates through two segments. The Cement segment is engaged in the manufacture and sales of cement and related products. The Others segment is engaged in other businesses. The Company mainly operates businesses in Taiwan market.
AKD Securities Ltd. is one of the leading securities firm in Pakistan, providing a comprehensive range of investor focused services, including equity brokerage, economic and securities research, investment banking and financial advisory services. AKD Securities accounts for more than 6% of the average daily value of the Karachi Stock Exchange. AKD Securities was the first brokerage house to launch an online trading platform in Pakistan in November 2002 and now has the largest market share with over 6000 customers. This has helped diversify and expand the retail investor base in the country and ushered in a whole new universe of investors to the stock market.
AKD Securities Ltd. caters to a diversified group of domestic and international institutional investors, high net worth individuals and upscale retail clients, including expatriate Pakistanis. With high quality research, unparalleled execution and distribution capability for both regular and large block trades, AKD Securities Ltd. has earned an outstanding reputation in the Pakistani securities industry.Outside of commercial banks, AKD Securities Ltd. is one of the biggest capital market firms in the country. AKD Securities is the leader in raising and providing risk capital in underwriting, market making and mergers and acquisitions in Pakistan. Good corporate governance and professionalism are emphasized throughout the firm and AKD Securities Ltd. is amongst the very few companies to have introduced a firm-wide comprehensive CODE of ETHICS, overseen by an independent compliance manager.Ultimately, our success is based on the quality of service we provide to our customers and the trust and confidence reposed in us by them. Our focus, therefore, remains on customer satisfaction at all levels in the company.
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