Pakistan Economy: Growth remains on track
Based on provisional PBS data for 8MFY18, the GoP expects GDP growth for FY18E to settle at 5.8%YoY crossing the 11 year high-watermark for growth vs 5.4%YoY (revised upwards) in FY17A. Key catalysts for growth remain ongoing implementation of early harvest infrastructure projects under the ambit of CPEC, net energy supply growth (net generated units up 11.3%YoY for 8MFY18), and sustained credit uptick (8MFY18 private sector credit stock grew 9.9% since Jun’17, adding PkR391.3bn offtake during the period increasing 8.3%YoY). Ancillary support factors including contained law and order situation aided by heightened confidence allowed broad based economic growth momentum with all three constituents on an upward trajectory (services/industrial/ agriculture up 6.4%/5.8%/3.8%YoY). Consequently, nominal GDP is projected to stand at PkR34.4trn, up by 7.6%YoY (vs PkR32.0trn in FY17), reflecting per capita income of PkR180k. For FY19F, we expect GDP growth to remain ~5.8%YoY (vs. GoP target of 6.2%YoY) lifted by multipliers emanating from transport, power and value-add manufacturing/agriculture growth; likely spillovers from CPEC, associated investments. Even so, persistent downward pressures remain major blemishes, from looming external pressures, an inflation-prone backdrop with the economy being highly vulnerable to event risk.
AKD Securities Ltd. is one of the leading securities firm in Pakistan, providing a comprehensive range of investor focused services, including equity brokerage, economic and securities research, investment banking and financial advisory services. AKD Securities accounts for more than 6% of the average daily value of the Karachi Stock Exchange. AKD Securities was the first brokerage house to launch an online trading platform in Pakistan in November 2002 and now has the largest market share with over 6000 customers. This has helped diversify and expand the retail investor base in the country and ushered in a whole new universe of investors to the stock market.
AKD Securities Ltd. caters to a diversified group of domestic and international institutional investors, high net worth individuals and upscale retail clients, including expatriate Pakistanis. With high quality research, unparalleled execution and distribution capability for both regular and large block trades, AKD Securities Ltd. has earned an outstanding reputation in the Pakistani securities industry.Outside of commercial banks, AKD Securities Ltd. is one of the biggest capital market firms in the country. AKD Securities is the leader in raising and providing risk capital in underwriting, market making and mergers and acquisitions in Pakistan. Good corporate governance and professionalism are emphasized throughout the firm and AKD Securities Ltd. is amongst the very few companies to have introduced a firm-wide comprehensive CODE of ETHICS, overseen by an independent compliance manager.Ultimately, our success is based on the quality of service we provide to our customers and the trust and confidence reposed in us by them. Our focus, therefore, remains on customer satisfaction at all levels in the company.
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