Report
John Heagerty ...
  • Nadja Heini, CFA

Insurance: 1Q18 M2M, decreases to forecasts

Winter storms are the biggest driver of forecast EPS declines for CB and AIG. For the latter we have also reworked our financial model, resulting in additional EPS decreases. Slightly negative equity markets in 1Q18 have also obliged us to marginally lower our EPS estimates for PFG and PRU. We retain our Overweight recommendations on AON, MET and PRU and our Underweight recommendation on CB.
Underlyings
American International Group Inc.

American International Group is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the company provides a range of property casualty insurance, life insurance, retirement solutions, and other financial services. The company's businesses include General Insurance, which provides insurance products and services for commercial and personal insurance customers; Life and Retirement, which brings together a portfolio of life insurance, retirement and institutional products provided through a multichannel distribution network; and Other Operations, which include Blackboard U.S. Holdings, Inc., a subsidiary focused on delivering commercial insurance solutions using digital technology, data analytics and automation.

Aon Plc Class A

Chubb Limited

Hartford Financial Services Group Inc.

Hartford Financial Services Group is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the company provides property and casualty insurance, group benefits insurance and services, and mutual funds and exchange-traded products. The company has five segments: Commercial Lines, which provides automobile, property, general liability, and marine coverages; Personal Lines, which provides automobile and homeowners coverages; Property and Casualty Other Operations, which provides group life, group disability, and other products; and Hartford Funds, which provides mutual fund, exchange-traded products, and Talcott Resolution life and annuity separate accounts.

Marsh & McLennan Companies Inc.

Marsh & McLennan Companies is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the company provides clients advice and solutions in risk, strategy and people. The company provides analysis, advice and transactional capabilities to clients. The company conducts business through two segments: Risk and Insurance Services, which includes risk management activities (risk advice, risk transfer and risk control and mitigation solutions) as well as insurance and reinsurance broking and services; and Consulting, which includes health, wealth and career services and products, and other management, economic and brand consulting services.

MetLife Inc.

MetLife, through its subsidiaries and affiliates, provides insurance, annuities, employee benefits and asset management. The company's segments include: United States; Asia; Latin America; Europe, the Middle East and Africa; and MetLife Holdings. In the United States, the company provides a variety of insurance and financial services products, including life, dental, disability, property and casualty, guaranteed interest, stable value and annuities to both individuals and groups. Outside the United States, the company provides life, medical, dental, credit and other accident and health insurance, as well as annuities, endowment and retirement and savings products to both individuals and groups.

Principal Financial Group Inc.

Principal Financial Group is an insurance holding company, engaged in investment management. The company provides businesses, individuals and institutional clients a range of financial products and services, including retirement, asset management and insurance through its financial services companies. The company provides long-term investment strategies to institutional, retirement, high net worth and retail clients by providing a range of capabilities including equity, fixed income, real estate and other alternative investments, as well as fund offerings. The company's segments include: retirement and income solutions; principal global investors; principal international; and United States insurance solutions.

Prudential Financial Inc.

Prudential Financial is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries and affiliates, the company provides a range of financial products and services, including life insurance, annuities, retirement-related products and services, mutual funds and investment management. The company provides these products and services to individual and institutional customers. The company's principal operations are comprised of PGIM (its global investment management business), its United States Businesses (consisting of its United States Workplace Solutions, United States Individual Solutions, and Assurance IQ divisions), its International Businesses, the Closed Block division and its Corporate and Other operations.

Travelers Companies Inc.

Travelers Companies is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the company is engaged in providing commercial and personal property and casualty insurance products and services to businesses, government units, associations and individuals. The company's segments include: Business Insurance, which provides property and casualty insurance and insurance-related services; Bond and Specialty Insurance, which provides surety, fidelity, management liability, professional liability, and other property and casualty coverages and related risk management services, and certain specialty insurance products; and Personal Insurance, which writes property and casualty insurance covering individuals' personal risks.

Provider
Atlantic Equities
Atlantic Equities

Formed in 2003 by an established team from Cazenove, one of the most respected investment banks in the UK, Atlantic Equities conducts and publishes fundamental, bottom up research on mid and large cap US companies.

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Analysts
John Heagerty

Nadja Heini, CFA

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