5 Things to Know in Investing This Week - The Federal Reserve Enables Theft Issue

Bank of America Corporation: Net interest income growth drives solid Q4 results, but capital declines modestly

Bank of America’s Q4 results were marked by continued net interest income growth and positive operating leverage, but capital fell modestly.

Global Investment Banks – US: Large banks' Q4 debt underwriting, equity trading likely stronger than year ago

Strong debt issuance volume will likely benefit investment banking fees; secondary market volumes were robust, supporting trading revenue, especially in equities.

Model update

This report contains forecasts updated for reported Q218 results. Neither our financial nor PSU estimates are materially changed and we remain Overweight with a 12m PT of $365.

V/MA: strong core, adjacencies more competitive

V/MA remain core long term holdings with secular cash to card tailwinds driving strong growth long term, supported by developments such as contactless. Valuation remains reasonable, although newer growth areas such as B2B face greater competition. We remain Overweight V/MA, raise our price targets to $173 and $250 respectively and currently favour V which trades on a PE of 28x, three turns lower than MA.

Banks: Trading update and 3Q18 preview

Market volatility has moderated significantly since the beginning of the year, ceasing to be a tailwind for the banks' trading revenues in 3Q18. Despite the strong IB pipelines (announced M&A is up 40% YTD), fee pools have been affected by timing issues and are down 15-20% across the industry for the current quarter. Medium term, the outlook remains positive thanks to improving GDP growth, benign credit conditions, rising interest rates and a deregulatory focus. We have lowered our 3Q18 EPS estimates by 3% on average. Our longer term forecasts decline only modestly by 1%. C remains our t...