Report
Sam Hudson, CFA

Model Update - Remain Neutral

We are updating our DLTR model following the introduction of FY18 guidance. Our sales forecast sits in the middle of the guidance range, while of FY18 EPS estimate of $5.61 is $0.01 above the top-end of guidance ($5.25-$5.60). Our price target stays $100, representing 16x our FY19 EPS estimate, broadly in-line with the current valuation. We remain Neutral.
Underlying
Dollar Tree Inc.

Dollar Tree is an operator of discount variety stores. The company's stores operate under the names of Dollar Tree, Family Dollar and Dollar Tree Canada. The company's segments are: Dollar Tree, which is the operator of discount variety stores providing merchandise at the fixed price point of $1.00; and Family Dollar, which operates general merchandise discount retail stores. The merchandise mix in the company's Dollar Tree stores consists of consumable merchandise, variety merchandise, and seasonal goods. The merchandise mix in the company's Family Dollar stores consists of consumable merchandise, home products, apparel and accessories merchandise, and seasonal and electronics merchandise.

Provider
Atlantic Equities
Atlantic Equities

Formed in 2003 by an established team from Cazenove, one of the most respected investment banks in the UK, Atlantic Equities conducts and publishes fundamental, bottom up research on mid and large cap US companies.

Atlantic provide order execution through a wide range of DMA products and algorithmic trading suites.

Analysts
Sam Hudson, CFA

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