HD/LOW: Momentum continues, mortgage rates manageable
Although weather proved a Q1 headwind, underlying sector momentum remains strong. Concerns regarding the rising interest rate environment continue to overshadow the strong fundamentals however. We reassess this risk and conclude that the threat is manageable, given current housing affordability and rental costs. We do not expect any impact before 30-yr mortgage rates exceed 6%, with the most aggressive projection implying a 5.4% rate by the end of 2019. We continue to see HD as a high-quality, consistent double-digit EPS and dividend compounder and reiterate our O/W rating.The Home Depot is a home improvement retailer. The company provides its customers an assortment of building materials, home improvement products, lawn and garden products, and decor products and provides a number of services, including home improvement installation services and tool and equipment rental. The company also maintains a network of distribution and fulfillment centers, as well as a number of e-commerce websites. The company provides a number of programs for its Professional Customers to meet their particular needs, and for its Do-It-Yourself and Do-It-For-Me customers, the company provides a number of installation services. The company also provides tool and equipment rentals for its customers.
Lowe's Companies is a home improvement retailer. The company provides home improvement products in lumber and building materials, appliances, seasonal and outdoor living, tools and hardware, fashion fixtures, rough plumbing and electrical, paint, millwork, lawn and garden, flooring, and kitchens categories. The company provides installation services through independent contractors in product categories, including appliances, flooring, kitchens, lumber and building materials, and millwork. The company also provides extended protection plans for various products within the appliances, kitchens, fashion fixtures, millwork, rough plumbing and electrical, seasonal and outdoor living, and tools and hardware categories.
Formed in 2003 by an established team from Cazenove, one of the most respected investment banks in the UK, Atlantic Equities conducts and publishes fundamental, bottom up research on mid and large cap US companies.
Atlantic provide order execution through a wide range of DMA products and algorithmic trading suites.
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