Atrium Research Corporation

Atrium Research provides institutional quality issuer paid research on North American public equities using deep fundamental analysis. Our research reports are disseminated through Bloomberg, FactSet, Capital IQ, Reuters and many more, as well as through our social media and email distribution lists. 

Ben Pirie
  • Ben Pirie

MSA: 2026 Guidance Outlines Growth Initiatives

What you need to know: • MSA released strong 2026 production guidance of 213-233Koz aimed at optimizing near-term production to maximize FCF. • 2026 AISC is guided modestly higher YoY as the Company pivots its focus from steady state production to growth initiatives. • MSA will report Q4 and full-year 2025 financial results on February 18, followed by a conference call on February 19 at 9am ET. • The Company also guided its longer-term growth initiatives. This morning, Mineros S.A. (MSA:TSX, MI...

Ben Pirie
  • Ben Pirie

Silver – Surging & Scarce; Highlighting Capitan Silver

What you need to know: • The price of silver has surged, over doubling in the last ~12 months, which is supported by its persistent structural deficit. • Silver miners are positioned for significant margins of +$60/oz at these price levels that can’t be ignored. • The pipeline of quality silver development projects is scarce and continues to dwindle, garnering a premium valuation as a result, which was on display with recent M&A. • Capitan Silver (CAPT:TSXV) is showing early signs of these quali...

Nicholas Cortellucci ... (+2)
  • Nicholas Cortellucci
  • CFA

OGO: Increasing Target Price on Improved Sales Growth

What you need to know: • Organto added eight new retail customers, including seven large-format retailers, expanding into Switzerland, Ukraine, and Spain. • The Company is evaluating additional organic product categories to leverage its European retail platform and expand its customer base. • Given today’s update, we are increasing our 2026E sales estimate from $95.0M to $113.8M, representing 89% YoY growth on top of the 190% in 2025E. As such, we are increasing our target price. This morning...

Ben Pirie
  • Ben Pirie

LVG: Completes Area C Drilling; Confirms Pit Expansion Potential

What you need to know: • LVG completed its Area C drill program at Imwelo, confirming down-dip and east-west extensions beyond the current pit design. • Highlights included 9.31 g/t Au over 2.45m, 6.96 g/t Au over 2.56m, and 11.88 g/t Au over 1.33m, supporting pit expansion. • With key technical work now completed, results support final pit design to advance Imwelo toward construction in Q2-Q3/26 and production in 2027. • We recently re-initiated coverage on LVG; read our full report here. ...

Ben Pirie
  • Ben Pirie

NIM: Provides Exploration Update at Flagship New Craigmont

What you need to know: • This morning, Nicola announced an update for the 2025 drill program at the New Craigmont Copper Project, near Merritt, BC. • Results from the program support a porphyry system with Draken currently the most promising target on the west side of the property. • The MARB target also returned strong copper intercepts, including 0.39% Cu over 9.5m. • In addition to continuing to define today’s targets, NIM plans to drill test the promising Jotun target in 2026. • NIM has als...

Nicholas Cortellucci ... (+2)
  • Nicholas Cortellucci
  • CFA

Oilfield Services: Still Way Too Cheap

What you need to know: • We anticipate oil prices to remain within the US$80-$90 range, which will sustain the current uptick in E&P capital expenditure and foster a strong environment for oilfield services firms. • Our peer group continues to trade at deep-value multiples; currently at 4.5x/4.0x 2024E/2025E EBITDA. • We highlight a few of our favourite small-cap names that we believe have significant upside as we move into H2/24. Following our last oilfield services thematic note (published i...

Nicholas Cortellucci ... (+2)
  • Nicholas Cortellucci
  • CFA

Energy Storage: The Missing Piece for the Energy Transition

What you need to know: • Due to the fluctuating levels of energy produced on an hourly basis by renewable energy sources, energy storage is required to smooth out supply and demand • The grid is becoming increasingly unstable due to its old age and extreme weather conditions, and is not set up to accommodate a net-zero system • Small and mid-cap players in the space are down over 60% since 2021, making today’s valuations a great entry point Why Do We Need Energy Storage? Intermittent Supply fro...

Nicholas Cortellucci ... (+2)
  • Nicholas Cortellucci
  • CFA

Oilfield Services: Another Great Year Ahead

What you need to know: • We expect oilfield service stocks to continue to outperform in 2023 and beyond based on supportive oil price fundamentals, rising capex levels amongst E&Ps, and pricing power leading to margin expansion • Despite the sector’s strong fundamental tailwinds and the probability for a multi-year commodity supercycle, oilfield service companies are still trading at trough-level multiples Investment Thesis Supportive Oil Prices While we will not go in-depth on oil price funda...

Ben Pirie
  • Ben Pirie

Mining Monthly: January Edition

What you need to know: • Metals kicked off 2025 with explosive gains, as gold (+12.3%), silver (+17.6%), and copper (+4.4%) surged to fresh highs before late-month pullbacks, all finishing January meaningfully higher MoM. • Mining equities extended their outperformance, with the GDX (+9.9%), GDXJ (+9.1%), SILJ (+13.3%), and COPX (+18.0%) outperforming broader indices (S&P 500 +1.6%, TSX +0.6%). • Critical minerals remained a key focus, with uranium (+24.1%) breaking out on nuclear restocking an...

Ben Pirie
  • Ben Pirie

Mining Monthly: December Edition

What you need to know: • 2025 marked a decisive breakout for metals, with silver and gold delivering roughly 9x and 4x the YTD return compared to the S&P 500, capped by December highs that saw gold hit a new all-time high. • Mining equities extended their strength in December, with the GDX (+3.1%), GDXJ (+4.1%), SILJ (+7.5%), and COPX (+11.5%) outperforming broader indices (S&P 500 -0.1%, TSX +1.1%). • The macro backdrop remains supportive, with markets pricing in aggressive U.S. rate cuts, a ~...

Ben Pirie
  • Ben Pirie

Mining Monthly: November Edition

What you need to know: • Gold held strong in the low-$4,000/oz range (rising at the end of the month), silver extended its rally with an 18.5% increase, while copper capped off the month above $5.25/lb. • Mining equities rebounded sharply in November, with the GDX (+15.5%), GDXJ (+16.6%), SILJ (+16.7%), and COPX (+4.1%) massively outperforming broader indices (S&P 500 +0.4%, TSX +3.8%). • Policy momentum improved as the U.S. added copper and silver to its critical minerals list, G20 leaders opp...

Ben Pirie
  • Ben Pirie

Mining Monthly: October Edition

What you need to know: • Gold reached new record highs above $4,300/oz before settling around $4,000/oz, while silver climbed for the sixth consecutive month. • Despite this rise in metal prices, mining equities underperformed, with the GDX down 5.7%, GDXJ down 5.5%, and SILJ down 7.3%, and COPX up 3.1%, compared to the S&P 500 (+2.5%) and TSX (+0.8%). • Geopolitical developments, including the U.S. $5B critical minerals fund, G7 stockpiling alliance, and Trump's new partnerships with Australi...

Ben Pirie
  • Ben Pirie

Mining Monthly: September Edition

What you need to know: • In September, gold rose 10.8% to approach $3,900/oz and silver surged 14.4% toward $46/oz, marking five straight months of gains. • Mining equities strongly outperformed, with GDX, GDXJ, SILJ, and COPX up 20.9%, 23.7%, 23.9%, and 20.1%, respectively, versus the S&P 500 (+3.4%) and TSX (+5.1%). • Sector momentum was reinforced by the Fed rate cut, record financing activity among juniors, and the announcement of the $53B Teck–Anglo American merger, the largest deal in ove...

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