Atrium Research Corporation

Atrium Research provides institutional quality issuer paid research on North American public equities using deep fundamental analysis. Our research reports are disseminated through Bloomberg, FactSet, Capital IQ, Reuters and many more, as well as through our social media and email distribution lists. 

Ben Pirie
  • Ben Pirie

SCZ: Q1 Financials Beat on Major Cost Improvements

What you need to know: • SCZ reported Q1 financial results that beat our estimates due decreased costs and the increased silver price. • Santacruz reported Q1 revenue of $70.3M (+34% YoY) vs. our estimate of $69.9M and adjusted EBITDA of $27.5M (vs. negative numbers in Q1/24) beating our estimate of $14.4M. • Cash costs and AISC came in well below expectations, highlighting the effects of management’s operational improvements over the last year. Yesterday, Santacruz Silver (SCZ:TSXV) announced ...

Ben Pirie
  • Ben Pirie

MSA: Heavily Cash Flowing, Dividend Paying Gold Producer

What you need to know: • Mineros is focused on the production of gold across its two producing assets in Colombia and Nicaragua having produced 213Koz in 2024. • MSA currently pays the highest dividend amongst its peers at 5.6% and has various growth initiatives in the works. • Despite being one of the best performing gold producers amongst its peers (up 276% since January 2024), MSA is still undervalued, trading at just 3.8x 2025E cash flow of $129M. Mineros S.A. (MSA:TSXV, MINEROS:CL) is a p...

Ben Pirie
  • Ben Pirie

CAPT: Completes Purchase of Antiplano Royalty

What you need to know: • Capitan Silver announced it has completed the purchase of the Altiplano Royalty at the Cruz de Plata Silver-Gold Project. • The royalty was eliminated through a series of cash and share payments which totalled US$1.0M. • On Monday (June 9th) Capitan announced an LOI to acquire 100% ownership of the remaining land surrounding the Cruz de Plata Project, read our note on this here. This morning, Capitan Silver announced that it has completed the purchase of the Altiplano...

Nicholas Cortellucci ... (+2)
  • Nicholas Cortellucci
  • CFA

DRX: In Line Q1 Financials; Tariff Impact Less than Expected

What you need to know: • ADF reported Q1 financials that were in line with our expectations, reflecting a large decline due to the disruption caused by the tariffs. • Revenue came in at $55.5M (-48% YoY) vs. our estimate of $58.5M and EBITDA came in at $10.4M (19% margin) vs. our estimate of $8.9M. • Management highlighted that its products are exempt from tariffs as its steel is purchased from U.S. mills, and as such, financials will improve in H2. • ADF ended the quarter with $75.3M in cash an...

Ben Pirie
  • Ben Pirie

CUU: Copper Optionality in Tier-1 Jurisdictions

What you need to know: • Copper Fox owns 25% of Schaft Creek, a PEA-stage (after-tax NPV8% $842M and 13% IRR) copper-gold-molybdenum asset, funded by Teck (75% owner) to production. • CUU also owns 100% of the PEA-stage Van Dyke ISCR Project which boasts a highly profitable project (after-tax NPV7.5% $645M & 43% IRR). • The Company holds a portfolio of three other copper exploration assets, all showing early signs of being legitimate projects. The Eaglehead project is at the resource stage, host...

Nicholas Cortellucci ... (+2)
  • Nicholas Cortellucci
  • CFA

Oilfield Services: Still Way Too Cheap

What you need to know: • We anticipate oil prices to remain within the US$80-$90 range, which will sustain the current uptick in E&P capital expenditure and foster a strong environment for oilfield services firms. • Our peer group continues to trade at deep-value multiples; currently at 4.5x/4.0x 2024E/2025E EBITDA. • We highlight a few of our favourite small-cap names that we believe have significant upside as we move into H2/24. Following our last oilfield services thematic note (published i...

Nicholas Cortellucci ... (+2)
  • Nicholas Cortellucci
  • CFA

Energy Storage: The Missing Piece for the Energy Transition

What you need to know: • Due to the fluctuating levels of energy produced on an hourly basis by renewable energy sources, energy storage is required to smooth out supply and demand • The grid is becoming increasingly unstable due to its old age and extreme weather conditions, and is not set up to accommodate a net-zero system • Small and mid-cap players in the space are down over 60% since 2021, making today’s valuations a great entry point Why Do We Need Energy Storage? Intermittent Supply fro...

Nicholas Cortellucci ... (+2)
  • Nicholas Cortellucci
  • CFA

Oilfield Services: Another Great Year Ahead

What you need to know: • We expect oilfield service stocks to continue to outperform in 2023 and beyond based on supportive oil price fundamentals, rising capex levels amongst E&Ps, and pricing power leading to margin expansion • Despite the sector’s strong fundamental tailwinds and the probability for a multi-year commodity supercycle, oilfield service companies are still trading at trough-level multiples Investment Thesis Supportive Oil Prices While we will not go in-depth on oil price funda...

Ben Pirie
  • Ben Pirie

Mining Monthly: May Edition

What you need to know: • The metals and mining market continued its strong run in May, driven by inflationary concerns due to the trade war and geopolitical tensions. • In May, gold was up 1.8%, silver was up 1.7%, and copper was also up 1.7%. The equities outperformed the commodities, with the GDX up 3.3%, GDXJ up 6.4%, SIL up 5.9%, and COPX up 8.7%. • Financings remained elevated during May, with multiple juniors raising over $10M as generalist capital returns to the sector. • M&A activity con...

Ben Pirie
  • Ben Pirie

Mining Monthly: April Edition

What you need to know: • The metals and mining market showed a fourth straight month of strong gains in April on the back of the escalating trade tensions. • In April, gold was up 5.6%, silver was down 4.2%, and copper was down 9.6%. The equities outperformed the commodities, with the GDX up 6.5%, GDXJ up 7.3%, and SIL up 3.3%. • Financings remained largely elevated during April, highlighting the institutional capital that has flowed into the mining sector recently. • M&A started to pick up agai...

Ben Pirie
  • Ben Pirie

Mining Monthly: March Edition

What you need to know: • The metals and mining market showed a third straight month of strong gains in March as investors moved into safe haven assets to protect from trade tensions and economic uncertainty. • In March, gold was up 3.4%, silver was up 0.8%, and copper was up 6.1%. The equities largely outperformed compared to the commodities, with the GDX up 15.7%, GDXJ up 17.6%, and SIL up 13.6%. • The Trump administration announced an executive order to increase American mineral production acr...

Ben Pirie
  • Ben Pirie

Mining Monthly: February Edition

What you need to know: • After January’s strong gains in the metals and mining markets, February saw further growth across spot prices with the equities lagging due to cautious investor sentiment. • In February, gold hit all-time highs up 3.4%, silver was up 0.8%, and copper up 6.1%. The equities underperformed compared to the metals, with the GDX up 1.9%, GDXJ up 0.5%, and SIL up 0.3%. • British Columbia has launched a fast-track plan for 18 projects worth ~$20B, aiming to accelerate economic ...

Ben Pirie
  • Ben Pirie

Mining Monthly: January Edition

What you need to know: • Following two months of poor returns, the metals and mining market rose sharply in January as tariff uncertainties rose and the treasury yields decreased. • In January, gold was up 6%, silver was up 7%, and copper was up 7%. The equities exhibited leverage to the commodity price increases, with the GDX up 16%, GDXJ up 15%, and SILJ up 10%. • Donald Trump introduced the “Unleashing American Energy” executive order, urging agencies to review regulatory policies for oil, na...

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