Atrium Research Corporation

Atrium Research provides institutional quality issuer paid research on North American public equities using deep fundamental analysis. Our research reports are disseminated through Bloomberg, FactSet, Capital IQ, Reuters and many more, as well as through our social media and email distribution lists. 

Nicholas Cortellucci ... (+2)
  • Nicholas Cortellucci
  • CFA

DRX: Q3 Financials Beat Expectations; Diversified Away from Tariffs

What you need to know: • ADF reported Q3 financials that beat our expectations, driven by stronger project execution, margin recovery, and early contributions from LAR. • Revenue came in at $71.4M vs. our estimate of $68.4M while EBITDA of $18.4M meaningfully outperformed our $10.2M estimate. • Backlog increased to $497.1M (+6% QoQ), supported by a stronger mix of Canadian projects (now 57% of the backlog), while integration progress at LAR is setting up ADF for a strong Q4 and FY27. This mo...

Ben Pirie
  • Ben Pirie

NKG: Launches its Fully Funded 20,000m Phase 4 Drill Program

What you need to know: • NKG has launched its fully funded 20,000m Phase 4 program to advance multiple high-priority regional targets at its Atlanta property. • Silver Park East will receive 5,000m out of the 20,000m of drilling to tighten spacing, test structural intersections and evaluate Inferred-resource potential. • The remaining 15,000m will focus on Atlanta South, Atlanta North and Western Rim, with two rigs already active. • We recently initiated coverage on Nevada King. Read our report...

Ben Pirie ... (+3)
  • Ben Pirie
  • Nicholas Cortellucci
  • CFA

ARG: Performance Dividend; Likely More to Come

What you need to know: • Amerigo announced a performance dividend in the amount of C$0.05/share, payable on January 15th, 2026. • This news prompts us to remind investors of the impressive capital return strategy that ARG has built, and we highlight ARG’s performance since the inception of this strategy. • We remind readers, ARG paid off all of its remaining debt subsequent to the Q3 announcement (one of its 2025 objectives). • Amerigo also increased its quarterly dividend by 33% to C$0.04/shar...

Ben Pirie
  • Ben Pirie

RIO: Acquires Peruvian Copper Producing Operation

What you need to know: • Rio2 announced that it has entered into a definitive agreement with Southern Peaks Mining L.P. (a private company) to acquire its 99.1% interest in the Condestable underground copper mine, located in Peru. • Condestable is forecasted to produce 27Ktpa CuEq or ~80Koz AuEq, has a reserve mine life of over 10 years, and has expansion potential. • On closing, Southern Peaks will receive an upfront consideration of $180M, including $80M in cash, $65M in vendor debt financing...

Ben Pirie
  • Ben Pirie

SPA: Drills 0.68 g/t Au over 140m & Extends Orca Fault

What you need to know: • This morning, SPA announced assay results from three drill holes as part of its 9,000-10,000m fall drill program (7,800m completed). • Highlights include: 0.68 g/t Au over 141m, 0.55 g/t over 103m and 0.80 g/t over 26m (all from separate holes). • Today’s results continue to stack on top of previously released results, all of which reported drill results within the pit limits and well above resource grades. • Drilling supports advancement toward a 2027 construction dec...

Nicholas Cortellucci ... (+2)
  • Nicholas Cortellucci
  • CFA

Oilfield Services: Still Way Too Cheap

What you need to know: • We anticipate oil prices to remain within the US$80-$90 range, which will sustain the current uptick in E&P capital expenditure and foster a strong environment for oilfield services firms. • Our peer group continues to trade at deep-value multiples; currently at 4.5x/4.0x 2024E/2025E EBITDA. • We highlight a few of our favourite small-cap names that we believe have significant upside as we move into H2/24. Following our last oilfield services thematic note (published i...

Nicholas Cortellucci ... (+2)
  • Nicholas Cortellucci
  • CFA

Energy Storage: The Missing Piece for the Energy Transition

What you need to know: • Due to the fluctuating levels of energy produced on an hourly basis by renewable energy sources, energy storage is required to smooth out supply and demand • The grid is becoming increasingly unstable due to its old age and extreme weather conditions, and is not set up to accommodate a net-zero system • Small and mid-cap players in the space are down over 60% since 2021, making today’s valuations a great entry point Why Do We Need Energy Storage? Intermittent Supply fro...

Nicholas Cortellucci ... (+2)
  • Nicholas Cortellucci
  • CFA

Oilfield Services: Another Great Year Ahead

What you need to know: • We expect oilfield service stocks to continue to outperform in 2023 and beyond based on supportive oil price fundamentals, rising capex levels amongst E&Ps, and pricing power leading to margin expansion • Despite the sector’s strong fundamental tailwinds and the probability for a multi-year commodity supercycle, oilfield service companies are still trading at trough-level multiples Investment Thesis Supportive Oil Prices While we will not go in-depth on oil price funda...

Ben Pirie
  • Ben Pirie

Mining Monthly: November Edition

What you need to know: • Gold held strong in the low-$4,000/oz range (rising at the end of the month), silver extended its rally with an 18.5% increase, while copper capped off the month above $5.25/lb. • Mining equities rebounded sharply in November, with the GDX (+15.5%), GDXJ (+16.6%), SILJ (+16.7%), and COPX (+4.1%) massively outperforming broader indices (S&P 500 +0.4%, TSX +3.8%). • Policy momentum improved as the U.S. added copper and silver to its critical minerals list, G20 leaders opp...

Ben Pirie
  • Ben Pirie

Mining Monthly: October Edition

What you need to know: • Gold reached new record highs above $4,300/oz before settling around $4,000/oz, while silver climbed for the sixth consecutive month. • Despite this rise in metal prices, mining equities underperformed, with the GDX down 5.7%, GDXJ down 5.5%, and SILJ down 7.3%, and COPX up 3.1%, compared to the S&P 500 (+2.5%) and TSX (+0.8%). • Geopolitical developments, including the U.S. $5B critical minerals fund, G7 stockpiling alliance, and Trump's new partnerships with Australi...

Ben Pirie
  • Ben Pirie

Mining Monthly: September Edition

What you need to know: • In September, gold rose 10.8% to approach $3,900/oz and silver surged 14.4% toward $46/oz, marking five straight months of gains. • Mining equities strongly outperformed, with GDX, GDXJ, SILJ, and COPX up 20.9%, 23.7%, 23.9%, and 20.1%, respectively, versus the S&P 500 (+3.4%) and TSX (+5.1%). • Sector momentum was reinforced by the Fed rate cut, record financing activity among juniors, and the announcement of the $53B Teck–Anglo American merger, the largest deal in ove...

Ben Pirie
  • Ben Pirie

Mining Monthly: August Edition

What you need to know: • The metals and mining market saw a resurgence in August, reaching record highs, following a subpar couple of previous months. • In August, gold was up 5%, silver was up 7%, and copper was down 2%. The equities massively outperformed the commodities, with the GDX, GDXJ, SIL, and COPX up 22.2%, 24.6%, 22.9%, and 15.8%, respectively. • Sector multiples are beginning to expand as gold firmly holds above $3,000/oz and silver surpasses $40/oz. Sentiment Update The mining se...

Ben Pirie
  • Ben Pirie

Mining Monthly: July Edition

What you need to know: • The metals and mining market settled in July, following a tremendous run over the last six months. • In July, gold was down 1%, silver was up 2%, and copper down 13%. The equities underperformed the commodities, with the GDX, GDXJ, SIL, and COPX down 0.8%, 5.0%, 1.5%, and 4.2%, respectively. • Financings remained elevated during July, with various juniors raising funds as capital continues to trickle down. Sentiment Update The mining sector saw mixed sentiment in July,...

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