Report
Ben Pirie ...
  • Nicholas Cortellucci, CFA

ARG: Strong Q1 Financials Led by Increased Copper Price

What you need to know:
• Amerigo reported strong Q1 financial results, generating revenue of $44.2M (-2% YoY) vs. our expectation of $39.5M, driven by the higher copper price. EBITDA was $15.2M vs. $12.5M expected while OCF was $11.6M vs. $10.2M expected.
• ARG returned $4.6M to shareholders in Q1, including $3.5M from dividends and $1.1M from buybacks.
• ARG remains on track for its annual guidance and to pay off its debt by year-end, freeing up additional cashflow to be returned to shareholders.

Amerigo Resources (ARG:TSX, ARREF:OTC) reported Q1 financial results that beat our expectations across the board. The quarter was driven by the copper price increasing to $4.42/lb as well as continued operational excellence by the ARG team. ARG remains focused on returning capital to shareholders, returning $3.5M from dividends and $1.1M from buybacks during the quarter. ARG pre-released its Q1 production highlights on April 9th, click here to read our note on the announcement. We are maintaining our BUY rating and C$2.50/share target price on Amerigo Resources.

Amerigo will be hosting its Q1 investor conference call on May 8th, 2025, at 11:00am PT (2:00pm ET). Investors interested in joining can do so by clicking here or dialling 1-888-510-2154.

Q1 Highlights
• Copper produced came in at 13.2Mlbs compared to our estimate of 14.9Mlbs (pre-reported). This was due to the scheduled annual maintenance shutdown, which affected operations more than we anticipated.
• Revenue was $44.2M compared to our expectation of $39.5M, representing a 2% decline YoY. The realized copper price for the quarter was $4.42/lb vs. our model which assumes $4.15/lb and $3.95/lb in Q1/24.
• Gross margin came in at 22%, beating our estimate of 17% as well as the 17% margin reported in Q1/24.
• EBITDA of $15.2M (34% margin) compared to our estimate of $12.5M and $10.2M in Q1/24 (30% margin). Cash costs came in at $2.22/lb and AISC came in at $4.28/lb.
• OCF (before working capital) came in at $11.6M (26% of revenue) compared to our estimate of $10.2M and $10.2M in Q1/24 (23% of revenue).
• Capex was $6.8M (vs. $4.0M expected) and ARG did not pay down any debt during the quarter, resulting in FCFF and FCFE of $4.8M.
• Amerigo returned $4.6M to shareholders in Q1 (vs. $3.7M in Q1/24), including $3.5M from the dividend and $1.1M from share buybacks.
• ARG ended the quarter with $30.8M in cash and $11.1M in debt.
Underlying
Amerigo Resources Ltd.

Amerigo Resources is engaged in the production of copper and molybdenum concentrates with operations in Chile. Through its subsidiary, Minera Valle Central S.A., Co. has a contract with Chile's state-owned copper producer National Copper Corporation to process the tailings from El Teniente underground copper mine.

Provider
Atrium Research Corporation
Atrium Research Corporation

Atrium Research provides institutional quality issuer paid research on North American public equities using deep fundamental analysis. Our research reports are disseminated through Bloomberg, FactSet, Capital IQ, Reuters and many more, as well as through our social media and email distribution lists. 

Analysts
Ben Pirie

Nicholas Cortellucci, CFA

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