Report

CUU: Copper Optionality in Tier-1 Jurisdictions

What you need to know:
• Copper Fox owns 25% of Schaft Creek, a PEA-stage (after-tax NPV8% $842M and 13% IRR) copper-gold-molybdenum asset, funded by Teck (75% owner) to production.
• CUU also owns 100% of the PEA-stage Van Dyke ISCR Project which boasts a highly profitable project (after-tax NPV7.5% $645M & 43% IRR).
• The Company holds a portfolio of three other copper exploration assets, all showing early signs of being legitimate projects. The Eaglehead project is at the resource stage, hosting a resource of 1.82Blbs CuEq.
• CUU trades at just ~0.1x its attributable NAV vs. peers at ~0.3x.

Copper Fox Metals Inc. (CUU:TSXV, CPFXF:OTC) is a copper development company with advanced-stage assets in British Columbia and Arizona, two of the world’s top copper jurisdictions. Its flagship asset is a 25% interest in the Schaft Creek Project, a major porphyry copper system operated by Teck Resources (75%), and fully carried to production. In Arizona, Copper Fox owns the Van Dyke Project, a low-impact ISCR development project with strong economics and favorable permitting dynamics. The Company also holds the Eaglehead Project in B.C., along with two early-stage exploration projects in Arizona, Mineral Mountain and Sombrero Butte, which together provide scalable long-term upside. Copper Fox is majority-held by insiders, with over 59% insider ownership. We are initiating coverage on Copper Fox Metals with a BUY rating and a target price of C$0.50/share.

Investment Thesis Summary
Tier-1 Asset, Carried to Production. Schaft Creek is one of North America’s largest undeveloped porphyry copper systems, with a 21-year mine life and an after-tax NPV8% of $842M at $3.25/lb copper. Copper Fox owns 25% of the project with no cash or capital obligations until production, as Teck funds all development and recoups costs from 90% of future free cash flow. This structure gives Copper Fox significant leverage to rising copper prices without dilution.

High-Margin, Low-Impact U.S. Project. Van Dyke is a 100%-owned ISCR project in Arizona with 0.5Blbs of soluble copper in M&I resources and 0.7Blbs of soluble copper in Inferred resource and an after-tax NPV7.5% of $645M using $3.15/lb copper. With a 43% IRR and strong margin profile, the project offers scalable, ESG-aligned copper exposure. A $0.25/lb increase in the copper price adds $90M to the NPV and $190M in FCF, highlighting significant upside at spot prices.

Exploration Pipeline Adds Optionality. CUU has built a 7.3Blbs CuEq base through low-cost exploration. Eaglehead in B.C. hosts 1.8Blbs CuEq in an open-ended porphyry system, while Mineral Mountain and Sombrero Butte in Arizona offer early-stage upside in proven copper belts, enhancing long-term upside.

Strategic Partner and Strong Insider Alignment. Teck’s 75% interest and operator role at Schaft Creek reduces development risk. Insider ownership of CUU is 59%, including 57% held by Director Ernesto Echavarria, ensuring tight control, minimal dilution, and strong shareholder alignment.

Discounted Valuation. CUU currently trades at 0.07x NPV and $0.03/lb in-the-ground compared to its peers at 0.27x NPV and $0.19/lb in-the-ground.
Underlying
Copper Fox Metals Inc.

Copper Fox Metals is engaged in the exploration for and development of mining properties in Western Canada.

Provider
Atrium Research Corporation
Atrium Research Corporation

Atrium Research provides institutional quality issuer paid research on North American public equities using deep fundamental analysis. Our research reports are disseminated through Bloomberg, FactSet, Capital IQ, Reuters and many more, as well as through our social media and email distribution lists. 

Analysts
Ben Pirie

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