NAMM: Resilient Profitability; 2026 Guidance Highlights Growth
What you need to know:
• Namib Minerals released its full-year 2025 financial results and provided an operational and business update.
• The Company produced 25Koz of gold in 2025, generating $82.6M in revenue, $29.0M in adjusted EBITDA, and $13.8M in OCF.
• 2026 production guidance is expected to be between 28,000-31,500oz, leading to an adjusted EBITDA of $50-62M (at $4,500/oz Au), highlighting near-term growth.
This morning, Namib Minerals (NAMM:NASDAQ) released its full year 2025 financial results and provided a business update, which was followed by a conference call. Namib closed the year producing ~25Koz of gold, generated $82.6M in revenue, $29.0M in adjusted EBITDA, and $13.8M in operating cash flow. NAMM published full year production guidance, which is expected to be between 28,000-31,500oz in 2026 with the How Mine mill expansion expected to come online in H2/26 (a ~36% increase in capacity). Dewatering is continuing at the Redwing and restarting the mine remains a focus for the Company. As NAMM enters a year of projected growth, Tulani Sikwila is now in the CEO seat. We are maintaining our BUY rating and a target price of $9.50/share on NAMM.
2025 Financial Results
• Total ore milled in 2025 came in at 476Kt compared to our estimate of 456Kt, and 473Kt last year.
• Gold produced in 2025 was 25.0Koz, which was in line with our expectation of 24.7Koz. Lower production YoY resulted from lower grades at the How Mine.
• Revenue of $82.6M and compared to our $75.9M, representing a 4% YoY decline. NAMM realized an average selling price of $3,156/oz.
• Adjusted EBITDA of $29.0M (+18% YoY) exceeded our estimate of $17.5M, while OCF of $13.8M was slightly ahead of our $11.8M estimate. NAMM spent $11.6M on capex in the period.
• 2025 gross profit of $34.2M (+155% YoY) represented a 41.4% gross margin.
• C1 cash costs came in at $1,653/oz, increasing from $1,150/oz in 2024 on lower production and a largely fixed cost base; albeit, in line with our $1,650/oz forecast. AISC came in at $2,546/oz (vs. $2,218/oz expected).
• The Company ended the period with $1.9M in cash and $5.2M in debt.